Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot remain safely in conservatorship indefinitely, and they cannot get out from under Uncle Sam’s protection without “cataclysmic” consequences to the government-sponsored enterprises, MBS investors and the market, according to a new Urban Institute study. While the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the White House can make minor changes administratively, the UI paper notes it would take an act of Congress to authorize substantial revisions to the GSEs’ bailout agreement. “They can take...

U.S. auto ABS may have hit a few potholes in recent months, but seasonal factors and investors’ hunger for greater returns is strengthening the sector, especially for subprime deals, according to Wall Street analysts. “Subprime auto ABS continue to benefit from the hunt for yield,” said Elen Callahan and Kayvan Darouian, analysts with Deutsche Bank, in a recent research report. Many deals are oversubscribed and are often upsized, they added. “With spread differentials of up to 600 basis points, depending on issuer and tranche, investors who are comfortable with the asset class’s recent performance are moving from the top of the credit structure, down to the first-loss piece, to pick up yield.” Increased demand for subprime auto ABS subordinate bonds is...

The market for securities backed by proceeds from single-family rental properties is set to grow from deals backed by a single firm to pools with multiple sponsors, according to industry analysts. The sector has produced more volume than the jumbo MBS market in recent months and investor demand for single-family rental securities remains strong. Rating services are projecting that single-family rental securities soon will come to market with multiple sponsors or borrowers in a single security. Kroll Bond Rating Agency released...

All the major mortgage product categories saw declines in new originations during the first quarter, but the jumbo and home-equity sectors held up slightly better, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Mortgage Finance. The conventional-conforming sector took the biggest hit, as new production dropped 25.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2013 to an estimated $123 billion in the first three months of this year. The vast majority of these loans still end up being financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the two government-sponsored enterprises continue to draw a lot of their business from the ebbing refinance market. Fannie and Freddie securitized...[Includes two data charts]

New margin rules for broker-dealers may trip up mortgage bankers using mortgage-backed securities to hedge their businesses, according to experts discussing various liquidity issues during last week’s Secondary Market Conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association. Fannie Mae has traditionally reserved the right to invoke margin calls if the government-sponsored enterprise needed to, even before the Treasury Practices Market Group issued new best practices on the subject, said Renee Schultz, a Fannie vice president, but this right was rarely used. When the TPMG recommendation came out, it appeared to be aimed at systemic risk. But since it was addressed to all broker-dealers, Fannie adopted it. Fannie has implemented...

Ginnie Mae has issued a clarification as to when issuers can buy certain loans out of the pool and redefined certain familiar terms used by government agencies in insuring or guaranteeing mortgage loans. The agency’s mortgage-backed securities guide allows issuers to purchase loans out of pools when the borrower has missed three consecutive monthly mortgage payments or is 90 days past due. However, the guide is unclear whether the issuer must wait at least three months before buying a loan out of the pool if the borrower is making at least a partial payment while the loan is in default. Ginnie Mae made clear in a May 16 memo that issuers may purchase a loan from an MBS pool even though it is seriously delinquent. For example, if the last installment payment on a mortgage loan was Dec. 1 and the borrower missed payments in ...

Although the long-term prospects for the agency MBS market are highly uncertain, the near-term future is wherever Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae take it – and the highly anticipated shift in investor demand as the Federal Reserve eases out of the market. The development of a common securitization platform for Fannie and Freddie will take several years, even after the Federal Housing Finance Agency narrowed the project, said Bob Ryan, a special advisor to the FHFA, during a panel session at this week’s Secondary Market Conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association. The 2014 plan for the government-sponsored enterprises includes clarifying the scope of the CSP project, which has been in the works for over a year. “We’re not talking...

The advance policies of nonbank servicers have led to disruptions in payments to investors in non-agency MBS following servicing transfers from banks, according to Fitch Ratings. The differences are particularly pronounced on jumbo and Alt A deals, with advance disruptions recently concentrated on MBS previously serviced by Bank of America. “Bank and nonbank servicers for residential MBS transactions typically follow the same general advancing guidelines,” Fitch noted. “However, nonbank servicers generally make the determination to stop advancing earlier than bank servicers.” On average, for jumbo MBS and Alt A MBS, nonbanks advance missed...

Ford Credit priced a $1.08 billion deal earlier this month backed by prime auto-loan receivables that included a noteworthy twist, according to John McElravey, director of consumer ABS research at Wells Fargo Securities. The deal will revolve for five years before paying principal with a soft-bullet maturity. “In our opinion, this deal adds an interesting new dimension to prime auto-loan ABS,” McElravey said in a recent report. “We would not be surprised if other prime lenders eventually adopted similar structures based on market pricing and the pace of investor acceptance. Upon reflection, it is somewhat surprising that more prime auto-loan ABS have not been structured in this way.” Moody’s Investors Service explained...

ResCap Liquidating Trust filed lawsuits last week against a number of Residential Funding’s correspondent lenders regarding alleged breaches of representations and warranties on mortgages included in non-agency MBS. The lawsuits relate to business completed before RFC’s parent company Residential Capital entered bankruptcy. RLT, which was established to liquidate and distribute the assets of the debtors in the ResCap bankruptcy case, filed 12 similar lawsuits last week seeking buybacks from Bank of America and First Republic Bank (as successors of Old First Republic), PHH Mortgage, RBC Mortgage and a number of smaller lenders. The correspondent lenders sold more than $1.52 billion in mortgages to RFC, according to the lawsuits. RLT claims...