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Estimated Current LTV Disclosure in STACR Deals Seen as a Leading Indicator of Mortgage Performance

May 19, 2017
A unique disclosure Freddie Mac is providing in risk-sharing transactions can help provide MBS investors with forward-looking insight about mortgage performance, according to an analysis by Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Freddie started disclosing updated loan-to-value ratios for mortgages in its Structured Agency Credit Risk transactions in March 2016. On a quarterly basis, the government-sponsored enterprise discloses the estimated current LTVs based on Home Value Explorer (HVE), its proprietary automated valuation model. Connecticut Avenue Securities risk-sharing transactions from Fannie Mae don’t include a similar disclosure. KBRA noted...
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GSEs Keep Pushing to Expand Credit Box, Stay on Track for Single Security in 2 Years

May 5, 2017
Officials at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and their regulator are encouraged by – but by no means satisfied with – the progress made by the government-sponsored enterprises and their customers at expanding the credit box. “We do see an expansion of credit, steady growth in the 97 percent [loan to value ratio] programs and a little better distribution of credit scores,” said Bob Ryan, special advisor and acting deputy director at the Federal Housing Finance Agency during remarks at the secondary market conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association in New York this week. “But they are still skewed to the higher end more than in the past.” Fannie and Freddie are trying...
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Former Rating Service Official Proposes Materiality Standards for Reps and Warrants on Non-Agency MBS

May 5, 2017
As industry participants continue to work on revamping standards and practices in the non-agency MBS market, Mark Adelson proposed a number of materiality standards for representations and warranties on new issuance. Adelson is an independent consultant and was S&P Global Ratings’ chief credit officer from May 2008 until December 2011. Adelson published his proposal in the latest issue of The Journal of Structured Finance, which he edits. Adelson focused...
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Vacancy Rate for Single-Family Rental Securitizations Hits Record Low, Spring Augurs Well for Sector

May 5, 2017
The vacancy rate across single-borrower, single-family rental securitizations rated by Morningstar Credit Ratings fell to its lowest level in a year, as high retention rates for full-term leases kept performance in the sector within expectations, according to a company report. The vacancy rate dropped to 4.1 percent in March, driven by an improving average retention rate, which rose for the third consecutive month, the report said. The average retention rate for all single-borrower, single-family rental securitizations now stands at 79.5 percent, it noted. In addition, the overall turnover rate held...
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Few Losses on MBS Backed by Re-Performing Loans, But Underwriting Likely to Worsen in Future Deals

April 21, 2017
Losses on rated non-agency MBS backed by re-performing loans have been minimal, according to DBRS. RPLs have been one of the dominant types of mortgages in post-crisis non-agency MBS. Issuance of MBS backed by RPLs increased significantly in 2015, according to DBRS. Some $13.4 billion of volume was issued that year, compared with a total of $5.9 billion of issuance between 2010 and 2014. The deals often don’t receive credit ratings, which can make them difficult to track. Some $15.3 billion of RPL MBS were issued...
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PennyMac Claims Top Rank in Ginnie MBS Production in 1Q17

April 14, 2017
There is a new boss in the Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities market. PennyMac Financial rose to the top of the issuer ranking in the first quarter of 2017 despite a sharp decline in volume, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. PennyMac issued $10.78 billion of single-family Ginnie securities during the first three months of the year. The figures in this analysis are based on Ginnie loan-level disclosures, which truncate loan amounts to $1,000 increments. PennyMac’s first-quarter production was off 27.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2016, a slightly bigger decline than the 24.8 percent drop in overall Ginnie issuance. Even though the firm fared slightly worse than the total market, its first-quarter downturn was less severe than Wells Fargo’s. Wells has been the top Ginnie producer for a long time, as well as the top player in most segments of the ... [ Charts ]
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GNMA Officials Attribute Decline in VA Refis to Anti-Churning Policy

April 14, 2017
A steep drop in VA-backed securities issuance in the first quarter of 2017 suggests that Ginnie Mae’s efforts to curb serial refinancing of VA loans are working, according to agency officials. Speaking on a panel at the annual VA Lenders Conference in Kansas City, MO, this week, Ginnie executives said that a change in pooling requirements for streamlined refinance mortgages appears to have curbed a destructive appetite for refinancing new VA loans within six months of closing. The practice has caused faster prepayments in Ginnie mortgage-backed securities pools and smaller payouts to investors. VA refi volume fell 42.7 percent from the previous quarter (see chart on page 2), contributing significantly to the 32.2 percent decline in total VA loan securitization during the period. John Getchis, senior vice president at Ginnie Mae, said he does not think the churning trend will continue because the ...
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Wells Fargo v. MBS Suits; GreenPoint Wins; Lehman Nears MBS Settlement

April 7, 2017
Wells Fargo’s legal woes are continuing after a federal judge in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York last week ordered the company to face several lawsuits by institutional investors alleging MBS fraud. U.S. District Judge Katherine Polk Failla ruled that Wells Fargo must face five lawsuits by a few dozen funds that are holding the bank liable for losses incurred after the MBS they purchased lost value due to the financial crisis. The plaintiffs include...
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GSE Business Down Sharply in Early 2017, But Market Still Running Stronger Than a Year Ago

April 6, 2017
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw substantial declines in new single-family business during the first quarter of 2017, but the purchase-mortgage side showed some life in March, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. The two government-sponsored enterprises guaranteed $218.22 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the first three months of the year. That was down 27.1 percent from the fourth quarter total of $299.25 billion – the biggest quarterly flow in GSE business since the second quarter of 2013. The refinance market was...[Includes three data tables]
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GSEs Hit Their Risk-Transfer Targets for 2016 As Debt Notes Continue Dominating CRT Action

March 31, 2017
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac executed various forms of credit-risk transfers last year that covered $548.0 billion of mortgages, a 30.4 percent increase over the amount covered by CRT activity in the previous year, according to a new report from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The performance met the “scorecard” targets issued by their regulator. In total, the two government-sponsored enterprises transferred $17.9 billion of risk in 2016, most of it through their debt note programs. Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities and Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk programs accounted for 72.1 percent of risk transferred last year, the FHFA said. Reinsurance, the next biggest category, accounted...[Includes one data table]
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