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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

Agency MBS
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Investors Continue to Bid Up the Price of Agency MBS; 105-Plus for a Fannie 3.5 Percent MBS

January 9, 2015
MBS investors this week continued to bid up the price of agency product in the wake of rock-bottom oil prices and economic fears about Asia, Europe and any oil-producing nation that relies too heavily on the energy sector. According to figures compiled by MBS Quoteline, at one point this week investors were paying 105.10 for Fannie Mae MBS with a coupon of 3.5 percent. Back in October the bid on the Fannie 3.5 was a mere 101.83. “Who would pay 105...
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Basel Committee Suggests Reduced Reliance on Credit Ratings for Bank Capital Requirements

January 9, 2015
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision recently proposed replacing credit ratings with loan-characteristic metrics for determining capital requirements on bank holdings of residential MBS and commercial MBS. Federal regulators in the U.S. note that the proposal is preliminary and any changes to U.S. capital requirements will go through a notice and comment process separate from the BCBS’ activity. The current standardized approach established by Basel for determining capital requirement riskweights prescribes the use of external credit ratings for residential MBS and commercial MBS, among other holdings by banks subject to capital requirements. “While acknowledging that credit rating agencies play an important role in financial markets and that external credit assessments provide valuable information that may assist in the analysis of credit risk exposures, the hard-wiring of external credit assessments into standards, laws and regulations may often lead...
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Ambac Whacks BofA With a New MBS Lawsuit, Credit Suisse’s and Wells Fargo’s MBS Woes Mount

January 9, 2015
Bank of America’s never-ending litigation woes spilled into 2015 as Ambac Assurance hit the bank with a new lawsuit related to toxic mortgages. Credit Suisse and Wells Fargo also welcomed the new year facing MBS lawsuits. According to analysts at Stone Fox Capital, an investment advisory firm, Ambac is claiming $600 million in losses, which arose from insuring approximately $1.7 billion in MBS transactions from 2005 to 2007. The MBS were issued by Countrywide Financial, which BofA acquired in 2008 and has been the principal cause of its legal headaches ever since. Ambac emerged...
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Prepayment Penalties Could Help Non-Agency MBS

January 9, 2015
More investors would be willing to buy new non-agency mortgage-backed securities if loans in the deals had prepayment penalties, according to an industry analyst. The penalties offer investors protection, but their use has been limited by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule, among other factors. Lawrence White, a professor and deputy chair in economics at the New York University Stern School of Business, suggested that the non-agency MBS market would see increased demand from investors, particularly insurance companies, if loans in non-agency MBS included prepayment penalties. “These institutions have largely stayed...
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Ginnie Mae MBS Volume Fell Slightly in 4Q14

January 9, 2015
Ginnie Mae issuance fell 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014 as the agency closed a busy year with more than $288.1 billion in total business, according to analysis of agency data. Home-purchase loans, at $192.6 billion, comprised the bulk of new government-loan securitizations, while refinances accounted for $73.0 billion. Loan modifications represented $22.6 billion in total issuances. FHA funneled $158.1 billion in loans to Ginnie Mae while VA and Rural Housing Development loans accounted for $109.5 billion and $19.9 billion, respectively. Wells Fargo led all Ginnie MBS issuers with $57.6 billion followed by PennyMac in distant second with $16.7 billion. Chase Home Finance landed in third place with $15.0 billion while Freedom Mortgage closed the year in fourth place with $14.8 billion. Rounding out the top five Ginnie Mae issuers, Quicken Loans ended 2014 with ... [ 1 chart ]
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Ocwen Financial’s Exit from Agency Mortgage Servicing Business Could be a Long Goodbye

January 8, 2015
Ocwen Financial’s massive exit from the agency servicing market is expected to be a multi-year phase-out complicated by its past regulatory problems and a weak market for legacy product, according to industry advisors. If the company follows through on its promise to exit all segments of the agency market – Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae – it will wind up selling a hefty $182.51 billion of residential mortgage servicing rights, based on third quarter survey numbers submitted to Inside Mortgage Finance. At Sept. 30, the nonbank serviced...
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CBO Weighs Auction of Fannie And Freddie MBS Guarantees

December 30, 2014
The Congressional Budget Office in December opened a new approach to GSE reform that could become a middle ground between GOP hardliners who want to entomb Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and lawmakers who want to keep some form of the current system. One way to reduce the GSEs’ footprint in the mortgage market would be to auction a limited supply of Fannie and Freddie mortgage-backed securities guarantees to the highest bidders, the CBO suggested ...
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California Ripe for Loan Brokers, Weak on Purchase Mortgages

December 30, 2014
Mortgage brokers accounted for 10.9 percent of single-family mortgages securitized by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the first nine months of 2014, but they achieved far deeper market shares in California and a handful of other states. Brokers originated 21.3 percent of Golden State mortgages during the first nine months of the year, their biggest footprint in any state, according to an exclusive Inside The GSEs analysis of loan-level data ... [Includes one data chart]
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In a Stalled MBS Market, Most of the Heavy Hitters Increased Their Holdings in 3Q14

December 19, 2014
The outstanding supply of agency single-family MBS continued to grow at a subdued pace during the third quarter of 2014, and the biggest investor classes did most of the heavy lifting funding the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. On the supply side, there were $5.632 trillion of single-family MBS guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae outstanding at the end of September. That was up just 0.4 percent from the previous quarter but had enough growth rings to show a 1.2 percent gain from a year ago. As has been the case for the past few years, the Ginnie MBS market grew...[Includes two data chart]
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Fed Reinvestment into Agency MBS Continues As Attention Shifts to Eventual Rise in Rates

December 19, 2014
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee held its last meeting of the year this week, keeping the federal funds target rate steady and continuing to reinvest principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and MBS into agency MBS and rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. Most of the pre-meeting buzz among investors was whether the FOMC would tweak or replace its boilerplate language about waiting “a considerable time” before moving to end its zero interest rate policy and begin “normalizing” rates. It did...
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