MBS investors have been enjoying a nice little rally of late thanks to what analysts call “geopolitical” concerns, namely the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. But how much further will bond prices rise and rates fall? It all depends on whom you ask. “We’ll see 2 percent on the long bond before 3 percent,” said Christopher Whalen, senior managing director of Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Over the past few weeks, MBS prices – based on the Fannie Mae 3.5 percent coupon – have neared...

Investor demand for re-performing loans has been so strong in recent months that some firms are sitting on the sidelines as yields have become unattractive. Re-performing loans are being sold both as whole loans and in non-agency MBS, largely without ratings. William Gorin, director and CEO of MFA Financial, said the real estate investment trust has been investing in unrated non-agency MBS backed by re-performing loans that were originated between 2005 and 2007. “The average credit support is...

The gradual slowdown in agency MBS purchases by the Federal Reserve helped real estate investment trusts grow their MBS portfolios during the second quarter of 2014. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of REIT earnings reports found that the industry held $286.3 billion of MBS as of the end of June. That was up 9.7 percent from the previous quarter and marked the first increase in REIT MBS holdings since the third quarter of 2012, when the aggregate industry portfolio was $374.2 billion. At the top of the sector, Annaly Capital Management reported...

Though mortgage securitizers, issuers, lenders and servicers support a proposal to consolidate Ginnie Mae’s two MBS program into a single security, certain specific issues appeared to divide them. In a recent joint letter to Ginnie Mae, the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association and the Mortgage Bankers Association said many of their members agree on a number of the issues raised by the proposal, but in some cases disagree on the solutions. “It is clear that further discussion is warranted, and direct engagement with key stakeholders should be beneficial,” the trade groups suggested. Both industry groups were responding...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency should act now to slowly increase Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s guaranty fees, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. SIFMA’s tempered support of a proposed government-sponsored enterprise g-fee increase runs contrary to the position held by much of the rest of the industry – that now is not the time. “We encourage...

The Department of Justice recently subpoenaed GM Financial and Santander Consumer USA, two of the largest subprime auto ABS issuers in the U.S., over concerns about their subprime auto lending and securitization operations, the two companies recently revealed. The developments suggest that such regulatory scrutiny of the sector in the wake of the financial crisis is intensifying, market participants and policy analysts say. Whether that will pose a substantial risk to other lenders remains to be seen. GM Financial announced...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued their conservatorship march toward smaller retained mortgage portfolios during the second quarter of 2014, with most of the focus on non-agency collateral, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. The two government-sponsored enterprises ended June with a combined $872.7 billion in mortgage-related holdings, down 3.3 percent from the previous quarter. Compared to a year ago, their combined portfolio was down 19.7 percent. It was down 45.2 percent from the $1.592 trillion they held in the fourth quarter of 2008 shortly after the two were put in conservatorship. The biggest decline has been...[Includes one data chart]

Trustee responsibilities, the role of the government-sponsored enterprises, deal documentation, loan-level disclosures, servicing, ratings, assignee liability, regulatory uncertainty, lien priority, bondholder communication and incentives for banks. These are just a few of the issues that need to be addressed for non-agency MBS issuance to resume in a meaningful manner, according to industry participants. About 25 comment letters were submitted after a request from the Treasury ...

The Structured Finance Industry Group has proposed investor-friendly standards for non-agency mortgage-backed securities in an effort to increase activity in the sector. The first “green paper” on Project RMBS 3.0 focuses on representations and warranties, triggers for independent reviews and disclosure of underwriting guidelines. “The goal here is to produce a proposal for standards that we would hope the industry adopts,” said Richard Johns, SFIG’s executive director ...

Morgan Stanley was set to issue its first jumbo mortgage-backed security since the financial crisis this week. The $256.48 million deal differs from most jumbo MBS issued in recent years in that all the loans were sourced from one lender, and they’re all adjustable-rate mortgages, including a fair number of interest-only loans. Morgan Stanley Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2014-1 was scheduled to close Aug. 15. Fitch Ratings and Standard & Poor’s gave the deal ...