Subprime mortgage-backed securities offer returns of at least 10.0 percent per year for selective investors, according to Bill Roth, co-CIO at Two Harbors Investment. “We are able to assume the default of a significant portion of borrowers who are currently making their payments, assume a declining housing market and still be able to earn an attractive yield,” Roth said last week during a webinar hosted by the real estate investment trust. He added that home prices could decline by another 20 percent in the next year and ...

Compensation for non-agency mortgage-backed security servicers should be adjusted and the industry should adopt practices from commercial MBS servicing, according to Morningstar Credit Ratings. The firm that recently established its non-agency MBS rating capabilities said enhanced servicing could help revive the issuance of non-agency MBS. “Without these reforms it may prove very difficult to attract investors back into the fold of private-label residential mortgage securities given the weaknesses exposed in ...

Given the features of the enhanced FHA streamline refinancing product, investors will be focusing on the FHA low mortgage-insurance premium (MIP) pools in the coming months, according to analysts with Barclays Research. Barclay’s analysts estimate that 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for streamline refinancing, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance. Approximately $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009, analysts said. About 79 percent of the collateral underlying the pools are ...

HUD FY 2013 Budget. On June 29, the House approved the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s FY 2013 budget. Although a number of amendments was considered, the funding levels for HUD programs remained unchanged from those passed by the House Appropriations Committee. New commitments under the FHA’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund in FY 2013 include $400 million for loan guarantees and $50 million for direct loans. The General and Special Risk Program gets $25 billion for guaranteed loans and $20 million for direct loans. A total of $500 billion for the Ginnie Mae securitization program would be available until ...

The Securities and Exchange Commission is coming down the home stretch in a project that has raised jitters in the MBS and ABS market: a review of the credit rating process for structured finance transactions that will conclude with reform recommendations for Congress. Embedded in the Dodd-Frank Act was a provision authored by Sen. Al Franken, D-MN, that requires the SEC to study potential conflicts of interest in issuer-pay and subscriber-pay compensation models used in the credit rating process. Franken originally proposed that the SEC be required to create a process through which a new government entity would assign...

Relatively few repurchase demands on mortgage loans backing non-agency MBS were resolved during the first quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of disclosure filings made by 34 securitizers. The securitizers reported that a total of $29.03 billion of loans were in some stage of the process following demands that the mortgages be repurchased because of breaches of representations and warranties by the originator of the loans. But of that amount, some $28.62 billion – 98.6 percent of total activity – were classified...(includes one data chart)

Roughly 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for the FHA’s revised streamline refinancing program, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance, according to a report from Barclays Research. Barclays analysts estimated that about $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009. About 79 percent of the collateral backing these pools are FHA loans, which suggests that as much as $232.0 billion could qualify...

Leading Senate Democrats and Republicans have been moving cautiously to advance legislation to expand the Home Affordable Refinance Program, although industry observers say the odds are long the measure will see meaningful Congressional action before the legislative clock runs out. Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Sen. Richard Shelby, R-AL, the committee’s ranking member, have been working on an agreement to ensure that the proposed amendments to the legislation in a markup would be strictly narrowed to making changes to HARP. However, Shelby is pushing to permit any provision on housing finance to be considered...

The gap between the performance and liquidity of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS continues to widen and a proposal to make their securities interchangeable is gaining traction among stakeholders. But unless a workable valuation solution is found, bridging that gap between the two government-sponsored enterprises will remain nearly impossible, said the Mortgage Bankers Association. Pricing differences between Fannie and Freddie have grown...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s case against UBS Americas will serve as a test case in a series of lawsuits the agency filed in connection with non-agency MBS purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a Manhattan federal district court ruled last week. In a June 13 decision, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York denied UBS’s request that it should not be the first of 17 cases to proceed because it is not a loan originator and was not accused of fraud. According to the court, UBS was the best test case because the number of securitizations and...