Participants in the agency MBS market said if the Trump administration wants to release the GSEs from conservatorship, it should be done in a way that preserves many of the functions currently provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The Trump White House wants the Fed to cut rates but with employment healthy and U.S. deficits growing larger, that’s not likely to happen. One casualty: MBS prices.
The Federal Reserve is allowing its MBS holdings to run off in a predictable manner; Ginnie provides more details on change to buydown policy; Cerberus affiliate issues securitization of closed-end second liens.
A surge in refinance activity — especially rate-term transactions — provided much of the fuel for April’s 16% increase in agency single-family MBS. So far, 2025 is running 14% ahead of last year’s pace. (Includes two data tables.)
The Trump administration appears unlikely in the near-term to work on ending the conservatorships of the GSEs. And any potential moves will aim to limit disruptions in the mortgage market, according to officials in the administration.
First-quarter earnings reports suggest the reduced size of Fannie Mae’s guarantee book of business may be impacting its market share vis a vis Freddie Mac.
Recent changes in FHA’s loss-mitigation waterfall will probably mean fewer loan modifications enter Ginnie Mae’s Extended Term MBS, Goldman Sachs said in a recent report.
AGNC watched as volatility rocked the agency MBS market this month. The REIT counted on its cash and liquidity to avoid selling assets at a loss. Other REITs also survived unscathed.