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Inside MBS & ABS
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GSE MBS Business Activity Posts Overall Increase in September

October 31, 2014
Together, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in September posted a combined increase in the volume of single-family mortgages securitized, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis. Fannie and Freddie issued $64.1 billion in single-family mortgage-backed securities in September, a 4.9 percent increase from August. However, September’s MBS issuance was down 56.7 percent on a year-to-date basis.
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Fed Ends Quantitative Easing Program, As Expected, But Will Yields Rise Enough to Lure Other Investors?

October 31, 2014
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee brought the latest installment in its quantitative easing programs to a conclusion this week, but the central bank will continue to reinvest principal payments back into agency MBS. The FOMC also reaffirmed the current 0 to 0.25 percent target range for the federal funds rate. “The committee anticipates … that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 0.25 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program this month, especially if projected inflation continues to run below the committee’s 2 percent longer-run goal, and provided that longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.” And as usual, the Fed left...
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Commercial Mortgage Securitization Up Sharply in 3Q14 As CMBS and Agency Multifamily Both Post Big Gains

October 31, 2014
A total of $51.18 billion of commercial mortgages were securitized during the third quarter of 2014 as the sector reached a new post-crisis high in new issuance, according to a new market analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. Commercial mortgage securitization rose 38.4 percent from the second quarter and represented the biggest three-month period in new issuance since the third quarter of 2007. For the first nine months of 2014, commercial mortgage securitization totaled $119.76 billion, down 24.4 percent from the same period last year. New issuance was off on a year-to-date basis because of the slump in production during the first half of 2014. Both sides of the market posted...[Includes one data chart]
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Non-QMs in Non-Agency MBS Seen as Pricing Nearly As Strong as QMs, Depending on the Underwriting

October 31, 2014
Issuers of non-agency MBS should be able to price loans that don’t meet the standards for qualified mortgages at nearly the same levels as QMs, according to Andrew Davidson & Co., a firm that provides risk analytics on non-agency MBS. Non-QMs actually perform better than similar QMs in certain scenarios, as long as underwriting on the products is strong. Beginning in late 2015, non-QMs included in new non-agency MBS will trigger risk-retention requirements. Only mortgages that meet QM standards will be deemed to be qualified residential mortgages and exempt from risk retention. Interest-only mortgages appear...
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Critics Find Plenty to Stew Over in New Risk- Retention Requirements for MBS and ABS

October 31, 2014
Participants in the residential mortgage market were largely pleased with the risk-retention requirements finalized last week for certain non-agency MBS. However, the requirements, which also cover commercial MBS and other ABS, drew a wide range of criticism from others. “The short version is that the rule doesn’t require meaningful credit risk retention where it counts, and imposes significant market-shaping safe-harbor requirements where skin in the game isn’t so important,” said Adam Levitin, a professor of law at the Georgetown University Law Center. He noted...
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Fannie, JPMorgan Debut New Risk-Sharing Vehicle, Freddie Rolls Out Two STACRs Totaling $1 Billion

October 31, 2014
Fannie Mae and JPMorgan Chase announced this week they are partnering in a new risk-sharing vehicle that features recourse provided to the government-sponsored enterprise on nearly $1 billion of new Chase originations. Separately, Freddie Mac has priced two more Structured Agency Credit Risk Transactions. JPMorgan Madison Avenue Securities Trust 2014-1 will simulate the behavior of a $989 million pool of JPMorgan-originated mortgages delivered into Fannie-guaranteed MBS. While similar to Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities program, there are...
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MBS Backed by Single-Family Rentals Are Gaining Traction, But Is This Asset Class Here to Stay?

October 31, 2014
Roughly $4.7 billion of securities backed by loans on packages of single-family rental units have come to market this year with more on the way between now and yearend. But with real estate values increasing, the “easy money” may be in the past. “So far, all of the transactions we’ve seen have been single-loan deals,” said Nitin Bhasin, a managing director within Kroll Bond Rating Agency’s structured finance group. Bhasin anticipates...
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SEC Deadlock Stalls $16.7 Billion BofA Settlement; Fannie Will Pay $170 Million to Shareholders to End Pre-Crisis Suit

October 31, 2014
An internal conflict within the Securities and Exchange Commission is reportedly holding up final resolution of Bank of America’s record $16.65 billion settlement with government agencies. The settlement, announced last August, is stalled due to a partisan dispute among the five SEC commissioners over granting a waiver on additional sanctions that would take hold when the settlement is entered into court. The sanctions, if enacted, could adversely affect...
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New Capital, Liquidity Tests are Ginnie Mae’s Insurance Against Potential Issuer Failure, Losses

October 31, 2014
The new net worth and liquidity requirements and other policy changes announced by Ginnie Mae last week should be viewed in light of the agency’s increased servicer risk stemming from a “new breed” of entities that have entered the market in the wake of the financial crisis, according to analysts. The sharp increase in the share of non-bank servicers has significantly altered Ginnie Mae’s risk exposure to servicer issues, noted analysts at Barclays. “Specifically, the liquidity and capitalization of these non-bank servicers, which are not subject to such requirements for bank servicers, leaves Ginnie Mae exposed to servicing disruptions,” they said. In 2015, Ginnie Mae will adjust...
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What We’re Hearing: 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear Via M&A? / Less Competition? / They’ll be Back / Benjamin Lawsky, a Nice Guy, Really / Provident Exiting Certain States?

October 31, 2014
Paul Muolo
One veteran mortgage trade group official, a staunch Republican no less, told us that Lawsky is an “honest and bright guy,” adding that he understands the issues.
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