In 2016, the non-agency MBS market was a dud…

It looks like Redwood Trust will be the first out the door with a jumbo security in 2017. Who’s next?

Another record year for Ginnie Mae MBS issuance plus strong volume in the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac programs helped push total securitization of residential mortgages and non-mortgage ABS to a three-year high of $1.698 trillion in 2016. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis shows that total MBS and ABS issuance – not including commercial MBS – was up 13.3 percent from 2015. Agency production of single-family MBS totaled $1.481 trillion in 2016, up 17.5 percent from the previous year. Over a third of that came from Ginnie, which set a new annual record with $507.5 billion in single-family MBS issuance. The non-agency MBS market was...[Includes three data tables]

With two of the nation’s largest originators of nonprime and non-qualified mortgages hoping for a record production year in 2017, the mostly anemic securitization market for these types of credits could receive a real boost. But the big question remains: how much will the two firms – Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions and Citadel Servicing Corp. – tap the MBS market? In 2016, the Irvine, CA-based Citadel funded...

In late December, Freddie Mac issued a $934.27 million security backed by seasoned mortgages. It was the first seasoned credit-risk transfer from the government-sponsored enterprise. While Freddie has issued fully guaranteed securitizations backed by seasoned mortgages, Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2016-1 included tranches without a guarantee from the GSE, similar to a non-agency senior-sub MBS. The transaction included...

Monex Deposit Company issued a $100.0 million ABS backed by loans on silver and other coins in late December, according to Morningstar Credit Ratings. The deal received a AA rating, with the rating service noting concerns about the volatility of silver prices and regulatory issues. MDC is a precious-metals dealer established in 1987 whose predecessor dates back to 1967. Scala Funding Company 2016-1 consists of 1,854 accounts with an average balance of $51,760. The loans backing the ABS are offered...

The incoming Trump administration has yet to pick a new president for Ginnie Mae, but foreign investors will be keeping a close eye on the selection for the simple reason they own a ton of the agency’s MBS. According to Sept. 30 figures provided to Inside MBS & ABS, foreign investment in Ginnie MBS is now at a record $552 billion, or roughly 35 percent of all outstanding securities. The agency could not provide...

Two Wall Street banks have agreed to separate settlements with the Department of Justice to resolve civil claims related to their issuance and underwriting of nonprime residential MBS leading up to the financial crisis. Under the terms of the settlements, Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank have agreed to pay the DOJ $2.48 billion and $3.1 billion, respectively, related to the securitization, underwriting and issuance of residential MBS prior to 2008. In addition, Credit Suisse ($2.8 billion) and Deutsche Bank ($4.1 billion) will provide...

The only word from the incoming Trump administration about the fate of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is that the prospective Treasury secretary wants to bring them out of conservatorship. The Obama administration, however, commits only to preserving an explicit government guarantee for a “defined class” of MBS. “The explicit government guarantee would be funded by financial institutions and would act as insurance against catastrophic losses,” said the Treasury in a late December blog posting by Jane Dokko, deputy assistant secretary for financial economics, and Sam Valverde, a counselor in the Office of Domestic Finance. However, the authors don’t elaborate on what would shape the defined class. Under the new guarantee, investors would be assured...

With structured finance performance having peaked for many sectors, analysts at Fitch Rating and S&P Global Ratings anticipate some modest asset-level deterioration in 2017 – most notably in both prime and subprime auto ABS. On the other hand, they expect relatively stable performance from credit card ABS. “Both prime and subprime auto ABS loss rates could be...