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Fitch Leads in Non-Mortgage ABS Ratings, Standard & Poor’s Tops Non-Agency MBS

August 16, 2013
Standard & Poor’s is defending its status as the top rating service in the non-agency MBS market through the first half of 2013, having put its stamp on 39.0 percent of the growing market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking. S&P has been the top non-agency MBS rating agency over the years but saw DBRS capture the title in 2012 with 54.8 percent of rated transactions. The non-agency ratings business has become significantly more fragmented than it was before the financial collapse, when S&P often rated more than 90.0 percent of the deals that came to market. Both Fitch and Kroll Ratings are...[Includes two data charts]
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Fitch Ratings Updates RMBS Loan Loss Model to Include Origination Channel

August 16, 2013
Fitch Ratings recently updated its criteria for estimating losses on residential MBS transactions, introducing three new variables that influence default expectations, including the origination channel. Fitch said it has determined that loans originated through a direct retail channel have a lower default risk than those originated through brokers or correspondents. To account for this risk, the rating agency is now assigning a higher default probability to loans originated through non-retail channels. This newly added variable is applied...
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Fitch: UBS’ $885 Million Payout to Settle Fannie, Freddie MBS Suit May Spur Big Banks to Fight FHFA in Court

August 16, 2013
Although additional defendants sued by the Federal Housing Finance Agency are expected to sooner or later cut deals to settle fraud charges over the sale of non-agency MBS to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, banks with larger exposures may calculate that their best bet is to let it play out in court, according to a new report by Fitch Ratings. Fitch noted that the FHFA’s announcement last month that UBS Americas will pay some $885 million to settle claims concerning MBS that UBS sold to the two government-sponsored enterprises is a significant event as other defendants crunch the numbers before deciding whether to proceed with a lengthy and expensive trial or to cut their losses. “Although not necessarily setting a formal precedent, the high settlement costs to UBS relative to the outstanding portfolio amount could lead...
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With GSE Multifamily MBS Issuance at Record Levels, FHFA Looks For Ways to Boost Private Sector Role

August 16, 2013
Although Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are at near records on issuing bonds backed by multifamily mortgages, the Federal Housing Finance Agency is now soliciting comments from the public on how to pare the role of the government-sponsored enterprises in that business. The agency recently published notice that it wants input from the industry in evaluating “alternatives for further contracting the multifamily business” and is seeking views “on the potential market impact of various strategies.” According to figures provided to Inside MBS & ABS, Fannie is...
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Mortgage Servicing Transfers to Independent Servicers Likely to Continue, Effect on Non-Agency Deals Modest

August 16, 2013
Mortgage servicing transfers are likely to continue, particularly to nonbanks like Ocwen and Nationstar, with modest effect on most non-agency deals, according to a new study from Barclays Securitized Products Research. Researchers said the valuation effect of these servicing transfers is generally modest for most senior securities, with the exception of some that are likely to benefit from certain factors. Investors should also be aware of potential forbearance-related write-downs in these transferred deals, which may adversely affect subordinate bonds in the structure, they cautioned. The study attributes...
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What We’re Hearing: Fannie About to Reduce Maximum LTV / Rate Rise Causing the Phones to Stop Ringing? / Arch Capital Wants to be a Player in MI / Cole Taylor Continues to Hire / Waiting for Godot and Sen. Reed’s GSE Bill / Can Ellie Mae Get Sol

August 16, 2013
Fannie Mae will lower its maximum LTV. Mortgage insurance firms are not happy. Meanwhile, NAMB blames shrinking application volumes on summer vacations.
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Second Thoughts on GSE Wind Down Emerge

August 16, 2013
Recent public comments by President Obama and Congressional leaders have seemingly re-energized the debate over housing finance reform even though some are questioning the cashiering of the now profitable GSEs. But as lawmakers draft and/or refine dueling bills, it remains to be seen whether summer recess chatter will translate into an actionable legislative result this fall, say industry observers. In a highly anticipated speech last week, the president didn’t break much new ground in calling for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to be wound down through a “responsible transition.” However, Obama listed among his key reform principles that private capital should be in a first-loss position and the government should provide an appropriately priced, explicit government guaranty to ensure continued access to the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.
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FHFA Looks to Shrink GSEs’ MF Presence

August 16, 2013
When the government took control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac almost five years ago, the thought of securitizing multifamily loans had already been planted, but both preferred the idea of holding the paper in portfolio for obvious reasons: high returns and ultra-low delinquencies. Today, both GSEs are securitizing a record amount of MF mortgage-backed securities – but all of that is about to change with the Federal Housing Finance Agency forcing them to shrink their balance sheet holdings including multifamily. Moreover, FHFA is now soliciting comments from the public on how to whittle down the GSEs’ role in the MF business. The agency recently published notice that it wants input in evaluating “alternatives for further contracting the multifamily business” and is seeking views “on the potential market impact of various strategies.”
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Fannie, Freddie Revise Servicing Incentives

August 16, 2013
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are eliminating or tweaking certain servicing initiatives, the two GSEs announced last week in separate bulletins. Effective Aug.1, the two enterprises have eliminated the complete Borrower Response Package and Delinquency Improvement Performance Standard, and the related incentive and compensatory fee structure.
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FHFA Headhunts CEO For Securitization Platform

August 16, 2013
The Federal Housing Finance Agency has hired Washington-based Spencer Stuart to help find a chief executive to man the helm of the “common securitization platform” project. One former Fannie Mae official familiar with the effort told Inside The GSEs that the project has taken on a more “serious” urgency at the agency. “I’m not sure of the timeline, but it’s moving along.” One mortgage official who was approached about the job – but who made it clear he is not interested – said that the CEO FHFA hires “will need to be creative, revolutionary and good at many things.”
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