Questions from Inside Nonconforming Markets prompted the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to acknowledge last week that its director misspoke during a speech at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual convention. In arguing that the CFPB’s ability-to-repay rule hasn’t caused a significant reduction in mortgage originations, Richard Cordray said last week that “most” jumbo loans are non-qualified mortgages. While comprehensive data on the non-QM share of jumbo mortgages is not available, a number of data sources suggest that most jumbos are in fact QMs, not non-QMs. Three of the five largest jumbo lenders told...

A typical jumbo mortgage-backed security is stronger in many ways than the non-agency MBS-like transaction Freddie Mac issued at the end of July, according to a recent analysis by Andrew Davidson & Co. However, the Freddie deal benefitted from a wrap provided by the government-sponsored enterprise. Freddie Mac Whole Loan Securities Trust Series 2015 SC01 was backed by mortgages with an unpaid principal balance of $302.96 million. The risk-sharing transaction was structured as a cash securitization with $278 million in senior certificates guaranteed by Freddie and approximately $23 million in unguaranteed subordinate certificates. Andrew Davidson compared...

Citadel Loan Servicing, Irvine, CA, one of the most active nonprime residential lenders in the market, is on track to fund a company-record $400 million worth of mortgages this year, more than double what it produced last year. In a brief interview with Inside Nonconforming Markets this week, company founder and CEO Dan Perl said his goal for next year is $1 billion – all in loans that do not meet the qualified-mortgage standard. If the privately held Citadel – Perl is the chief shareholder – can hit...

The unpaid principal balance on VA loans securitized in 3Q15 Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities totaled $426.9 billion, up 5.1 percent from the previous quarter and 17.3 percent more year-over-year. Wells Fargo serviced $114.4 billion of VA collateral at Sept. 30, 2.0 percent up from the prior quarter. It was good enough for a commanding 26.8 percent of the market. The only other megabank among the top five servicers in this segment was fifth-place Chase Home Finance, which closed the quarter with $16.8 billion and a 3.9 percent market share. It saw portfolio declines on both quarterly and year-over-year bases. USAA Federal Savings Bank, in third place, accounted for $24.1 billion, or 5.6 percent of the VA-backed MBS servicing market. Nonbanks PennyMac, in second place, and fourth-ranked Freedom Mortgage combined for 11.0 percent of the ... [ 1 chart ]

Servicing of FHA loans pooled into Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities rose 2.1 percent in the third quarter of 2015. Three megabanks in the top five-servicer tier accounted for a significant share of the market. Ginnie Mae servicers of FHA collateral reported $969.0 billion outstanding at Sept. 30, with Wells Fargo accounting for 27.9 percent of total servicing volume. Wells Fargo, Chase Home Finance (#2) and Bank of America (#5) combined to service 39.3 percent of FHA outstanding as of the end of the quarter. PennyMac Corp. closed the quarter with a $57.7 billion FHA servicing portfolio, good enough for third place and 6.0 percent of the market. Fourth-ranked NationStar Mortgage reported a $53.6 billion servicing portfolio at the end of the ... [ 1 chart ]

A number of factors are making new MBS in the to-be-announced market less attractive to investors than MBS issued a few years ago, according to a report from Deutsche Bank Securities. “Aggressive servicers keep picking up market share, credit quality keeps softening and loan balances edge up,” the analysts said. “It adds up to declining quality for TBA MBS.” While those trends certainly aren’t new, Deutsche Bank said...

The non-agency MBS market sputtered to its weakest new issuance volume in a year during the third quarter of 2015, according to a new market analysis and ranking by Inside MBS & ABS. A total of $9.43 billion of non-agency MBS were issued during the third quarter, down 39.7 percent from the second quarter. Thanks to a strong start in the first half of 2015 – and weak new issuance during the same time last year – year-to-date production was up 47.5 percent from the first nine months of 2014. The two mainstays that have been propping up non-agency MBS issuance have been...[Includes two data tables]

Nonbanks comprised a significant portion of Ginnie Mae business as independent mortgage companies replaced banks as primary securitizers of FHA and VA loans. In the third quarter of 2015, mortgage companies accounted for 60.8 percent of VA loans and 67.1 percent of FHA loans securitized in Ginnie pools. For mortgage companies, production of Ginnie mortgage-backed securities backed by FHA loans increased by 5.0 percent in the third quarter from the previous quarter and was up a whopping 118.1 percent during the first nine months of 2015 over the same period last year. Nonbank securitization of VA loans rose by a modest 1.5 percent quarter over quarter and by 83.6 percent over the nine-month period compared to the same period last year. Megabanks, whose assets exceed $1 trillion, were the second largest issuers of Ginnie Mae MBS, accounting for less than ... [3 charts]

Ginnie Mae is considering the implementation of stress testing for MBS issuers to see whether they can withstand the worst economic and financial market conditions. Over the next couple of years, Ginnie Mae will develop a framework for stress testing modeled after the Dodd-Frank Act’s supervisory stress testing currently required of bank holding companies, said Gregory Keith, senior vice president and chief risk officer, during a recent Ginnie Mae summit. The test will subject...

Recent disappointing job creation numbers and continued concern about slowing economic activity around the globe have convinced an increasing number of Wall Street analysts, participants and observers that the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee will not raise interest rates at its next meeting, scheduled for later this month. Further, more market professionals don’t predict an uptick in rates until sometime in 2016. And a few are even speculating a liftoff won’t come until the year after that. According to Peter Schiff, CEO and chief global strategist for investment firm Euro Pacific Capital, “the downright dismal September jobs report that was released last Friday may prove...