Economists note that the pricing of mortgage credit risk depends not only on the quality of the underlying mortgages but also on who ultimately bears that risk.
MBS investors are likely to charge a pay-up for securities backed by mortgages underwritten with VantageScore — at least until they’re confident prepayment speeds won’t accelerate.
Policies put in place during the pandemic prevent many small banks and credit unions from selling small-balance loans to the GSEs, which constrains mortgage lending in rural and low-income communities.
The Treasury Market Practices Group released a white paper identifying how a change in the ownership structure of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could impact the broader financial markets.
The prepayment rate on agency MBS hit a high for the year in September and that’s expected to be topped again in October. Analysts note that their prepayment models are off due to changes in lenders’ practices.