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Ginnie MBS Program Faltered In 2017, Refi Flow Up in 4Q17

January 12, 2018
Ginnie Mae set records for new issuance of single-family mortgage-backed securities in 2015 and 2016, but production sagged last year, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. The agency issued $443.20 billion of MBS backed by forward single-family mortgages in 2017, a 10.8 percent decline from the previous year. Including FHA reverse mortgages and that are not truncated, 2017 issuance fell 10.3 percent to $455.00 billion. Meanwhile, the private mortgage insurance business – based on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS data – saw a smaller decline of 5.0 percent from 2016 to last year. The VA program generally held up better than the FHA program during the fourth quarter, when refinance lending was climbing. But the FHA had a better year overall despite some loss of market share in purchase-mortgage activity. Deliveries of FHA loans into ... [ Charts ]
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S&P Maintains Top Ranking in Rating Non-Mortgage ABS at 9-Month Mark, DBRS Ahead in RMBS Ratings

December 21, 2017
S&P Global was the most active rating service in the non-mortgage ABS market during the first nine months, having graded $95.88 billion in new issuance, or 58.5 percent of the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis.
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Retail Bankruptcies Continue to Plague CMBS, But There May Be Light at the End of the Tunnel

December 21, 2017
It’s been an ugly year for retail chain bankruptcies, which means investors in commercial MBS backed by such properties are continuing to feel queasy about some of the bonds they own.
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Investors Seem Willing to Absorb Agency MBS When The Fed Finally Begins Paring its Massive Portfolio

December 15, 2017
The agency MBS market continued to grow at a measured pace during the third quarter of 2017, with several key investor groups showing interest in the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis.
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Daily Trading Volume in Agency MBS Rises Again; Overseas Investors Not Likely to Shy Away from Fannie/Freddie Bonds

December 15, 2017
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS inched up to $223.6 billion in November, the second best showing of the year, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Finan-cial Markets Association. The only other month that was stronger was January at $229.8 billion.
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Ginnie Mae Announces New Measures to Address Rapid Refinancing, High Prepayments in MBS Pools

December 8, 2017
Ginnie Mae this week announced new guidelines to curb the churning of VA loans and high MBS prepayment speeds – the first in a series of measures developed by a joint Ginnie/VA task force to address the problem.
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Consumer Leverage Increasing for Borrowers Backing MBS and ABS, but Systemic Risks Appear Contained

November 22, 2017
Consumer debt reached a new high at the end of the third quarter of 2017, surpassing levels seen in the run-up to the financial crisis and prompting concerns about the systemic risk to MBS and ABS investors posed by consumer leverage.
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Trading in MBS Muted in October as Prepayment Speeds Increase. Waiting ‘Correction’ in Bond Prices?

November 10, 2017
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS totaled $222.5 billion in October, a slight dip from the month prior, but the third best reading of the year, according to figures compiled by the Secu-rities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
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When It Comes to Fed Balance Sheet Changes, Concern, Uncertainty and Caution Dominate

November 10, 2017
There are many unpredictable variables and economic factors outside the control of the Federal Reserve, which makes it hard to project the impact of winding down the U.S. central bank’s historic investment in agency MBS. But economic experts at Fannie Mae are cautiously expressed anticipating greater volatility, an inevitable financial shock and potential changes in the Fed’s strategy as markets evolve.
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Correspondent Platforms Feast on FHA, VA Securitization Market

November 10, 2017
Correspondent-based lending operations are accounting for a growing share of the FHA and VA home loans pooled in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. In fact, correspondent originations are the only production channel to see year-over-year growth in FHA and VA business through the first nine months of 2017. Retail and wholesale-broker production is down for both FHA and VA loans. Correspondent programs are most dominant in the FHA market, perhaps reflecting a preference among large producers to have recourse to a primary-market lender if the government later finds defects in how the loan was originated. Correspondents accounted for 48.7 percent of FHA loans pooled in Ginnie MBS during the first nine months of the year, up from 43.1 percent in all of 2016. Volume was up 1.7 percent from the ... [Charts]
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