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2015 Origination Forecast: Cloudy with a Hint of Optimism

November 3, 2014
John Bancroft
If housing markets are stronger than expected and rates stay low enough, originations could hit $1.421 trillion next year.
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Analysts: The Wells Fargo-Ocwen MSR Deal No Longer Makes Sense

November 3, 2014
Paul Muolo
A recent research note from Sterne Agee predicts higher operating costs for Ocwen because of its ongoing regulatory disputes with the New York Department of Financial Services.
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Freedom Mortgage Buying LI Lender CHL Through ‘Asset’ Purchase

November 3, 2014
Paul Muolo
With Continental Home Loan under its umbrella, Freedom believes its production run-rate will be $2 billion a month.
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More Borrowers Climbing Out of Negative Equity

October 31, 2014
The number of residential properties that are seriously underwater declined to 8.1 million in the third quarter of 2014 from 9.1 million in the first quarter, according to a new report from RealtyTrac. Another 8.5 million properties were on the verge of resurfacing. Dan Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac, said it is not yet time to celebrate. He said 8.1 million underwater properties still represent 15 percent of all mortgaged properties with an estimated $1.4 trillion in negative equity ...
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Academic Weighs in on GSEs' Future: Obama Should go with an ‘Administrative’ Solution

October 31, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
An administrative solution is already possible within the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, which grants the FHFA authority to bring the GSEs out of conservatorship.
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LoanDepot Expected to Sign Purchase Agreement on Mortgage Master

October 31, 2014
Paul Muolo
The privately held Mortgage Master is on track to originate $5 billion this year, all of it through the retail channel.
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Commercial MBS Market on Fire: Deal Volume Jumps 38 Percent

October 31, 2014
John Bancroft
Non-agency issuers produced $32.16 billion of new commercial MBS, a 40 percent increase from the second quarter.
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New Capital, Liquidity Tests are Ginnie Mae’s Insurance Against Potential Issuer Failure, Losses

October 31, 2014
The new net worth and liquidity requirements and other policy changes announced by Ginnie Mae last week should be viewed in light of the agency’s increased servicer risk stemming from a “new breed” of entities that have entered the market in the wake of the financial crisis, according to analysts. The sharp increase in the share of non-bank servicers has significantly altered Ginnie Mae’s risk exposure to servicer issues, noted analysts at Barclays. “Specifically, the liquidity and capitalization of these non-bank servicers, which are not subject to such requirements for bank servicers, leaves Ginnie Mae exposed to servicing disruptions,” they said. In 2015, Ginnie Mae will adjust...
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What We’re Hearing: 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear Via M&A? / Less Competition? / They’ll be Back / Benjamin Lawsky, a Nice Guy, Really / Provident Exiting Certain States?

October 31, 2014
Paul Muolo
One veteran mortgage trade group official, a staunch Republican no less, told us that Lawsky is an “honest and bright guy,” adding that he understands the issues.
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Federal Judge Shuts Down Mass. AG’s GSE Foreclosure Lawsuit

October 31, 2014
A federal judge last week dismissed claims brought by the state of Massachusetts that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac violated state law by putting limits on the sale of pre- and post-foreclosure homes. State Attorney General Martha Coakley filed suit in June against the Federal Housing Finance Agency, as GSE conservator, alleging that Fannie and Freddie are violating state law by refusing to negotiate lower terms for distressed Bay State homeowners.
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