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Fitch Proposes Changes to Loss Model Used to Rate RMBS Deals, Slightly Reducing Projected Losses

February 12, 2016
Fitch Ratings proposed a number of changes to its residential MBS loss model this week, as part of an annual review. The changes would prompt slightly lower loss expectations for most of the types of deals that are currently being issued. The rating service said the most meaningful proposed change with a positive implication on loss expectations is expected to be a lower default assumption for borrowers with strong equity positions. The lower default assumption was prompted by a proposed Cure Rate Adjustment. Fitch said...
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Jumbo Market Held Up Better Than Government-Insured, Conventional-Conforming Sectors in 4Q15

February 11, 2016
Don’t tell Bernie Sanders this, but the upper class appeared to suffer less than other folks during the fourth-quarter decline in mortgage production, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. Mortgage lenders produced an estimated $78 billion of big-ticket home loans to, hopefully, well-to-do borrowers during the final three months of last year. That was down 8.2 percent from the third quarter, a little over half the rate of decline in total mortgage originations during the period. For the full year, jumbo mortgages accounted...[Includes two data tables]
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In 4Q15, Jumbo Market Held Up Better Than GSE and FHA Lending

February 11, 2016
John Bancroft
Bernie Sanders' worst nightmare: not much of a slowdown in the rich taking out jumbo loans...
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Two GOP Congressmen Voice Concerns Over Declining GSE Capital

February 11, 2016
Carisa Chappell
The two GOP congressmen want the Treasury Department and FHFA to suggest steps they can take in the near term “to rectify the situation.”
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MountainView Selling $7.2B of MSRs, Prestwick Out with Large ‘Flow’ Deal

February 11, 2016
Paul Muolo
Rates are still falling, but MSR packages continue to hit the auction block...
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Freddie Sees Nothing But Roses for Multifamily

February 11, 2016
Carisa Chappell
Freddie officials estimate that industry wide, multifamily originations could top $250 billion this year...
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Congressmen Seek Answers from FHFA, Treasury On Violation of GSE Capital Reserve Requirements

February 11, 2016
Two Republican lawmakers in the House have raised questions about the diminishing capital held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at a time when the two government-sponsored enterprises are expected to generate huge dividends for the government over the next decade. Reps. Stephen Lee (TN) and Mick Mulvaney (SC) recently asked the Federal Housing Finance Agency and the Treasury to consider the impact on the financial system and taxpayers of the GSEs holding no capital. They argue that Fannie and Freddie are already in violation of their statutory capital reserve requirements, and they will not be able to hold any capital after Jan. 1, 2018. “It is...
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More Potential Trouble for Private MIs: Quicken Wants Them to Bid for Its Borrower-Paid Business

February 11, 2016
While the mortgage insurance industry patiently waits to see if the FHA will cut government MI premiums further this year, the sector is facing another potential threat to profitability: pricing concessions from the nation’s second largest retail originator, Quicken Loans. Moreover, Quicken – also the largest nonbank lender in the U.S. – is promising to pass on 100 percent of the cost savings to its customers, at least that’s what a company spokesman told Inside Mortgage Finance this week. “We take...
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Short Takes: Everything’s Coming Up Blackstone / Odds Increase for an FHA Premium Cut? / Volatile Rates a GSE Problem? / U.S. Bank No Longer Facing Servicing Restrictions / Correction on Redwood Numbers

February 10, 2016
Paul Muolo, George Brooks, and Brandon Ivey
Falling rates are great for the mortgage industry, right? Yes and no...
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GSE MBS Production Slipped in January. A TRID ‘Ice Patch’?

February 9, 2016
John Bancroft
MBS issuance rebounded in December, with Fannie/Freddie production rising 17.7 percent. In other words, had TRID not caused a December bump in GSE business, January could have looked better than it did.
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