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Inside MBS & ABS
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MBS Trading Volume Increased in June, but…

July 17, 2017
Paul Muolo
It hasn’t been pretty the last couple of weeks for MBS values…
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UI: Single-Security Efforts Alleviated GSE Pricing Disparities

July 17, 2017
Carisa Chappell
Freddie Mac’s prepayment speeds are no longer faster than Fannie’s…
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Fannie/Freddie 1-Family MBS Business Slumped in 2Q17

July 14, 2017
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac issued $189.70 billion of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the second quarter of 2017, a 13.1 percent drop from the first three months of the year. A new ranking and analysis by Inside The GSEs reveals that much of the decline resulted from a slowdown among large banks and thrifts. The four banks with over $1 trillion in assets delivered just $43.23 billion of home loans into Fannie/Freddie MBS during the second quarter. That was down 29.1 percent from the previous period, knocking the group’s combined market share down from 27.9 percent in the first quarter to 22.8 percent.
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UI: Single-Security Efforts Alleviated GSE Pricing Differences

July 14, 2017
Pricing disparity between the GSEs has almost disappeared since single-security efforts began, according to a new paper by the Urban Institute. The authors called the progress on the initiative an “unheralded success” in a paper released this week. In 2012 and 2013, Freddie’s 3, 3.5, and 4 percent coupons traded at more than a $0.30 discount to Fannie Mae’s. That number narrowed to about $0.15 in 2014 and 2015 and by early 2017 it had largely converged, said the UI. “Interestingly, the pricing disparity has all but disappeared since the single-security effort began,” said Laurie Goodman, Jim Parrott and Bing Bai, authors of the study.
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A Strong Showing for Non-Agency MBS in 2Q17 – Thanks to S&D Deals and Re-securitizations

July 14, 2017
John Bancroft
One of the biggest development this year has been the growing consistency in issuance of nonprime MBS.
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Despite Slump in Prime-Jumbo Space, Non-agency MBS Production Gained Momentum in Second Quarter

July 14, 2017
The non-agency MBS market is off to what looks like one of its best years in terms of new issuance since the financial crisis, according to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. A total of $15.30 billion of non-agency MBS were issued in the second quarter, representing a gain of 13.4 percent from the first three months of 2017. That brought year-to-date production to $28.80 billion, a 32.0 percent increase over the first half of 2016. As has been the case since 2009, most of the new production has been...[Includes three data tables]
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Non-Agency MBS Trustees Expected to Follow Wells in Withholding Funds for Deals Subject to Clean-up Calls

July 14, 2017
Wells Fargo’s recent maneuver to hold back funds on vintage non-agency MBS subject to clean-up calls could have broader implications for the market, according to industry analysts. Other trustees appear likely to follow the lead set by Wells, which could limit clean-up calls by servicers. In June, Wells withheld $94.3 million in funds from investors in 20 non-agency MBS that were subject to clean-up calls by New Residential Investment. The deals in question are the subject of a lawsuit involving MBS investors alleging that Wells failed to perform its duties as trustee. Wells disputed the charges and withheld the funds to cover potential litigation costs. Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch said...
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Royal Bank of Scotland Settles with FHFA for $5.5B in 2011 Lawsuit Over Non-agency MBS

July 14, 2017
Federal Housing Finance Agency lawsuits over pre-crisis non-agency MBS are winding down with one of the last holdouts, Royal Bank of Scotland, reaching a settlement this week for $5.5 billion. In 2011, the agency filed charges against 18 issuers and underwriters alleging securities law violations and fraud regarding non-agency MBS sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. JP Morgan Chase settled for $4.0 billion, Deutsche Bank for $1.9 billion and Goldman Sachs for $1.2 billion. Most of the cases were settled in 2013 and 2014. The two government-sponsored enterprises purchased...
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Yellen Affirms Fed Balance Sheet Reduction to Start This Year, Analysts Try to Anticipate Market Impact

July 14, 2017
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee is moving closer to beginning what is likely to be a long and drawn-out process to gradually and predictably unwind the U.S. central bank’s huge portfolio of agency MBS and debt – the sooner, the better, according to Fed chief Janet Yellen. “The FOMC intends to gradually reduce the Federal Reserve’s securities holdings by decreasing its reinvestment of the principal payments it receives from the securities held in the System Open Market Account,” she said this week in her semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony on monetary policy to members of Congress. “Specifically, such payments will be reinvested...
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MBS Trading Volume Increased in June, But Concerns Remain About Supply and What the Fed Might Do

July 14, 2017
The average daily trading volume of agency MBS reached $209.9 billion in June, the second highest reading of the year and a sign that liquidity is picking up, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. The increase in trading comes despite the fact that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae issued a total of $317.7 billion of new MBS in the second quarter, a 6.1 percent decline from the first quarter. For the six-month period, 2017 holds the edge with volume up 3.5 percent. But it hasn’t been...
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