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At ABS East, Optimism and Anxiety; New Rules and Regs a Big Concern

September 22, 2014
Brandon Ivey
Bob Behal, a principal and co-head of ABS and commercial MBS investments at Vanguard Group, said liquidity in the market is fair.
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Short Takes: Ginnie Mae MSR Transfers Plunge / And the Authors Are… / Time to Short Altisource? / Rep. Maloney Goes to Bat for GSE Multifamily / New Chairman for FHLB’s Office of Finance

September 22, 2014
Paul Muolo and Charles Wisniowski
Why short Altisource? This source reasons that as real estate values continue to improve and foreclosures slow, Altisource will have less to do going forward...
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The G-Fee Quandary: Will Higher Prices Stimulate the Non-Agency Market?

September 19, 2014
Brandon Ivey
SIFMA did not take a stance on whether g-fees should be adjusted up or down. Instead, the trade group stressed that it is unclear how a change to g-fees would impact non-agency activity.
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FOMC, As Expected, Will End Reinvesting Into MBS Sometime After It Raises the Fed Funds Target Rate

September 19, 2014
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee this week met Wall Street’s expectations that it will continue to plow principal payments from its holdings of agency MBS back into agency MBS until sometime after the central bank decides to raise its federal funds target range. “The timing will depend on how economic and financial conditions and the economic outlook evolve,” said the FOMC after its two-day meeting concluded Wednesday afternoon. In the meantime, the Fed’s tapering of its quantitative easing program will continue...
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Non-Agency MBS Market Still Stuck, Experts Agree; Policymakers, Players Discuss Ways to Ignite Growth

September 19, 2014
The non-agency MBS market remains stuck in the post-crisis doldrums, showing no signs of recovering, according to experts participating at this week’s Bipartisan Policy Center’s Housing Summit in Washington, DC. Efforts to ignite the growth in non-agency securitization channels to help reduce the government’s role in housing finance and draw back private capital have produced little result. Except for sporadic twitches, thanks to a smattering of deals backed by jumbo loans, the non-agency MBS market is barely alive, panelists said. The government, which is working to revive the non-agency market, sees...
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Market for Securitization of Mortgage Servicing Rights Yet to Get Off the Ground. Here’s Why

September 19, 2014
Although investors continue to pay premium – or close to it – prices for newly originated mortgage servicing rights, very few residential lenders have tried to securitize the underlying cash flows, leaving some market observers scratching their heads. “There are very few deals out there that I’m aware of,” said one servicing advisor, requesting his name not be used. “If a company needs cash, it’s a good option, but there’s just not much going on.” So far this year, just a handful of MSR-backed bonds have come...
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Fitch’s Change to Home Price Modeling Could Reduce Credit Enhancement Requirements on Non-Agency MBS

September 19, 2014
Fitch Ratings this week proposed changes in how it models home prices for loans to be included in new non-agency MBS. The change means more regions being classified as having sustainable home prices, which could lead to lower credit enhancement requirements on new securities. “The updated Sustainable Home Price model shows a stronger relationship to historical home prices and effectively distinguishes between periods of sustainable and unsustainable home prices,” the rating service said. “Under the new methodology, Fitch’s estimation of overvaluation is typically lower than in the previous model build.” Fitch has incorporated...
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Moody’s Ranked First in Non-Mortgage ABS Ratings at Midway Point in 2014, S&P Tops in Non-Agency MBS

September 19, 2014
Moody’s Investors Service – which has been on the sidelines in the sputtering jumbo MBS market this year – has edged up to become the most active rating service in the non-mortgage ABS market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Moody’s rated 71 ABS over the first half of the year, deals with a total issuance volume of $66.15 billion. That represented 64.5 percent of total non-mortgage ABS issued in the first six months of 2014. Moody’s had its biggest market shares in vehicle finance ABS and student loan deals. Standard & Poor’s ranked...[Includes two data charts]
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Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Multifamily Business Way Behind Last Year’s Pace

September 19, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were both active this week with multifamily MBS transactions, but they’ll have to double-time it if they plan to match last year’s levels. The odds are against them. Fannie’s multifamily new business volume came to $13.8 billion through August 2014, compared with $20.4 billion the year before. The government-sponsored enterprise would have to crank out another $15 billion in the last four months of 2014 to match the 2013 total of $28.8 billion. For rival Freddie, multifamily new business activity totaled...
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What We're Hearing: Do Banks Really Hate Mortgages? / Stearns Hires Former BofA Retail Honcho / Do the GSEs Really Need Capital? / A Bad NPL Experience?

September 19, 2014
Paul Muolo
Commercial banks hate mortgages. No, they don't. Yes, they do. No they don't. Yes, they do...
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