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Signs Point to Continued Strong Presence of the Fed In the MBS Market as Housing Recovery Continues

November 16, 2012
The Federal Reserve appears likely to continue to maintain an arguably oversized footprint in the secondary mortgage market in its effort to foster the gradually improving housing market, analysts say. “Our view is that the Fed continues its purchase of agency MBS at least to the end of 2013,” said Ankur Mehta, an MBS analyst with Citigroup. “The fact that the market is now talking about QE 4 and Treasury space, you can say that further argues they’re going to stay the course in the mortgage space because they’re still looking to ease their monetary policy.” The Fed’s actions have improved...
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Redwood’s Latest Non-Agency Jumbo MBS Set To Receive Lower AAA Credit Enhancement

November 16, 2012
The latest planned non-agency jumbo MBS from Redwood Trust will have lower credit enhancement levels than other recent deals issued by the real estate investment trust, according to presale reports released this week. The AAA tranche on Redwood’s sixth non-agency MBS issuance of the year will have credit enhancement of 7.05 percent, down from 7.30 percent on the three previous deals issued by Redwood. Officials at Redwood along with others interested in non-agency MBS have suggested that credit enhancement levels required by the rating services have been too high. The credit enhancement for Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-6 will be the lowest on a non-agency MBS backed by new loans since the MBS issued by Redwood in 2010 had 6.50 percent credit enhancement on the AAA tranche. Fitch Ratings, Kroll Bond Rating Agency and Moody’s Investors Service are set...
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FHFA Wins in Lawsuits Against Non-Agency MBS Issuers and Underwriters May Prompt Settlements

November 16, 2012
Recent procedural rulings in Federal Housing Finance Agency lawsuits against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters again favored the conservator of the government-sponsored enterprises, prompting some to speculate that issuers will move to settle the lawsuits. Meanwhile, a number of other MBS-related litigation developments continue to pile up. U.S. District Judge Denise Cote is overseeing 16 cases filed by the FHFA against non-agency MBS issuers and underwriters regarding non-agency MBS purchased by the GSEs between 2005 and 2007. The FHFA alleges misrepresentations by the issuers and underwriters on the MBS. Last week, Cote dismissed...
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CLO Issuance Is on the Rebound but Market Remains Wobbly, Vulnerable to Macro Risks

November 16, 2012
Participants in collateralized loan obligation deals remain optimistic about the future of the market although they caution that macroeconomic issues might still derail the product’s slow return. In a panel discussion hosted by Standard & Poor’s last week, CLO market executives maintained a positive outlook for CLO performance as the market experienced a resurgence early this year. The market collapsed after the financial crisis but has apparently been resuscitated by investors hungry for high-risk, high-return securities. CLOs acquire...
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Judge Upholds FHFA Mortgage Securities Lawsuits

November 16, 2012
The Federal Housing Finance Agency so far continues to bat 1.000 in court in its multiple lawsuits against non-agency mortgage-backed securities issuers for allegedly misrepresenting deals that were sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This week, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Manhattan rejected motions to dismiss by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Deutsche Bank, in the defendants’ latest effort to make the FHFA’s massive legal action go away. In separate motions, Judge Cote rejected Deutsche’s and Goldman’s claims that the FHFA’s allegations are inadequate to support the agency’s claims of fraud.
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FDIC Files Lawsuit Against Colonial’s Auditors

November 16, 2012
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. recently filed a lawsuit against the auditors of Colonial Bank alleging that they could have prevented “enormous losses” suffered by the bank due to fraud by Colonial’s largest mortgage banking customer, Taylor Bean & Whitaker Mortgage. The lawsuit is the first by the FDIC post-crisis against the accountants of a failed bank. Colonial was closed in August 2009 by the Alabama State Banking Department and the FDIC was named as receiver and is now ...
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REITs Look Beyond Vintage Non-Agency MBS

November 16, 2012
Two Harbors Investment and PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust have seen healthy returns on their previous investments in vintage non-agency mortgage-backed securities but the real estate investment trusts have recently turned to other investments. Two Harbors has concentrated on agency MBS purchases while slowly ramping up jumbo loan purchases with an eye toward issuing its own MBS. PennyMac, meanwhile, shifted away from non-agency MBS purchases to correspondent lending and investing in ...
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Despite Status Quo Election Results, Insiders Expect Fiscal Realities to Force Policymakers Into Changes

November 9, 2012
The United States just concluded an electoral campaign season that involved the expenditure of billions of dollars and resulted in no change in the balance of power on the federal level, beyond strengthening Democrats’ control in the U.S. Senate. But that doesn’t mean nothing important is going to happen over the next four years. Securitization industry officials, Washington insiders, political observers and policy wonks all expect hard financial realities to compel policymakers into responding to a host of issues that will significantly affect housing finance and securitization. “We don’t think the ‘status-quo election,’ as some have called it, means status quo for residential mortgage finance,” said Karen Shaw Petrou, a managing partner at Federal Financial Analytics, a Washington, DC, think tank. She thinks...
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Hurricane Sandy Expected to Have Modest, Short-Term Impact on Non-Agency MBS

November 9, 2012
Delinquencies on non-agency MBS will likely increase temporarily due to Hurricane Sandy, according to industry analysts, but long-term losses due to the storm are expected to be minimal. Insurance will play a key factor in overall losses, and estimates vary significantly on the extent of coverage in the affected areas. Moody’s Investors Service projected this week that non-agency MBS are unlikely to suffer material losses due to Sandy even though the affiliated Moody’s Analytics estimated the damage to residential housing from the storm will hit $10.5 billion. “Even if damages exceed...
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GSEs Hit the Brakes Before Transition to Faster Wind-Down of Mortgage Holdings

November 9, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to trim their retained holdings of MBS and unsecuritized mortgages during the third quarter, but at a slower pace than in previous periods, according to an analysis by Inside MBS & ABS of earnings reports released this week by the two government-sponsored enterprises. One of the conditions of the conservatorships the GSEs entered four years ago was that they would reduce their retained mortgage portfolios by 10 percent a year. Those terms were revised in August to include a 15 percent annual wind-down, which would take each GSE’s investment portfolio down to $250 billion by the beginning of 2018, four years sooner than under the previous arrangement. As Freddie noted...[Includes one data chart]
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