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Sears’ Bankruptcy Likely Has Minimal Impact on CMBS, Potentially Positive in the Long Run

October 26, 2018
The bankruptcy filing by Sears will likely place additional stress on commercial MBS backed by the retailer, but the effect in most deals could be minimal and, in the long term, even positive for the commercial properties, said rating agencies.
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FHA, VA Delinquencies Tip Slightly Higher in 3Q18 GNMA MBS Pools

October 19, 2018
The amount of single-family Ginnie Mae mortgage servicing rights increased a modest 0.9 percent during the third quarter, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. Some $1.858 trillion of Ginnie mortgage-backed securities were outstanding at the end of September, a 6.2 percent gain over the previous 12 months. Loans guaranteed by the VA continued to be the fastest growing segment of the Ginnie market. Volume was up 1.3 percent from the end of June, hitting $630.9 billion, an 11.0 percent increase from the same time last year. The FHA segment remained far bigger: $1.114 trillion at the end of the third quarter. However, its growth rate has been slower: 0.7 percent from June and 3.9 percent compared to September 2017. Loan performance deteriorated slightly in both programs. Some 92.9 percent of FHA loans were current at the end of September, down from ... [Charts]
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Ginnie Mae to Require Servicer, Credit Ratings for Largest Issuers

October 19, 2018
Participants in Ginnie Mae’s single-family mortgage-backed securities program may expect new policy changes, including servicer and credit ratings for the largest issuers, clarification of “appropriate sources of liquidity” and other financial requirements. The changes come as issuer liquidity continues to be a primary concern for Ginnie Mae, particularly with nonbanks now the dominant segment in the single-family MBS program. “We’re working on those policies right now,” said Leslie Meaux Pordzik, Ginnie’s acting senior vice president, Office of Issuer and Portfolio Management, at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual convention in Washington, DC, this week. Nonbanks account for nearly two-thirds of Ginnie MBS issuance and approximately 75 percent of FHA and VA lending. Nonbanks serviced a record 61.1 percent of outstanding Ginnie single-family MBS at the end of the ...
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Prepay Speeds Remain a Concern for Ginnie Mae, Overseas Investors

October 19, 2018
Ginnie Mae has made considerable progress in dealing with rapid prepayments on VA loans but prepayment speeds on Ginnie mortgage-backed securities in general continue to annoy investors. Prepay speeds on Ginnie MBS are now at the lowest since 2014 but it is not enough for agency Executive Vice President Maren Kasper to feel confident as she addressed the annual convention of the Mortgage Bankers Association this week. “Our prepayment issue is not solved,” said Kasper, as she spoke on a panel with representatives of government-lending programs. The agency continues to hear from investors about the problem, she said. Kasper cited two instances where Ginnie officials were summoned to meetings in China and New York to explain the prepayments to irate investors. They threatened to stop purchasing Ginnie bonds, she said. Kasper declined to say how bad the ...
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Re-Performing Loans Reenergized by Recovering Housing Market, Issuance on the Rise, Says DBRS

October 5, 2018
Securitization of re-performing loans has seen a significant uptick since more borrowers moved from nonperforming to re-performing status as a result of modifications and other loss-mitigation techniques, according to an analysis by DBRS.
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Solid Gains in Purchase-Mortgage Business Offset 3Q18 Refi Slump

October 5, 2018
Ginnie Mae issuance of single-family mortgage-backed securities rode a homebuying wave during the third quarter of 2018, according to a new Inside FHA/VA Lending ranking and analysis. Ginnie issuers produced $105.63 billion of new MBS backed by forward mortgages during the July-September cycle, a 7.1 percent increase from the second quarter. That brought year-to-date production to $296.88 billion – down 11.3 percent from the first nine months of 2017. Purchase mortgages provided the boost for the Ginnie market. Some $75.69 billion of FHA and VA purchase mortgages were pooled in Ginnie MBS in the third quarter, a sturdy 13.1 percent increase from the previous period. Purchase loans accounted for 75.1 percent of FHA and VA loans securitized in the third quarter, compared to 64.7 percent for all of last year. Although production of these loans has gone up since the first quarter, year-to-date volume ... [Charts]
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Senate Still Has Time to Enact VA ‘Orphan’ Loan Bill, Says MBA

October 5, 2018
The mortgage banking industry is optimistic about Congress enacting legislation that would cure VA orphan loans before the midterm elections. The U.S. Senate still has time to consider H.R. 6737, the Protect Affordable Mortgages for Veterans Act, according to Bill Kilmer, chief lobbyist at the Mortgage Bankers Association. “Most observers think [lawmakers are] going to be around until Oct. 18 or 19, which is when Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said he wants to keep folks around to work on nominations and other measures they need to clear,” Kilmer said. “There is time and, more to the substantive point, the bill passed the House.” H.R. 6737 would provide a technical fix so that certain VA refinance loans would be eligible for pooling in a Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed security. The bill was reported out of committee by a unanimous 49-0 vote, and was approved quickly by the House ...
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Around the Industry

October 5, 2018
FHA Issues Waiver of Property Inspections in Disaster-Stricken California Counties. FHA has issued a waiver of its timing policy for completing property inspections prior to closing or endorsing a loan for FHA insurance. The waiver is in effect in presidentially declared major disaster areas in Lake and Shasta Counties, CA, that were ravaged by wildfires and high winds. FHA believes that the wildfires and high winds have stabilized so as not to cause any further damage to properties, even though FEMA has not declared “all clear” in the affected areas. The waiver allows damage inspections to be completed after Oct. 2, for properties located in the PDMDA. NC Commissioner of Banks Amends State Reverse Mortgage Rules. The North Carolina Commissioner of Banks recently amended its ...
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Greatest Risks for CMBS Predominantly Tied to Weak Malls Though Exposure has Been Limited

September 28, 2018
Ongoing challenges in the retail sector are raising questions about the credit implications for some structured finance collateral, though the negative effects on the commercial MBS market appear to be limited due to a strong economy, according to a report by Moody’s Investors Service. The disruption in the U.S. retail sector has been caused by the growth of online shopping, cutthroat competition, over-expansion and inability to adapt to changing consumer demands, the report indicated ...
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Residential PACE Securities Performing Better than Expected, Prepayments Remain Difficult to Predict

September 14, 2018
Securitizations of residential property assessed clean energy assessments are performing better than projections made by Kroll Bond Rating Agency when issuance started four years ago, according to the rating service. Meanwhile, predicting prepayment rates remains difficult, KBRA noted in a report released late last week.
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