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GSEs Raise Concerns About How TBA Market Could Function Under System Envisioned by Johnson-Crapo

May 2, 2014
There’s a growing concern among participants in the secondary market that legislation in the Senate to reform the government-sponsored enterprises won’t be able to allow the to-be-announced market to function. The latest anxieties were raised by officials at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, whose securities flourish in the TBA market. Legislation in the Senate from Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, calls for the preservation of the TBA market but doesn’t provide any roadmap for how the proposed Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp. should accomplish that feat. “Unless the FMIC sets...
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Johnson-Crapo Legislation Likely to Increase Fannie, Freddie Guaranty Fees, According to GSE Analysis

May 2, 2014
The housing finance reform legislation authored by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, will result in higher guaranty fees and less cross-subsidization than the current Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fee structure, according to the government-sponsored enterprises. The Johnson-Crapo bill, which was abruptly pulled from a scheduled markup before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee this week, would establish a new type of MBS with an explicit government backstop that requires private capital to absorb the first 10 percent of losses. “There is...
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Capital Markets Option Seen as Vital For Reformed Housing Finance System

May 2, 2014
Concerns about the functionality of the to-be-announced market and potential incentives for riskier lending have prompted some to suggest that legislation under consideration in the Senate to reform the government-sponsored enterprises should remove the capital markets option for risk sharing and rely solely on a guarantor model. A number of agency MBS participants aren’t too pleased with the suggestions and have countered that a capital markets option is necessary in the country’s housing finance system. Under the capital markets option envisioned in the GSE reform bill from Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, investors would hold...
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Senate Housing Finance Reform Markup Delayed Again as Committee Leadership Seeks More Votes, Prospects Grim

May 1, 2014
The status of housing finance reform legislation has become a topic of open speculation after the leadership of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee announced a last-minute postponement of a markup this week following the submission of some 100 amendments and the continued non-commitment of support by some committee Democrats. Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Ranking Member Mike Crapo, R-ID, announced to a packed committee chamber earlier this week that they would delay consideration of S. 1217 in order to “build a larger coalition of support” for their reform measure. “While we have the votes to report the bill out today, members of the committee have asked...
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GSEs, FHFA Recommend Steps to Further Improve Private MI Provision in Johnson-Crapo Legislation

May 1, 2014
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and their conservator/regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, have provided significant comments and recommendations regarding the role of private mortgage insurers under a new housing-finance system. The GSEs and the FHFA submitted their views on private mortgage insurers as part of broader commentaries provided to the Treasury Department on the Senate bipartisan reform bill drafted by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID. The bill would wind down the two government-sponsored enterprises and replace them with a new securitization structure requiring that private capital absorb the first 10 percent of losses on a new breed of conventional mortgage-backed securities. To be eligible for the new MBS program, mortgages with loan-to-value ratios exceeding 80 percent would have...
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Johnson-Crapo Likely to Erode the Agency Pricing Advantages Seen in the Multifamily MBS Market

April 25, 2014
Passage of legislation from Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, to reform the government-sponsored enterprises would prompt some changes to the multifamily MBS market, according to industry analysts. While the bill’s impact on the multifamily market is expected to be modest overall, according to Moody’s Investors Service, the pricing advantages seen on multifamily MBS from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac compared with non-agency commercial MBS would likely disappear. The Johnson-Crapo bill, which is scheduled for a markup next week by the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, calls for risk-sharing structures in the multifamily market already used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for multifamily MBS, potentially limiting any broad disruptive impact to the multifamily market from the bill. Within one year after the bill becomes law, Fannie and Freddie would be required...
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FHA Delinquency Rates Decline in 1Q14

April 25, 2014
Better performance on newer vintage FHA loans helped drive down the agency’s overall portfolio delinquency rate and fueled the decline in 30-, 60- and 90-day delinquencies during the first quarter of 2014, according to Inside FHA Lending’s analysis of FHA servicing data. Total delinquencies during the first quarter improved to 12.88 percent as of March 31 from 15.23 percent as of Dec. 31, 2013. The 30-60 day delinquency rate also fell to 5.41 percent from 7.14 percent, while the serious delinquencies (90 days or more past due) dropped modestly to 7.46 percent from 8.08 percent over the same period. The overall foreclosure rate, however, increased slightly to 2.36 percent during the first three months of 2014 from 2.30 percent at the end of 2013. FHA servicers ended the first quarter with ... [1 chart]
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FHA Production Continued to Slide in February

April 25, 2014
FHA originations dropped a hefty 28.3 percent in February from January and 59.1 percent from the same period a year ago, according to Inside FHA Lending’s analysis of agency data. FHA lenders reported $8.2 billion in new forward mortgages for February, down from $11.4 billion for January and $19.5 billion from a year ago. Approximately 73.9 percent of the loans were purchase mortgages. Industry observers attributed the continuing decline in FHA production to multiple and costly insurance premium hikes, revocation of the borrower’s right to cancel premium payments during the term of the loan and rising interest rates. For the week ending April 18, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with FHA insurance increased to 4.20 percent from 4.14 percent, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association weekly application survey. FHA officials said the policy changes were necessary to ... [1 chart]
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Donovan: Senate Reform Bill Helps ‘Outsized’ FHA

April 25, 2014
HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan said this week that housing finance reform can no longer be put off, but no more so than for the FHA which continues to play an “outsized role” in the mortgage market as private capital remains on the sidelines. Speaking in New York at an event co-hosted by the Bipartisan Policy Center, Donovan said the Obama administration is squarely behind the legislative proposal by Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Ranking Member Mike Crapo, R-ID. “Despite its imperfections, does this bill represent progress? Absolutely,” said Donovan, seeking to win over housing advocacy groups disenchanted with the bill. “When looking for ways to improve [the bill], let’s not lose sight of its potential. Let’s not forget its importance to the housing market and its future.” The Johnson-Crapo legislative proposal calls for a wind-down of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and creation of a ...
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Mortgage Originations Hit 14-Year Low in Early 2014, Market May Struggle to Reach $1 Trillion This Year

April 24, 2014
Even in the depths of the financial crisis, the mortgage industry was producing more new loans than it did during the first quarter of 2014, according to new Inside Mortgage Finance estimates. Mortgage lenders generated just $235 billion of new home loans during the first three months of this year. That was down 23.0 percent from the fourth quarter’s estimated $305 billion in originations and it was off 58.0 percent from the first quarter of 2013. It was...[Includes one data chart]
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