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Servicing Settlement Favors Portfolio Writedowns, But MBS Investors Wary

March 16, 2012
The documents governing a proposed $25.0 billion settlement involving five major banks include greater incentives for principal reduction loan modifications on portfolio loans rather than loans in non-agency mortgage-backed securities. However, non-agency MBS investors remain concerned that they could take losses due to the settlement. The consent judgments against Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo were filed in federal court this week, a month after the settlement was announced by 49 state attorneys general and the federal government ...
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Supply of Residential MBS Continued to Decline In 2011 at Faster Rate Than Mortgage Contraction

March 16, 2012
The volume of residential MBS in the market fell again in the fourth quarter of 2011, sustaining a nearly constant decline that’s been underway since the midway point in 2009. A total of $6.437 trillion single-family MBS were outstanding as of the end of last year, down 1.7 percent from the third quarter. The last time there was growth in the supply of MBS was in the second quarter of last year. The major factor is the ongoing decline in the supply of home mortgages, which fell 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter and 2.2 percent over the full year in 2011. Mortgage collateral has... (Includes one data chart)
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New FICC Guaranteed Settlement and Central Counterparty Services Proceeding After SEC OK

March 16, 2012
The Depository Trust & Clearing Corp. announced this week that its Fixed Income Clearing Corp. subsidiary will begin functioning as a new central counterparty, or CCP, designed to reduce risk and costs in the $100-trillion-a-year market for U.S. MBS, starting in April, following the Securities and Exchange Commission’s approval of the proposal. Company officials say the CCP will guarantee settlement of all matched MBS trades, which industry representatives see as a crucial step for the securities industry where the settlement of an MBS trade often does not take place until months after the trade itself was made...
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February Report for Private-Label MBS Promising as Performance Improves, Re-Performing Loans Increase

March 16, 2012
The non-agency MBS market showed some spark as always-performing loans continued to improve in February and more nonperforming loans moved to the re-performing bucket, according to Amherst Securities Group’s latest analysis of the mortgage market. In its February report, Amherst said first-time defaults from the always-performing bucket dropped to 0.75 percent during the month from 0.82 percent in January. In dollar terms, new defaults constituted $4.0 billion, down from $4.4 billion the previous month, the firm reported. On a year-over-year basis, always-performing loans were down to $525.6 billion from...
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Despite Mixed Fourth Quarter Earnings, GSEs Cite Potential of New Book to Outgrow Legacy Losses

March 16, 2012
More than half of the government-sponsored enterprises’ single-family guarantee book of business during the fourth quarter of 2011 consisted of loans it had purchased or guaranteed since the start of 2009, which has prompted Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to declare the companies’ efforts to reduce the credit losses on their legacy books of business a success so far. Freddie reported $619 million in net income during the fourth quarter, compared to a net loss of $4.4 billion during the third quarter. For the full year, the GSE reported a net loss of $5.3 billion compared to a net loss of...(Includes one data chart)
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Investors Worry About Their MBS Holdings Under $25B Settlement

March 16, 2012
Many non-agency MBS investors are upset with the $25 billion servicing settlement involving 49 state attorneys general, eight federal agencies and the nation’s five largest servicers, the full terms of which were filed in U.S. District Court this week. Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Ally Financial will receive some credit for modifying loans they service but do not own, although several of these firms have indicated that they plan to focus their efforts on portfolio loans. The Association of Mortgage Investors said the settlement establishes a precedent under which the bad debts of...
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$34 Billion in Rep and Warrant Payouts Still Lurking For the Non-Agency Sector, Agency Demands Robust

March 16, 2012
Even though approximately $10.0 billion in non-agency representation and warranty payouts have already been included in proposed or completed settlements, another $34.0 billion in payouts are probably waiting in the wings, with Bank of America and JPMorgan facing the largest exposure by far, according to analysts at Barclays Capital. “Total payouts to non-agency investors from rep and warranty related recoveries will be $26.0 billion to $52.0 billion, using the $8.5 billion Countrywide settlement deal as a template. This corresponds to an average of 3-6 points of recoveries on non-agency securities...
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FHFA Offers Timeline for Strategic Plan Edging Fannie And Freddie to a Post-GSE Secondary Mortgage Market

March 16, 2012
By the end of 2012, the Federal Housing Finance Agency will see a plan for a new mortgage securitization platform as a key component in its strategic plan for the conservatorships of the two government-sponsored enterprises, even as analysts warn that transferring credit risk from the GSEs to private investors is fraught with hazard. Late last week, the FHFA unveiled a new “conservatorship scorecard” that provides more details about the agency’s revamped strategic plan for a post-Fannie and Freddie secondary market. “It’s important to see the scorecard itself as further evidence of our commitment to the work...
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Fannie Mae’s Cost-Cutting Proposal Puts Major Underwriters of Lender-Placed Insurance at Risk

March 15, 2012
A Fannie Mae proposal to reduce the cost of lender-placed homeowner insurance might be great news for borrowers but not for insurance companies that underwrite the product, warned Moody’s Investors Service. While Fannie has not disclosed the full details of its cost-reduction proposal, the government-sponsored enterprise plans to place policies directly with insurance companies, rather than accept policies put in place by the mortgage lender. Last week, the GSE issued a “request for proposals” inviting insurance companies to compete for the GSE’s lender-placed business. The request is...
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CFPB Intensifies Coordination with State AGs; Focus On Servicing, Forced-Place Insurance, Hybrid ARMs

March 15, 2012
The director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau – himself a former state attorney general – is looking to work more closely with state officials. “Quite bluntly, we need your experience, your perspectives and your coordination in a strategic effort to root out fraud and unfairness in the financial marketplace,” said CFPB Director Richard Cordray in a speech to a convention of state AGs. The CFPB is already involved in several working groups that are actively cooperating with state AGs and their staff, one of which has to do with foreclosure scams and another on debt collection. “These...
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