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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

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Mortgage REITs Report Decline in MBS Holdings During 3Q14; Analysts Not Ready to Give Up Yet

December 12, 2014
Naysayers have been predicting the demise of publicly traded mortgage real estate investment trusts for two years now and have been consistently disappointed. It’s hard to say whether things will be different this time around. According to figures compiled by Inside MBS & ABS, it appears that most REITs have been intentionally reducing their MBS holdings over the past several quarters, preparing for the day when bond prices finally fall. At Sept. 30, 16 publicly traded REITs held...[Includes one data chart]
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Mortgage Securitization Rates Remain Below Par For Recent Years; More Options for Conforming

December 12, 2014
Mortgage securitization rates continued to trend lower through the first nine months of 2014 as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac captured a smaller share of the conventional conforming market. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals that 70.4 percent of home loans originated during the first nine months of the year were packaged into MBS. For all of 2013, the securitization rate was 78.5 percent, and it reached as high as 84.4 percent in 2009, the first year following the financial meltdown. A key factor is...[Includes one data chart]
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Secondary Market Reps Discuss Reg AB II Concerns With SEC Officials, Work Projects Moving Forward

December 12, 2014
Structured Finance Industry Group staff and some investor members met recently with the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Office of Structured Finance to talk about the initial reaction that investors had to the final Regulation AB II rule. Among topics addressed were market trends, operational aspects and scope of applicability of the final rule, according to an update SFIG provided its members recently. Meanwhile, the SFIG is...
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San Francisco Puts Eminent-Domain Talks on Hold Pending Results of a Study of ‘Joint Powers Authority’

December 12, 2014
The City of San Francisco has delayed a proposed partnership with Richmond, CA, to use eminent-domain authority to forcibly acquire distressed mortgages out of non-agency securitization trusts, opting instead to study the impact of such an agreement as well as other alternatives to assist underwater homeowners. Opposition by the San Francisco City Controller and the mortgage banking industry has forced John Avalos, a member of the city’s Board of Supervisors, to scale back his partnership proposal. Avalos laid out...
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2015 Looks to Be Another Slog for Non-Agency MBS With More Volatility, Big GSE Footprint

December 12, 2014
Supporters of the non-agency residential MBS market will have plenty of heavy lifting to do next year, as they face an anticipated increase in volatility for some deals and a continued dominating presence in the broader market by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, among a host of challenges. But at least there’s some degree of regulatory certainty for the market now, and it’s likely that opportunities will emerge for savvy investors to snap up some extra yield, according to a consensus of Wall Street analysts who cover the space. Analysts at Fitch Ratings expect to see the continuation of a slow recovery for the non-agency MBS space in 2015. “The recovery in primary U.S. RMBS issuance remains anemic as the industry continues to face challenges including continued government-sponsored enterprise dominance, more attractive financing alternatives such as whole-loan sales, new mortgage regulation, and a weak AAA investor base,” Fitch analysts said in a 2015 outlook piece. Also, despite the industry’s renewed efforts led by the Structured Finance Industry Group to resolve the absence of necessary structural reforms after the financial crisis, progress is...
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Underwriting Overlays Remain a Concern, GSEs and Lenders Seen as Sharing the Blame

December 11, 2014
Democrats in Congress and consumer advocates remain concerned about tight underwriting standards for mortgages, particularly due to overlays established by lenders. However, at a hearing this week by a subcommittee of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, there was a lack of consensus on what causes underwriting overlays. “Instead of matching the creditworthy borrower at the lower end of the distribution with affordable loans, these borrowers are being cut out of the market entirely,” said Sen. Robert Menendez, D-NJ, chairman of the Banking Subcommittee on Housing, Transportation and Community Development. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, suggested...
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Agency MBS New Issuance Tumbled in November As Purchase-Mortgage Activity Began to Slow

December 5, 2014
New issuance of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae single-family MBS fell 13.7 percent from October to November, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of loan-level data. The three agencies produced $80.23 billion of single-family MBS last month, the lowest amount since June. November also marked the first monthly decline in new production after seven consecutive monthly gains that started in April. All three agencies saw...[Includes two data charts]
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Program Managers Seen as Helpful for MBS Backed By Nonperforming Loans, Though Conflicts Exist

December 5, 2014
Non-agency MBS backed by nonperforming mortgages that include a program manager benefit from the unique oversight provided by the manager, according to Moody’s Investors Service. However, there are concerns that in some instances the program manager’s interests may conflict with those of senior bondholders. Moody’s said program managers typically set performance targets and monitor servicers’ progress at the loan level, adopt foreclosure strategies that reduce timelines and expenses and direct servicers’ loss mitigation strategies. The managers are more common on non-agency MBS backed by nonperforming loans than on non-agency MBS backed by newly originated mortgages. Program managers are...
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Ocwen’s Ginnie Mae Buyouts Fell to Zero In 3Q14; Does it Spell Trouble for the Firm?

December 5, 2014
Ocwen Financial, which has been under intense regulatory scrutiny most of the year, stopped buying delinquent loans out of Ginnie Mae pools during the third quarter, according to a review of loan-level data by Inside MBS & ABS. The cessation of buyouts is unusual and has some MBS analysts scratching their heads, wondering whether more trouble could be afoot at the nation’s largest nonbank servicer. According to a new report from Barclays, the reduction in buyouts by Ocwen (as measured by prepayments) “could be due...[Includes one data chart]
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SFIG to FHFA: Implementation of Single GSE Security Should Proceed Ahead of Congress, Transparency a Must

December 5, 2014
The Federal Housing Finance Agency should not wait for Congressional reform and should instead move at a deliberate pace to implement a single government-sponsored enterprise MBS, according to the Structured Finance Industry Group. SFIG staff and several members met with FHFA officials this week to discuss the potential transition to a single, common security between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In August, the FHFA proposed...
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