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Inside Nonconforming Markets

February 3, 2012

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Economics of Non-Agency Securitization Still Unfavorable, Regulation Uncertain

Issuance of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities will resume when the financing structure is economical, according to attendees at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas. Just what it will take to make non-agency securitization economical remains to be seen, though some suggest that regulatory uncertainty plays a major factor. “We have not seen much of a test of the non-agency market because it’s not economical,” said Peter Sack, a managing director and co-head of real estate and mortgage finance at Credit Suisse. “The bank portfolio bid is strong.” ... Read More

Mixed Feelings on New Non-Agency MBS

Redwood Trust’s four non-agency mortgage-backed securities – the latest of which was issued last week – have been generally well received by MBS investors. However, some investors, potential issuers and even the rating services have raised concerns regarding the non-agency MBS ratings process, both for Redwood and for other potential securitizers. A senior official at one of the rating services suggested to Inside Nonconforming Markets that ratings shopping is still occurring, and that the Redwood deals have been rated by the firms with the lowest credit-enhancement requirements ... Read More

Non-Agency PPIP Funds Take Losses in 4Q11

Firms participating in the Public-Private Investment Program with a focus on non-agency mortgage-backed securities all took losses in the fourth quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The Oaktree PPIP Fund – which only invests in commercial MBS – was the only public-private investment fund to increase its net internal rate of return since inception in the fourth quarter of 2011, Treasury Department data show. The Treasury cautioned that it is ... [Includes one data chart] Read More

HAMP to be Expanded, Emphasis on Forgiveness

The non-agency portion of the Home Affordable Modification Program is set for significant changes, according to an announcement last week by the Treasury Department. Investors will receive greater incentives for principal reduction mods, eligibility requirements for HAMP will be loosened and the program will be extended through the end of 2013. “Implications for agency MBS investors seem limited but are very meaningful for non-agency investors,” said analysts at Barclays Capital. Incentive payments to loan owners will triple for principal reduction HAMP mods. Previously, the payments ranged from six cents-on-the-dollar to 18 cents-on-the-dollar ... Read More

Outlook Murky for Bulk REO Sales to Investors

Investors have expressed a keen interest in programs that would facilitate bulk sales of real estate-owned properties. However, few are optimistic that such a program will come to fruition. Based on cost figures provided by Carrington Holding Company, Vincent Fiorillo, a portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, suggested investors could easily earn returns of 9.0 percent by renting REO properties. “This is a very attractive alternative investment opportunity,” Fiorillo said at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas ... Read More

Obama’s Non-Agency Refi Proposal Divisive

A new proposal by the Obama administration to refinance non-agency mortgages with negative equity could have a major impact on the non-agency market, though approval by Congress appears unlikely. “Borrowers with standard non-GSE loans will have access to refinancing through a new program run through the FHA,” the Obama administration said in a fact sheet released this week. “For responsible borrowers, there will be no more barriers and no more excuses.” The program would require that borrowers ... Read More

DOJ, State AGs Partner on MBS Investigations

The Department of Justice announced last week that it will increase the number of attorneys, analysts, agents and investigators looking into unlawful activities regarding mortgage-backed securities. The emphasis on MBS was directed by President Obama and is part of a new working group involving the DOJ, federal regulators and a number of state attorneys general. The DOJ, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Securities and Exchange Commission and state attorneys general led by New York AG Eric Schneiderman formed the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Working Group under the existing Financial Fraud Enforcement Task Force ... Read More

News Briefs

A settlement involving major servicers and state attorneys general could be close, as state AGs have until Feb. 6 to agree to a potential $25 billion settlement. Negotiations on the settlement have dragged on for 15 months and were previously slated to end Feb. 3. Ally Financial, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo would reportedly be included in the settlement. Some $17 billion in penalties paid by the banks would go toward principal reductions, $5 billion would go toward a reserve account that would ... [Includes three briefs] Read More

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