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Forecasters Predict an Origination Swoon in 2013

May 13, 2013
John Bancroft
Although 2013 will turn out to be a decent year in terms of residential production, next year could be quite ugly.
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Short Takes: More Investment Funds Salivating Over MSRs / Now BofA is Dumping Commercial MSRs / HLSS Continues to Take Advantage of Cheap Money / More Trouble for Chimera / Ten-Year Treasury Nears a Yearly High

May 13, 2013
Paul Muolo
Investment funds are continuing to salivate over mortgage servicing rights.
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Ginnie Mae at Work on Plan to Consolidate MBS Programs, MBA Pushes Fungible GSE Securities

May 10, 2013
Ginnie Mae officials have moved beyond whether they should consolidate the agency’s two MBS programs to how they should do it, but it remains much less certain that similar proposals to restructure the Fannie/Freddie market will take root. The newer Ginnie II MBS program has become significantly more popular than the original Ginnie I security, both in terms of new issuance and the outstanding supply of securities. Speaking at the Mortgage Bankers Association secondary market conference in New York this week, Ginnie President Ted Tozer said...
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GSE Mortgage Portfolios Continued to Shrink In Early 2013, Asset Sales to Come This Year

May 10, 2013
The retained mortgage portfolios of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to decline through natural attrition during the first quarter of 2013, falling by 4.9 percent from the previous quarter, according to an Inside MBS & ABS analysis of earnings reports released by the two government-sponsored enterprises this week. Fannie and Freddie held $1.13 trillion in mortgage assets as of the end of March. With heavy refinance activity, the rate of decline in early 2013 was faster than it had been; GSE holdings were down 13.6 percent from year-ago levels. There was...[Included one data chart]
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FHFA: Fannie, Freddie Multifamily Business Hold ‘Little Value’ Without Government Guaranty; 1Q Earnings Jump

May 10, 2013
Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s multifamily businesses hold “little inherent value” and would be less viable absent the government guarantees the two government-sponsored enterprises currently enjoy, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In a new report, the agency also noted that the sale of the GSEs’ multifamily businesses would yield “little or no value” to the U.S. Treasury or to taxpayers, while at the same time it could be a huge disruption to the commercial real estate markets. “The new ‘stand-alone’ businesses would primarily depend...
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Ginnie Mae at Work on Plan to Consolidate MBS

May 10, 2013
John Bancroft
Ginnie Mae President Ted Tozer said the agency wants to phase out the Ginnie I MBS program.
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Potential Investors Jockey for Position in Coming GSE Risk-Sharing Derby

May 10, 2013
John Bancroft
The first GSE risk sharing transaction is likely to be a senior-subordinate structure and be issued as a credit-linked note.
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CBO Says GSE Principal Forgiveness Could Reduce Additional Defaults

May 10, 2013
Charles Wisniowski
Although it's unlikely that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will engage in principal reductions anytime soon, a new report from CBO says it could do some good.
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What We’re Hearing: Will Speculators Sue the Treasury Over the “Sweep” of GSE Earnings? / Freddie Under Pressure to Capture its DTA / PennyMac’s Senior Ranks Boast Many a Countrywide Alumnus / NAIHP Cries Foul on USDA’s Treatment

May 10, 2013
Will investors in GSE stock sue the federal government for "sweeping" earnings out of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac? Meanwhile, PennyMac worries about its "Countrywide" problem.
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Rep. Watt for FHFA Director Faces Long Odds

May 10, 2013
Whether or not President Obama’s pick to become the new permanent director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency overcomes the long odds and expected Republican opposition to win Senate confirmation, it’s a win-win for the White House, say industry observers. Last week, Rep. Mel Watt, D-NC, a 20-year House veteran, all of it spent serving on the Financial Services Committee, was selected by Obama to become the new FHFA director, replacing FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, who has served as the agency’s acting head since September 2009. Although Watt had been on the short list of FHFA nominees, it was widely believed that Moody’s Analytics’ Chief Economist Mark Zandi would be the president’s pick, largely because Zandi was seen as “confirmable” by both Democrats and Republicans.
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