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Short Takes: CFPB Seen as Limited by Election Results; Many Factors Contributing to Looser Underwriting; Outlook on Demand for Agency MBS

June 26, 2017
Brandon Ivey
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has largely been “defanged” in the aftermath of 2016 elections, according to analysts at FBR Capital Markets.
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VA Jumbo Securitization Declines, FHA Jumbo Production also Down

June 23, 2017
Wells Fargo fell a notch as PennyMac raced to the top to become the leading VA jumbo securitizer for the first quarter of 2017 – a period in which VA jumbo loan securitization took a sharp nose dive. The volume of VA jumbo loans securitized during the first three months plunged 36.8 percent, compared to the meager 2.0 percent decline seen in the fourth quarter. The drop reflected a 32.9 percent drop in jumbo mortgage production during the first quarter, along with similar large drops in virtually every product segment in the mortgage market, according to an analysis by Inside FHA/VA Lending affiliate Inside Mortgage Finance. The agency jumbo market was down 39.1 percent from the fourth quarter despite the bump up in high-cost loan limits to $636,150, an increase of $10,650 that became effective in January. All components of the agency jumbo market took big hits in the first quarter, including ... [ Charts ]
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Securitization Rates Started Strong in 1Q17, but…

June 23, 2017
John Bancroft
The lag effect was particularly noticeable in the conventional-conforming market…
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Update: Deal Agent Negotiations for Non-Agency MBS Drag On

June 23, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Clayton Holdings was the first firm to receive an assessment from rating services as a deal agent…
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Liquidity in MBS and ABS Markets Seen as ‘Adequate,’ Although Lagging Activity in the Corporate Bond Market

June 23, 2017
Issuance volumes in various MBS and ABS sectors are generally below pre-crisis levels and liquidity in the markets is adequate, according to an analysis by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. But the structured finance sector hasn’t flourished as the corporate bond market has in recent years, according to FINRA. The non-governmental regulator of broker-dealers based its analysis in part on data collected by its Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine, which tracks trades in a variety of asset classes. The analysis was completed by FINRA’s Office of the Chief Economist. “Market liquidity [for MBS and ABS] seems...[Includes one data table]
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Deal Agent Negotiations for Non-Agency MBS Drag on, Moody’s Offers Some Insight

June 23, 2017
The development of a deal agent for new non-agency MBS has spanned years, with industry participants working toward the best way to compensate the new transaction party, among other issues. A deal agent would have a fiduciary duty to investors, oversee enforcement of representations and warranties, and monitor various participants in a security. The new role is significant because some major investors say that after suffering major losses on MBS issued before the financial crisis, a deal agent is required for them to buy new securities. Clayton Holdings was...
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Securitization Rates Started Strong in 2017, But Secondary Lagged Mortgage Originations Slump

June 23, 2017
Securitization rates appeared to rebound strongly in the first quarter of 2017, with an estimated 79.5 percent of primary-market mortgage originations finding their way into a variety of MBS, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. That’s up from a 69.1 percent securitization rate for all of 2016 and, if it keeps up for the rest of 2017, it would be the highest mark since 2013. In the fourth quarter of 2016, the rate was 72.7 percent. Both new MBS production and primary-market originations were...[Includes one data table]
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Ginnie Mae is Now Number Two in MBS Outstanding, But Nonbanks Aren’t Exactly Lining Up to Get Approved

June 23, 2017
If you’re a mortgage banker hoping to issue Ginnie Mae securities, now may be a good time to apply: the list of pending applications is extremely short, as are the wait times. According to Gregory Keith, senior vice president and chief risk officer for the agency, there are now just nine pending applications, with two of those being circulated for final approval. Moreover, according to figures provided to Inside MBS & ABS, final approvals granted to banks and nonbanks have been...
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Weaker Investor Protections Detected in Newer Nonprime RMBS Transactions vs. Prime Deals

June 23, 2017
Investors in nonprime MBS may be more vulnerable to fraudulent or defective mortgages compared to prime transactions because of deficiencies or inadequacies in the related representation-and-warranties frameworks, according to a new report from analysts at Moody’s Investors Service. “The collateral backing these transactions is riskier than the loans in post-crisis prime jumbo RMBS, which also generally use stronger frameworks,” the report said. For starters, “Transactions in the re-emerging non-prime RMBS sector are...
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Warner Expects GSE Reform Before Overhaul Of Dodd-Frank Act, Discusses Lessons Learned

June 23, 2017
Sen. Mark Warner, D-VA, suggested the widespread view that Congress won’t get around to resolving the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be too pessimistic. Speaking at a Mortgage Bankers Association conference in Washington, DC, this week, Warner said, “This may surprise some folks, but I think the stars may align where you could actually see housing-finance reform happen in front of some of the Dodd-Frank reform.” Warner, who co-authored a reform bill four years ago, said...
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