In the Trump economy, predicting which way rates might go in the wake of a stock market swoon is more difficult than usual. As for MBS spreads narrowing, don’t bet on it anytime soon.
Few issuers tried to price non-agency MBS in the days following President Trump’s tariff announcement last week. An expanded-credit MBS from Annaly priced at the widest spreads seen in more than a year.
Ginnie Mae emerged victorious in a lawsuit brought by Texas Capital Bank over an extinguished lien on collateral for Reverse Mortgage Funding’s home equity conversion mortgages. TCB plans to appeal the ruling.
S&P says the current AA+ rating enjoyed by the GSEs is a function of their government support. Because of their capital shortfalls, both GSEs have a B- standalone credit profile rating.