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Short Takes: Freddie Mac Might Avoid a Treasury Draw / Exigent? / This is Just the Beginning / The Big Winners: Holders of GSE Junior Preferred / Paying Your Mortgage via Alexa / IMFnews Publishing Break

December 21, 2017
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Washington Analysis believes the FHFA/Treasury move is a “clear positive for shareholders in the GSEs, particularly holders of junior preferred shares..."
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Prime Non-Agency MBS Issuance Expected To Grow in 2018, Standards May Loosen

December 21, 2017
Issuance of prime non-agency mortgage-backed securities will increase next year, according to predictions from various industry analysts. Some see a gradual increase while analysts at Kroll Bond Rating Agency said volume could double when including so-called expanded-prime MBS. Kroll said prime non-agency MBS issuance could hit nearly $20.0 billion in 2018. “Assuming that spread tightening across structured finance remains at or near current levels, execution may continue to favor ...
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GSE-Eligible Loans Prominent in MBS from Chase

December 21, 2017
Some 55.2 percent of the loans in JPMorgan Chase’s forthcoming $883.8 million non-agency mortgage-backed security will be eligible for sale to the government-sponsored enterprises. Chase has included conforming mortgages in previous non-agency MBS but usually in smaller amounts. The GSE-eligible mortgages were largely originated by Chase, along with some contributions from loanDepot. The GSE-eligible mortgages have an average balance of $536,992 ...
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Annaly Seeing Strong Returns from Whole Loans

December 21, 2017
Significant investments in new non-agency whole loans are paying off, according to officials at Annaly Capital Management. The real estate investment trust started buying the loans in the second half of 2016 after acquiring Hatteras Financial. As of the end of the third quarter, Annaly held non-agency whole loans with an unpaid principal balance of $896.0 million. Whole loans accounted for 28.0 percent of Annaly’s residential credit portfolio as of the end of September, up from a ...
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Few Losses on Non-QM MBS, Some Delinquencies

December 21, 2017
Investor demand for non-agency mortgage-backed securities with non-qualified mortgages appears to have been boosted by the performance of such deals issued in recent years. There have been some delinquencies – owing to somewhat loose underwriting standards – but investors have largely been protected from losses. DBRS recently analyzed 18 non-QM MBS issued since 2015 and found that only three deals had experienced losses as of September. A $150.4 million deal from ...
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Tax Reform Bill Seen as Having Some Negative Impacts for MBS and ABS Markets, Particularly Deals Involving Leases

December 21, 2017
As Congress worked on tax reform legislation, participants in the structured finance market didn’t raise many concerns, but the bill passed this week could cause some problems for MBS and ABS markets, according to the Structured Finance Industry Group.
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Ongoing Upgrades of Vintage Non-Agency MBS Creating Some Profit Opportunities for Investors

December 21, 2017
Since the start of 2015, credit ratings have been upgraded on nearly $350.0 billion of vintage non-agency MBS, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The upgrades follow extensive down-grades during the financial crisis and can help create profits for investors.
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S&P Maintains Top Ranking in Rating Non-Mortgage ABS at 9-Month Mark, DBRS Ahead in RMBS Ratings

December 21, 2017
S&P Global was the most active rating service in the non-mortgage ABS market during the first nine months, having graded $95.88 billion in new issuance, or 58.5 percent of the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis.
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Securitization Rates Catch Up in 3Q17 as Agency MBS Issuance Outruns Gains in Primary Market Originations

December 21, 2017
The mortgage securitization rate edged up toward more normal levels during the third quarter, but the post-crisis slump in non-agency MBS activity continued to dampen the market.
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GSE and Other Low-Downpayment Programs Utilized More In 2017, Represents Highest Use Since Being Re-Introduced

December 21, 2017
More first-time homebuyers took advantage of the government-sponsored enterprises’ 97 percent loan-to-value mortgage products this year – to the point where they likely took away market share from the FHA program.
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