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Short Takes: Here Comes HARP 3.0? / Who is Walter Investment Talking To? / Fear the ATR / QM and its Effect on First-Time Home Buyers / Mel Watt Names Top Advisors at FHFA

January 13, 2014
Paul Muolo, Thomas Ressler, and Charles Wisniowski
We continue to hear reports that Walter Investment Management is talking to a fairly large nonbank about a possible acquisition.
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Top Sellers Posted Out-Sized Declines In GSE Activity as 2013 Wound Down

January 10, 2014
New business activity at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell sharply in the fourth quarter of 2014, but the top tier of mortgage sellers took more than their share of the decline, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of mortgage-backed securities data. Total single-family MBS production by the two government-sponsored enterprises declined by 36.1 percent from the third quarter to the fourth quarter of 2013. But the top five GSE sellers posted a combined 45.9 percent ... [Includes two data charts]
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Interest Rates, Evolution Key in 2014

January 10, 2014
Analysts are predicting a slowdown in the housing market in 2014 with mortgage interest rates trending higher, putting a damper on new applications, and regulatory and political changes pushing down on economic recovery. Noting the strong 12 percent rise in home prices in 2013, analysts at Standard & Poor’s are expecting a 6 percent increase in the S&P Case-Schiller 20-City Home Price Index in 2014. A housing market analysis by Capital Economics, a macroeconomic research firm, says the rapid rise of ...
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Homebuyers Prefer PC Tech to Shop for Mortgages

January 10, 2014
Mobile technology may seem to be all the rage, with many lenders tapping vendors to help borrowers to shop for rates, mortgages and lenders from the palms of their hands. But a new Fannie Mae survey suggests that borrowers prefer to go “old school” and use their personal computers to find the best mortgage. The use of technology in mortgage shopping is likely to continue – especially among younger borrowers with higher income and educational levels. “Consumers say they use traditional ...
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Repealing Deductions May Boost Homeownership

January 10, 2014
A white paper circulated last week at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association asserted, somewhat counter-intuitively, that repealing the home-mortgage interest deduction and property-tax reductions would result in lower home prices but higher rates of homeownership. The paper, prepared by Kamila Sommer, an economist with the Federal Reserve Board, and Paul Sullivan, an economist at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, studied the impact of reducing housing tax expenditures on equilibrium ...
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Economics Drive Low-Rated Borrowers to ARMs

January 10, 2014
The tendency of borrowers with low credit scores to choose adjustable-rate mortgages over fixed-rate loans is more about economic considerations rather than a lack of financial sophistication, according to a study by Federal Reserve researchers. In the study, Fred Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova looked at factors that influenced lower-credit borrowers to select ARMs over fixed-rate mortgages during the housing boom in early 2000. In general, the research team observed ...
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Bank Repurchases Hit 5-Year Low in 3Q13

January 10, 2014
Commercial banks and savings institutions coughed up $1.998 billion in mortgage repurchases and indemnifications during the third quarter of 2013, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of call-report data. It was the lowest quarterly repurchase total for the industry since the third quarter of 2008, when the buyback storm was just beginning to gather force. The third quarter 2013 total also reflected a 25.2 percent drop from the second quarter. For the first nine months of 2013 ... [Includes one data chart]
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What We're Hearing: Non-QM Loan Programs Ready to Multiply Like Tribbles? / Whatever Happened to Raj Date and Fenway Summer? / Investment Fund Loads up on PHH Stock / Bexil American Places its Bet on Correspondent Lending / $50 Billion in MBS Settlements

January 10, 2014
Paul Muolo
When it comes to the new QM rule lenders are operating from a position of fear. You can bet that mortgage attorneys in the Washington DC area have racked up the billable hours, holding their clients’ hands and supplying legal advice as the clock strikes midnight.
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GSE Business Volume Falls to Two-Year Low in Fourth Quarter

January 9, 2014
John Bancroft
When it comes to doing business with Fannie Mae, Wells Fargo's volume is almost three-times that of its closest competitor, Chase Home Finance, IMF found.
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A ‘Right to Cure’ a Non-QM Would Ease Industry Anxiety

January 9, 2014
Thomas Ressler
One big way “that we think would help resolve some of that [QM] anxiety is [having] a right to cure,” said Pete Mills of MBA.
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