The industry originated an estimated $570.00 billion of first-lien mortgages during the second quarter of 2026, thanks to a resilient purchase-mortgage market. (Includes two data tables.)
Homebuilders reported a slight decline in incentive use in the second quarter, but still project incentives to remain elevated compared to historical average for the foreseeable future.
MBS disclosures show that, from April to June, VantageScore 4.0 has only been used to qualify roughly $579 million in mortgages in Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac pools.
If the Federal Reserve is able to reduce inflation, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh believes that interest rates on mortgages will come down. Economists in the mortgage market aren’t expecting lower rates anytime soon.
Any impact from the landmark 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act could take years, with the Republicans proudly touting that the law doesn’t include any new funding.