MBS analysts hold differing expectations as to what the potential replacement of the “temporary” head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency could mean to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the mortgage securities sector. Recently reported Obama administration backchannel chatter suggests that the White House is actively seeking potential candidates to replace FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, who has been the de facto agency chief since the departure of James Lockhart in September 2009. A report last week by Credit Suisse speculated...

A recession resulting from the federal government taking the U.S. economy over the fiscal cliff would leave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac vulnerable to higher credit losses and make the two government-sponsored enterprises unprofitable again, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s this week warned that Washington’s failure to reach a tax and spending agreement would also force the GSEs to ride out the shockwaves of potential financial market disruptions on their derivatives trades. “In our current central economic scenario, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are...

Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings accounted for a combined 96 percent of all credit ratings across all five rating categories, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission’s annual report on nationally recognized statistical rating organizations (NRSROs). There were NRSROs registered with the SEC during the year ending in the second quarter of 2012. They were A.M. Best Co.; DBRS, Inc.; Egan-Jones Ratings Co. (EJR); Fitch; Japan Credit Rating Agency; Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA); Moody’s; Morningstar Credit Ratings; and S&P. They provided ratings in five credit rating categories: asset-backed securities (including mortgages); corporate issuers; financial institutions; government securities; and insurance companies. The report showed...

Look for increased volume of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities issuance – and more companies issuing these deals – in 2013, industry analysts say. Underwriting standards could loosen somewhat as investor demand strengthens. Through the beginning of December, $3.46 billion in non-agency jumbo MBS was issued in 2012, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. Redwood Trust accounted for 56.7 percent of that volume, with an affiliate of Credit Suisse Group accounting for the rest ...

Credit Suisse’s jumbo conduit is increasing its acquisitions and looking to issue more non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed securities, according to Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse. “We’re buying loans every day,” he said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum. “More last month than the month before, and more that month than the month before.” Credit Suisse has issued $1.50 billion in non-agency MBS so far in 2012. While the first deals ...

Bank and thrift holdings of first-lien mortgages increased by 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2012 compared with the third quarter of 2011, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The growth, outpacing portfolio runoff and an overall decline in mortgage debt outstanding, is tied to non-agency mortgages as well as agency-eligible loans being retained by banks. Industry participants are divided on whether the first-lien holdings will ... [Includes one data chart]

The guaranty fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are close to hitting a tipping point where non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance will be the more economic execution for new originations, according to some non-agency participants. “If the non-agency pricing is improving and the GSE pricing is worsening, at some point you’re going to hit a tipping point,” Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse, said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum ...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, under directions from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, are close to issuing risk-sharing transactions, according to market participants. The securities will be structured to allow non-agency investors to take subordinate risk on government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities and will likely help set GSE guaranty fees going forward. Martin Hughes, CEO of Redwood Trust, said his company is currently under a non-disclosure agreement regarding risk-sharing ...

Investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities are pushing back against a loan modification program proposed by the Obama administration that would target underwater loans backing their investments. “Quite simply, investors have already been significantly harmed by the poor performance of many of the mortgage loans in non-agency MBS, and the Market Rate Modification proposal would only increase the severity of losses suffered by institutional investors,” Tom Deutsch ...

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is considering expanding the size and scope of the exemption on its pending final rule regarding servicing practices, according to agency officials. The CFPB also downplayed concerns that the servicing rule will expand loss-mitigation options beyond those approved by mortgage investors. During a webinar this week hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance, Mitchell Hochberg, regulatory counsel at the CFPB, said the agency is “very heavily” thinking about ...