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4Q GSE Earnings May Get Boost From Loss Reserves, Will Fannie Pull Even?

January 24, 2014
Paul Muolo
Most of what Fannie and Freddie earn in the fourth quarter will go directly into the coffers of the U.S. Treasury Department.
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MBS Market Stuck in Wait-and-See Mode with GSE Reform, Issuance of New Non-Agency MBS

January 24, 2014
The consensus among speakers at the ABS Vegas conference this week appeared to be that the MBS market is unlikely to change significantly this year. “The status quo is comfortable,” said Larry White, an economics professor at New York University’s business school. Issuers of non-agency MBS are working on reducing the government-sponsored enterprises’ dominance of the secondary market for mortgages, but the chicken-and-egg problem persists. New non-agency issuance has ground to a standstill, and Congress has been slow to move housing-finance reform legislation. In the meantime, industry observers expect...
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SFIG to Take Another Whack at Standardized Reps and Warrants in Effort to Attract Non-Agency MBS Investors

January 24, 2014
The Structured Finance Industry Group announced this week that it will convene a taskforce to establish standardized representations and warranties for new non-agency MBS. The “Project RMBS 3.0” effort will involve a wide variety of industry participants in an effort to attract investors to non-agency MBS. If the effort sounds familiar, that’s because the American Securitization Forum issued benchmark reps and warrants in 2009 as part of its Project Restart initiative. “We want to resolve these issues once and for all,” said Eric Kaplan, managing director of Shellpoint Partners and one of the leaders of Project RMBS 3.0, during this week’s ABS Vegas conference sponsored by the SFIG and Information Management Network. He said...
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Jumbo Flop in Second Half of 2013 Throttled Budding Recovery, Redwood Pioneered and Dominated Market

January 24, 2014
Non-agency MBS issuance declined by 30.6 percent from the third to the fourth quarter of 2013 as the plucky jumbo securitization sector ran out of gas. The market produced $4.94 billion of new non-agency MBS during the fourth quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis and ranking, the weakest output of the year. Although there were some gains in the scratch-and-dent and re-securitization sector – markets that are almost all private placements – production of jumbo MBS fell by 71.4 percent. Even with the late fizzle, 2013 produced...[Includes three data charts]
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Credit Suisse Buys a Stake in MBS REIT Chimera, But Sector’s Outlook is Cloudy

January 24, 2014
Credit Suisse recently filed notice with the Securities and Exchange Commission, stating that it now owns 5.4 percent of Chimera Investment Corp., a real estate investment trust whose forte is buying residential MBS. However, the investment comes at a time when a cloud is hanging over the REIT sector, especially MBS investing firms such as Chimera. Moreover, Chimera’s stock has been stuck at about $3 a share the past 16 months, mostly because it’s still wading through earnings restatements and has not been a timely filer of quarterly and annual reports with the SEC. As the company noted in one regulatory filing: “Our failure to be...
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Distressed MBS Inventories Grow in Judicial States as Liquidation Rates, Short Sales Decline, Report Says

January 24, 2014
The number of distressed residential loans backing non-agency mortgage securities dropped by 5 percent in the third quarter of 2013 and by 20 percent from the prior year. This trend, however, could lose some steam in the months ahead. According to the latest report from Morningstar Credit Ratings, clearing the distressed inventory in the non-agency MBS market might take a little longer because the pace of decline has slowed significantly. The number of liquidations has dropped by 39 percent, with approximately 891,000 properties with distressed mortgages still in inventory, it added. In addition, total distressed liquidation as a percentage of total paid-off loans continues...
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Judges’ Rulings Keep Alive Repurchase Lawsuits Against GE, TWC Asset Management; BofA Ruling Expected Soon

January 24, 2014
A Manhattan federal judge last week ruled that Bank of New York Mellon may proceed with repurchase claims against a General Electric unit in connection with a $900 million non-agency MBS. BNYM, in its capacity as trustee for a pool of loans known as GE-WMC Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-1, filed suit against GE Mortgage Holdings and WMC Mortgage LLC in New York state court in 2012, where the defendants promptly moved the legal action to federal court to dismiss it. Following the court’s denial of the defendant’s motions to dismiss, GE Mortgage filed...
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What We’re Hearing: Time to Investigate the Government Takeover of Fannie and Freddie? / Fairholme Increases its GSE Holdings / Lenders Rolling out First-Lien HELOCs / George Mason Mortgage Loses Money, for Real / NTC Sees Fewer Differences Among Len

January 24, 2014
Paul Muolo
Who at the GSEs (or at the Federal Housing Finance Agency) was responsible for telling Fannie and Freddie to set aside so much money for loan losses and were those assumptions way off base?
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House Democrat Trio Proposes Long-Shot GSE Reform Legislation

January 24, 2014
Three House Democrats have added their own proposal to the growing list of legislative housing finance reforms that, in time, could pave the way for the government to sell off Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while giving new purpose to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The reform proposal by Reps. John Delaney (MD), John Carney (DE) and Jim Himes (CT) would establish a system of government reinsurance for eligible mortgage-backed securities. The idea is to leverage the government’s capacity and the market’s ability to price risk, they said.
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House Quartet Wants Watt to Expand GSE Use of Credit Score

January 24, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should revise their seller/servicer guidelines to allow use of credit scores from more than one provider in order to “foster competition,” according to a bipartisan quartet of House Financial Services Committee members. In a letter sent to Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt, Reps. Ed Royce, R-CA; Spencer Bachus, R-AL; James Himes, D-CT; and Carolyn Maloney, D-NY, said that the GSEs should not be restricted to relying on credit scores provided solely by the Fair Isaac Corp.
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