Analysts are monitoring prepayment speeds to see if Ginnie Mae’s efforts to curb serial refinancing or loan churning are having an impact. Wells Fargo Securities analysts said a conversation about churning has started with a handful of Ginnie mortgage-backed securities issuers, which “should be a net benefit for MBS,” especially for higher coupons where outlier speeds are most prevalent. In a recent alert, the analysts said the momentum continues to build to curb churning of VA loans following notification of lenders suspected of engaging in the activity. Nine issuers have received written warnings based on unusual prepayment rates in VA-backed MBS. Such deviations from market norms for an extended period are not acceptable because they put veterans’ earned benefits at risk, the agency said. The outliers were discovered after a comprehensive review of issuer performance and ...
Issuers Ginnie Mae had targeted for allegedly churning VA loans have denied engaging in the practice. Flagstar Bank and NewDay Financial said they have policies and procedures to prevent churning, or serial refinancing, but offered no explanation as to why they were on Ginnie’s list. Both companies were among the nine issuers Ginnie notified earlier this month for performance that “is materially worse than its peers as to be an outlier.” The agency made its determination after analyzing pool characteristics of all issuers. The analysis revealed an unusually higher prepayment rate for securitized VA loans over a long period for all nine issuers compared to other issuers. “Under the analysis, [a] handful of issuers was shown to be consistent material outliers over an extended period,” said Ginnie. “The [review] identified market participants whose pool performance clearly and persistently deviates from ...
The credit-risk transfer market created in recent years by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is better poised to warn of systemic risk than the MBS market was prior to the financial crisis, according to new research by Susan Wachter of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.
The Department of Veterans Affairs will require lenders to provide early disclosures to veterans seeking to refinance into a VA Interest Rate Reduction Refinance Loan. The new policy aims to ensure that the VA streamline refi loan they sought would actually lower their monthly mortgage payments and is not just a scam for lenders to charge higher fees. Loan churning, or serial refinancing, is at the root of the VA policy change. Churning refers to multiple refinancing of an unseasoned mortgage loan within a very short time, often within six months of origination. Serial refinancing may add more payments and interest to the new loan, prolonging debt repayment, and can strip equity. It also potentially raises the risk of default by the borrower. In addition, the risk of prepayment could affect pricing of Ginnie Mae securities, which could cause lenders to charge higher rates on VA loans to make up for the ...
FHA delinquencies rose sharply in Puerto Rico following the devastation brought by hurricanes Maria and Irma last year. At the end of 2017, 28.8 percent of FHA mortgages on the island were at some stage of delinquency, including 15.8 percent that have fallen 90 days behind on their mortgage payments. Deutsche Bank Securities analysts believe the spike in delinquency rates overall is “a short-term phenomenon.” They noted that FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have declared temporary moratoria on evictions and foreclosures in Puerto Rico and other hurricane-ravaged regions. Issuer exposures in devastated areas remain unclear and Ginnie Mae has not updated its MBS hurricane exposure data since October last year. In the initial disclosure, the agency reported 9.7 percent (1,066,028 loans) of its total MBS portfolio were impacted by Harvey, Irma and Maria. The affected loans’ unpaid principal ...
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw declines in the flow of purchase and refinance loans into single-family mortgage-backed securities last month, starting 2018 on a sour note. The two GSEs produced a total of $67.48 billion of new single-family MBS in January, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis and ranking. That was down 8.8 percent from the previous month and off 26.4 percent from January 2017. It was the GSEs’ weakest monthly output since May 2017, and it would have been worse had Fannie not come up with $4.69 billion in mortgage securities backed by modified loans. Including those mod-backed deals, Fannie issuance was up 5.0 percent from December. Without them, the company’s new MBS issuance fell 5.7 percent in January.
The daily trading volume in agency MBS averaged $209.1 billion in 2017, the best showing in four years, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
Ginnie Mae set records for new issuance of single-family mortgage-backed securities in 2015 and 2016, but production sagged last year, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. The agency issued $443.20 billion of MBS backed by forward single-family mortgages in 2017, a 10.8 percent decline from the previous year. Including FHA reverse mortgages and that are not truncated, 2017 issuance fell 10.3 percent to $455.00 billion. Meanwhile, the private mortgage insurance business – based on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS data – saw a smaller decline of 5.0 percent from 2016 to last year. The VA program generally held up better than the FHA program during the fourth quarter, when refinance lending was climbing. But the FHA had a better year overall despite some loss of market share in purchase-mortgage activity. Deliveries of FHA loans into ... [ Charts ]
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS inched up to $223.6 billion in November, the second best showing of the year, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Finan-cial Markets Association. The only other month that was stronger was January at $229.8 billion.
Nonprime lenders allow credit scores as low as 500 and loan-to-value ratios up to 90.0 percent, but new originations don’t typically reach such extremes. According to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets, the average credit score on loans in nonprime/Alt A mortgage-backed securities issued in recent years was 701.1. The average combined LTV ratio for the loans was 74.9 percent and the average debt-to-income ratio was 37.0 percent. The analysis ... [Includes one data chart]