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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

Agency MBS
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GSE MBS Business Activity Plunge Year-Over-Year in May

June 13, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac issued $44.8 billion in single-family mortgage-backed securities during the month of May, a slight 1.3 percent dip from April, but it reversed the brief rebound following a year-long streak of declines, according to an Inside The GSEs analysis. However, May’s MBS issuance was down a much steeper 62.4 percent from the same period a year ago. Top-ranked Wells Fargo’s Fannie and Freddie securitization, at $5.97 billion, dropped by 4.9 percent on a monthly basis and by 73.6 percent year-to-date.
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Lots of Talk About Mortgage M&A, but Not Many Deals Getting Done; Institutional Investors Holding Onto PHH

June 12, 2014
Waiting for a large merger or acquisition to happen in the mortgage market is a bit like waiting for Godot: there’s plenty of talk about his arrival, but he may never show. “Right now there’s a large discrepancy between what the buyer wants to pay and what the seller wants to sell at,” said Chuck Klein, managing partner in Mortgage Banking Solutions, Austin, TX. “Any company that’s making money will not sell at just book value.” One large company that likely will not be sold this year is...
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Regulatory Organization Urges Investors To Reduce Their Reliance on Credit Ratings

June 12, 2014
The International Organization of Securities Commissions is working on a set of “good practices” to provide to the vast majority of the world’s securities regulators as part of an effort to prompt securities investors to reduce their reliance on credit ratings. While participants in the U.S. structured finance industry suggest that reliance on credit ratings diminished after the financial crisis, many funds continue to have guidelines that reference credit ratings. Some investors, for example, couldn’t buy into risk-sharing transactions from the government-sponsored enterprises unless the deals received investment-grade ratings. IOSCO recently issued...
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Commercial MBS Market Strong, Though Concerns Persist About Looser Underwriting

June 12, 2014
The volume of outstanding commercial MBS continues to hit record highs and the number of active lenders is near levels seen before the financial crisis. While issuers suggest that the industry is much different than in 2007, there are concerns about looser underwriting. Some $86.48 billion in commercial MBS was issued in 2013, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. And while issuance in the first quarter of 2014 was lower than three of the four quarters in 2013, Standard & Poor’s projected this week that issuance of commercial MBS could hit $90.0 billion this year. The issuance has been prompted...
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REIT MBS Holdings Drift Lower Again in 1Q14, But Most Are Encouraged by Tapering

June 12, 2014
Real estate investment trusts that specialize in the MBS market held $261.0 billion of mortgage securities in their portfolios at the end of March, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. That was down 1.4 percent from the end of the fourth quarter. REITs have been de-leveraging and scaling back their MBS holdings since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began its massive spending spree in the agency MBS market. A few REITs began rebuilding...[Includes one data chart]
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Uncertainty Over Investor Criteria, Unintended Consequences Challenge Small Banks Selling QMs

June 12, 2014
As safe as the qualified mortgage space might appear to be, there have been a number of challenges to address and overcome for smaller institutions originating QM loans intended for sale in the secondary market, according to a representative of one such lender at the American Bankers Association’s 2014 regulatory compliance conference in New Orleans this week. Bruce Schultz, senior vice president and head of secondary mortgage operations for SpiritBank, a family-owned community bank in Tulsa, OK, told attendees he’s heard from several industry peers who have expressed the view that the secondary market ‘would be a slam-dunk’ for his institution under the QM rule because “‘you’ve got automated underwriting.’” Maybe not...
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Purchase-Mortgage Volume Drives Agency MBS Production to a Slim Increase in May

June 6, 2014
Agency issuance of new single-family MBS edged up slightly from April to May, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of loan-level data. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced a combined $68.66 billion of new MBS last month, although that was only a 2.4 percent increase over April. There are some positives in the underlying data, however. First, purchase-mortgage volume increases outpaced...[Includes two data charts]
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A Rally Coming in MBS Prices Thanks to Rate Cut by the European Central Bank?

June 6, 2014
MBS prices fell by roughly 100 basis points this week, but the downdraft could be short-lived thanks to the European Central Bank, according to MBS analysts and other market watchers. Late this week, the ECB cut its main interest rate to a record low 15 basis points, from 25 basis points. But in an unprecedented move, it also trimmed the interest rate it pays to banks on reserves to negative 0.1 percent. The move into negative rate territory is meant...
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Performance of Outstanding Non-Agency MBS Expected Strong Due to Positive Economic Trends

June 6, 2014
Economic trends point to continued strong performance for outstanding non-agency MBS, according to Standard & Poor’s. “S&P expects the sector to demonstrate stable characteristics and stable rating trends,” said Jeremy Schneider, a primary credit analyst at the rating service. “Our outlook for collateral performance is strong, and our assessment of the overall sector is stable.” In a report released late last week, S&P said...
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SEC, Investor Concerns Are the Last QRM Hurdles; Will the Industry See a Final Rule by Year’s End?

June 6, 2014
Industry representatives and policy wonks diverge in their opinions about whether federal financial regulators will put out a final rule or another proposed final rule as the next step in the long-delayed risk-retention rule for asset securitizers. The qualified residential mortgage designation – which would exempt non-agency MBS from the five percent risk-retention requirement – has been one of the biggest controversies. According to Politico, the Securities and Exchange Commission continues to hold up a final deal because its staff thinks a minimum downpayment requirement for QRM would better protect investors. Under the latest version of the rule, the QRM definition would be synched...
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