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Grapevine: Throw the Forecast Away? / The $5-a-Share Club

December 2, 2021
Paul Muolo
A tougher origination year in 2022? Looks that way, but forecasts can change on a dime when unexpected news alters economic perceptions. Meanwhile, a fist full of nonbank stocks are selling for less than $5 a unit.
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MSR Transfer Pipeline Clogged with Too Many Deals?

November 24, 2021
Paul Muolo
The bulk market for MSR sales has never been better, and that’s a bit of a problem. Activity is so robust that due diligence reviews are piling up, delaying deal closings. A good problem to have? It depends on your profit goals.
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Delinquency Rate Ticks Up in Third Quarter as Forbearance Ends

November 11, 2021
Brandon Ivey
Early-stage delinquencies jumped in the third quarter, prompting a quarterly increase in the total past-due rate. Many borrowers that have been in forbearance for 18 months are also reaching the end of their payment holidays. (Includes data chart.)
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Gain-on-Sale Margins Plummet for Nonbanks

November 11, 2021
Dennis Hollier
A report by Fitch Ratings forecasts a sharp drop in originations and declining GOS margins that will put pressure on earnings for smaller nonbank lenders.
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Cenlar’s Clients Weigh Their Options in Wake of OCC Action

November 11, 2021
Paul Muolo
After settling OCC charges on how it manages subservicing risk, Cenlar faces the possibility some of its clients might bolt for the competition. But will they?
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Servicing Market Becomes More Top-Heavy in 3Q21

November 4, 2021
John Bancroft
Nonbanks claimed more than half of the owned servicing reported by the top 50 firms in the market as their combined portfolio rose 10% in the second quarter. (Includes three data charts.)
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Mortgage Bankers Swimming in the Debt Pool Once Again

November 4, 2021
Paul Muolo
Additional nonbanks could tap the debt market in the months ahead. The reason: rising asset valuations on mortgage servicing portfolios.
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Grapevine: More MSR Deals / Zillow’s Fix-n-Flip Mess

November 4, 2021
Paul Muolo and Dennis Hollier
The thirst for mortgage servicing rights continues, be it bulk or flow. Meanwhile, Zillow’s foray into fix-and-flip did not end well.
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Suddenly, Everyone Loves MSRs, Even Banks and PE Firms

October 28, 2021
Paul Muolo
MSRs are no longer the best-kept secret when it comes to value and investor returns. But might the bidding soon get too frothy?
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Nonbank Servicers Raise Concerns Over Ginnie Capital Proposal

October 28, 2021
Brandon Ivey
If capital and liquidity requirements for nonbank servicers are too stringent, firms could leave the business and borrowers’ costs for mortgages could increase.
Read More
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