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Non-Agency Nonperforming Loan Deals Expected to Remain Strong, with Attractive Profits for Investors and Issuers

February 5, 2016
Securities backed by nonperforming mortgages, one of the biggest sources of volume currently in the non-agency MBS market, are expected to continue to look good for investors and issuers, even as the housing market recovers. This week, analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch recommended investing in senior tranches of non-agency MBS backed by nonperforming loans. “As things get bad for risk assets and we recommend positioning for further widening in risk premium, NPL senior tranches stand out...
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Cash-Out Refinances on the Rise, More GSE Borrowers Are ‘Un-HARPing’ Loans

February 5, 2016
Cash-out refinances are staging a quiet comeback as rising home-price appreciation makes such deals feasible for more homeowners. The number of cash-out refinances continued to reach new recent highs in the third quarter of 2015, rivaling numbers not seen since 2008. Black Knight Financial said close to 300,000 cash-out refinances were originated in the third quarter of last year, and about one-million over the past 12 months. During that same time period, 42 percent of all first-lien refinances had a cash-out component, the highest share since 2008. In addition, the average cash-out amount was the most it’s been since 2007 at more than $60,000. In all, these homeowners tapped...
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Originators/Sellers Win Big in U.S. Appeals Court, Judges Agree Claims Accrue When a Loan Is Sold

February 5, 2016
A federal appeals court in Denver unanimously affirmed a lower court ruling that a claim of damage related to an originator/seller’s misrepresentation accrues when the loan is sold. Ruling in six cases involving plaintiffs Lehman Brothers Holdings and Aurora Commercial Corp. versus Universal American Mortgage Co. and Standard Pacific Mortgage, the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals rejected plaintiffs’ contentions that their claims were really “indemnification” claims that did not accrue until they bought the loans from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The overarching issue in this complicated case is...
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Interest Rate Step-Ups on Modified Mortgages a Modest Credit Negative for RMBS, Moody’s Says

February 5, 2016
The expected increase in interest rates on some previously modified home mortgages is a slight credit negative for RMBS performance because these loans will re-default at a higher rate, according to analysts at Moody’s Investors Service. However, higher default rates will have only a modest effect on subprime and Alt A RMBS, because only a small percentage of outstanding subprime and Alt A mortgage loans are positioned to experience future rate step-ups. In their research, the analysts found that subprime and Alt A modified loans become delinquent more frequently after a rate step-up. “Modified subprime and Alt A loans with a demonstrated performance history of four to five years become delinquent at a significantly higher rate after a step-up in interest rates than do loans of a similar type and vintage that have not stepped up,” said the analysts in a new report released this week. According to their data, in July 2015, only 2 percent of the modified re-performing subprime loans became...
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What We’re Hearing: CFPB Tries to Clear the Air on Construction Loans / A Friendly Holiday Letter From Richard? / CMC Supports the FR Move / A Tech Firm Enters the Mortgage Space / $1 Billion a Month in MSR Purchases

February 5, 2016
Paul Muolo
Paul Hindman, a consultant at Grid Financial Services, had this to stay about the deal: “The more important question is what other mortgage-related companies are on Computershare’s shopping list….”
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More of the Same: House GOP Launches Salvos at GSEs, FHA, CFPB

February 4, 2016
Thomas Ressler
As might be expected, the GOP is once again pushing to kill Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
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PennyMac Financial Ready to Launch Wholesale Unit

February 4, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Stan Kurland on PennyMac's move into wholesale/broker lending: “We are currently developing the necessary systems and infrastructure..."
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Two Harbors Earns $72.1 Million in 4Q, Will Focus More on MSRs…

February 4, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Two Harbors issued $2.00 billion of jumbo MBS 2015, adding that pricing improved for its deals throughout the year.
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Short Takes: The Unforgiving Market for Mortgage Stocks / A Dividend of Almost 14 Percent / All Eyes on PHH Corp. / Midwest Lender Will Pay Borrower if Loan Doesn’t Close On Time / Past FHA ‘Sins,’ Before They Were Actually Sins

February 4, 2016
Paul Muolo
“When is enough, enough? Paying for past sins, sometimes before they were sins. I’m not speaking specifically about Wells Fargo, but in general.” – Marc Savitt, NAIHP president.
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Analysts Suggest Tight Underwriting Prevented 1.2 Million Mortgages in 2014, Lenders Point to Buyback Uncertainty

February 4, 2016
If lenders used the seemingly sensible underwriting standards that were in place in 2001, some 1.2 million more mortgages would have been originated in 2014, according to estimates by the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center. Laurie Goodman, director of the HFPC, said lenders have “plenty of room to safely ease credit.” An underwriting index from the HFPC suggests that originators are accepting little risk in terms of borrower or loan characteristics, hindering a recovery in the mortgage market and the broader economy. Lenders note...
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