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Investors Continue to Bid Up the Price of Agency MBS; 105-Plus for a Fannie 3.5 Percent MBS

January 9, 2015
MBS investors this week continued to bid up the price of agency product in the wake of rock-bottom oil prices and economic fears about Asia, Europe and any oil-producing nation that relies too heavily on the energy sector. According to figures compiled by MBS Quoteline, at one point this week investors were paying 105.10 for Fannie Mae MBS with a coupon of 3.5 percent. Back in October the bid on the Fannie 3.5 was a mere 101.83. “Who would pay 105...
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Basel Committee Suggests Reduced Reliance on Credit Ratings for Bank Capital Requirements

January 9, 2015
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision recently proposed replacing credit ratings with loan-characteristic metrics for determining capital requirements on bank holdings of residential MBS and commercial MBS. Federal regulators in the U.S. note that the proposal is preliminary and any changes to U.S. capital requirements will go through a notice and comment process separate from the BCBS’ activity. The current standardized approach established by Basel for determining capital requirement riskweights prescribes the use of external credit ratings for residential MBS and commercial MBS, among other holdings by banks subject to capital requirements. “While acknowledging that credit rating agencies play an important role in financial markets and that external credit assessments provide valuable information that may assist in the analysis of credit risk exposures, the hard-wiring of external credit assessments into standards, laws and regulations may often lead...
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Ambac Whacks BofA With a New MBS Lawsuit, Credit Suisse’s and Wells Fargo’s MBS Woes Mount

January 9, 2015
Bank of America’s never-ending litigation woes spilled into 2015 as Ambac Assurance hit the bank with a new lawsuit related to toxic mortgages. Credit Suisse and Wells Fargo also welcomed the new year facing MBS lawsuits. According to analysts at Stone Fox Capital, an investment advisory firm, Ambac is claiming $600 million in losses, which arose from insuring approximately $1.7 billion in MBS transactions from 2005 to 2007. The MBS were issued by Countrywide Financial, which BofA acquired in 2008 and has been the principal cause of its legal headaches ever since. Ambac emerged...
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As GSEs Pull Back From Servicing Advance Lines With Nonbanks, More Deals Could Move to Wall Street

January 9, 2015
Fannie Mae – and perhaps, Freddie Mac – over the past few years have been quietly extending servicing advances to a handful of large nonbank specialty servicers, but it now appears that market might be shifting to Wall Street. Late last month, Green Tree Servicing signed a $1.2 billion servicing advance facility with Barclays Bank, a 12-fold increase from a previous agreement the nonbank had. Barclays is...
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Jumbo MBS Issuance Increases Toward End Of 2014, Falls Well Short of Peak Seen in 2013

January 9, 2015
The strong growth in issuance of jumbo mortgage-backed securities seen since 2010 stumbled in 2014, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Some $9.79 billion in jumbo MBS were issued last year, down 25.4 percent from activity in 2013. Issuance has been constrained by bank portfolio demand for jumbo mortgages. The spike in interest rates in 2013 led to nine months of very low issuance. Rates have since fallen and a number of new jumbo MBS issuers have entered the market, but quarterly volume has struggled to reach the levels seen in early 2013. Those looking for a silver lining could...[Includes one data chart]
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Jumbo Underwriting Looser as Lenders Compete

January 9, 2015
Jumbo lenders continue to loosen underwriting requirements in an effort to compete for volume. Some lenders are even offering jumbos with loan-to-value ratios as high as 95 percent, while three years ago a 70 percent LTV ratio was the norm. “We’ve seen a fairly rapid loosening of standards on jumbo loans,” said Michael Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, during an event hosted this week by the Urban Institute. “They’re still tight, but now you can get a 5 percent down jumbo loan. And minimum credit scores have been coming down.” The MBA’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index has shown...
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Non-Agency Lenders Adapt to ATR Standards

January 9, 2015
Lenders are getting more comfortable with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule, according to industry participants. Loans that do not meet standards for qualified mortgages are only available in the non-agency market and most have been retained in portfolio to this point. Many lenders participating in a recent roundtable hosted by Standard & Poor’s said interest-only mortgages continue to be attractive products, even though the loans are non-QMs. “These loans have been originated post-crisis, and originators expect to continue lending to high-quality borrowers with substantial equity in their properties,” S&P said in a summary of the roundtable discussion. A large bank lender at the S&P roundtable said...
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Prepayment Penalties Could Help Non-Agency MBS

January 9, 2015
More investors would be willing to buy new non-agency mortgage-backed securities if loans in the deals had prepayment penalties, according to an industry analyst. The penalties offer investors protection, but their use has been limited by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule, among other factors. Lawrence White, a professor and deputy chair in economics at the New York University Stern School of Business, suggested that the non-agency MBS market would see increased demand from investors, particularly insurance companies, if loans in non-agency MBS included prepayment penalties. “These institutions have largely stayed...
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News Briefs

January 9, 2015
Standards for qualified-residential mortgages along with risk-retention requirements for certain non-agency mortgage-backed securities take effect Dec. 24, 2015. The final rule establishing the implementation date was published in the Federal Register at the end of December 2014. Federal regulators first detailed...[Includes two briefs]
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Ginnie Mae MBS Volume Fell Slightly in 4Q14

January 9, 2015
Ginnie Mae issuance fell 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014 as the agency closed a busy year with more than $288.1 billion in total business, according to analysis of agency data. Home-purchase loans, at $192.6 billion, comprised the bulk of new government-loan securitizations, while refinances accounted for $73.0 billion. Loan modifications represented $22.6 billion in total issuances. FHA funneled $158.1 billion in loans to Ginnie Mae while VA and Rural Housing Development loans accounted for $109.5 billion and $19.9 billion, respectively. Wells Fargo led all Ginnie MBS issuers with $57.6 billion followed by PennyMac in distant second with $16.7 billion. Chase Home Finance landed in third place with $15.0 billion while Freedom Mortgage closed the year in fourth place with $14.8 billion. Rounding out the top five Ginnie Mae issuers, Quicken Loans ended 2014 with ... [ 1 chart ]
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