“The simple way to think about the long view is that we’re five years through a 10-year transition,” said Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan during a housing conference sponsored by Fitch Ratings in New York this week. 2012 will be “the year of the political economy,” Duncan said. While the moniker partially refers to the election for the White House, as well as on Capitol Hill, it also points to the number of political decisions this year that will help to determine financial fortunes. Stateside, this year will see the expiration of a number of business and household taxes, from the payroll tax cut to...