When the financial outlook weakens, equity prices suffer and debt prices soon follow. Mortgage REITs are no exception. But overall, the cohort is holding up better than nonbank lender/servicers.
The REIT has built up strong residential and MSR businesses to diversify risk and support its agency prowess. And while it’s held back on increasing leverage, once volatility declines, all that may change.
Non-QM lending may sound good to conventional originators looking to bolster their menus, but headwinds are still evident. Low-yielding paper still needs to be moved but financiers and acquirers are having second thoughts.
Weak MBS trading activity usually isn’t a good sign. To some it portends a lack of liquidity, to others cloudiness in a market that has lost its way. Regardless, daily MBS trades in May were not pretty.
For now, the market is well served by two to four master servicers. But if any of them exit the market, servicing costs and transaction fees could increase.