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Banks Report Modest Increase in MBS Holdings In 1Q14, Preference for Fannie/Freddie Securities

May 30, 2014
Commercial banks and savings institutions held $1.521 trillion of single-family MBS in their retained portfolios as of the end of the first quarter of 2014, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis of call report data. Bank and thrift MBS holdings were up a modest 1.0 percent from the previous quarter, but it marked the first increase since the third quarter of 2012, when the Federal Reserve began aggressively buying agency MBS and Treasury securities. Significantly, the increase in bank MBS holdings came at a time when new issuance was plummeting. MBS purchases...[Includes two data charts]
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RBS Securities Cutting Back on MBS Trading Business, Other Foreign Banks May Follow Suit

May 30, 2014
RBS Securities – which is 64 percent owned by the government of the United Kingdom – is shaking up its mortgage trading operation in the U.S., cutting staff and taking a close look at its future in an extremely tough American mortgage market. Officials at the bank’s MBS headquarters in Stamford, CT, did not return telephone calls about the matter, but several lenders and Wall Street executives confirmed that cutbacks have been made at the company over the past week or so. Frank Skibo, a managing director for RBS in Connecticut, and Ara Balabanian, a director in the group, also could not be reached...
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GSEs and Their Regulator Still Don’t Have a Handle On How Long CSP Will Take, or What It Will Cost

May 30, 2014
Building the new common securitization platform for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be the easy part. Plugging in the two government-sponsored enterprises is another story. Through the end of last year, the two GSEs had spent about $65 million to build the CSP, according to a report by the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The IG estimated that Fannie and Freddie this year are spending about $6 million a month to continue that work. In fact, neither the GSEs nor the FHFA have yet come up...
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Consequences of Continued GSE Conservatorship And Exiting Without Backstop Called ‘Cataclysmic’

May 30, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cannot remain safely in conservatorship indefinitely, and they cannot get out from under Uncle Sam’s protection without “cataclysmic” consequences to the government-sponsored enterprises, MBS investors and the market, according to a new Urban Institute study. While the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the White House can make minor changes administratively, the UI paper notes it would take an act of Congress to authorize substantial revisions to the GSEs’ bailout agreement. “They can take...
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Issuance of Agency MBS Backed by Modified and Re-Performing Mortgages Expected to Increase

May 30, 2014
Issuance of agency MBS has dropped off in the past year due to a decline in the supply of refinances. However, industry analysts expect that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will boost the supply of agency MBS with issuance backed by modified mortgages and re-performing loans. Fannie and Freddie could have $250 billion in modified mortgages on their balance sheets, according to estimates by Deutsche Bank Securities. The two government-sponsored enterprises will likely unload the holdings via securitization, prompted by portfolio reduction goals established by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Freddie has been...
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Prospects for Subprime Auto ABS Look Good, As Investors Move Down the Waterfall for Yield

May 30, 2014
U.S. auto ABS may have hit a few potholes in recent months, but seasonal factors and investors’ hunger for greater returns is strengthening the sector, especially for subprime deals, according to Wall Street analysts. “Subprime auto ABS continue to benefit from the hunt for yield,” said Elen Callahan and Kayvan Darouian, analysts with Deutsche Bank, in a recent research report. Many deals are oversubscribed and are often upsized, they added. “With spread differentials of up to 600 basis points, depending on issuer and tranche, investors who are comfortable with the asset class’s recent performance are moving from the top of the credit structure, down to the first-loss piece, to pick up yield.” Increased demand for subprime auto ABS subordinate bonds is...
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Single-Family Rental Securitization Market Expected To Thrive With Plenty of Demand from Investors

May 30, 2014
The market for securities backed by proceeds from single-family rental properties is set to grow from deals backed by a single firm to pools with multiple sponsors, according to industry analysts. The sector has produced more volume than the jumbo MBS market in recent months and investor demand for single-family rental securities remains strong. Rating services are projecting that single-family rental securities soon will come to market with multiple sponsors or borrowers in a single security. Kroll Bond Rating Agency released...
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What We’re Hearing: Why The ‘Lawsky Effect’ May Hammer NSM, OCN, WAC / $61 Billion in MSRs Still Up Grabs? / 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear? / LenderLive Will Buy Jumbos / San Antonio Lenders Ask: Julian Who?

May 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
A new poll on the Inside Mortgage Finance website tells the story: Just 24 percent of respondents want Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac taken out to the Jersey Meadowlands by Luca Brasi. (Leave the gun, take the cannolis.)
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FHFA Official: GSEs Move Slowly With Common Security Platform

May 30, 2014
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are moving forward slowly on the common securitization platform even after the Federal Housing Finance Agency recently narrowed the project, according to an agency official. Bob Ryan, a special advisor to the FHFA, told attendees at last week’s Mortgage Bankers Association Secondary Market Conference that the development of a common GSE securitization platform would take several years. The Finance Agency’s 2014 strategic plan for the GSEs includes clarifying the scope of the CSP project, which has been in the works for over a year.
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IG Audit Dings FHFA for CSP Project Risks After Two Years

May 30, 2014
Over roughly two years, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have spent about $65 million on the common securitization platform project, but without employing a timeline on the massive undertaking or a total cost estimate, according to a new report from the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In its report, released last week, the IG notes that the regulator/conservator of the GSEs has yet to fully employ these “two basic project management tools,” which it deems critical to the project’s success.Although some progress has been made in developing the CSP, the project faces “considerable challenges that could undermine the project.”
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