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Inside MBS & ABS

September 25, 2015

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MBS Market Grew Slightly in 2Q15; Banks, Mutual Funds and Foreign Investors Increased Their Holdings

The supply of residential MBS in the market grew tepidly in the second quarter of 2015, but not enough to increase the overall securitization rate for home mortgages. A total of $6.335 trillion of single-family MBS were outstanding at the end of June, a slim 0.1 percent increase from the previous quarter. The supply of MBS has been bouncing slightly higher and lower over the past six quarters, without gaining much traction. With total home mortgage debt outstanding climbing by 0.4 percent during the second quarter, the share of securitized loans fell...[Includes two data tables] Read More

Investors Largely Happy with Credit Quality in New MBS and ABS, Regulatory Issues Remain a Concern

Investors at the ABS East conference sponsored by Information Management Network last week in Miami largely agreed that many MBS and ABS sectors are stronger than they were before the crisis in terms of issuance and certainly in terms of performance. While the investor base for securities has declined from the boom times of 10 years ago, there are also fewer distressed sellers. “You tend to see that bonds are held in strong hands, which makes for a strong underpinning,” said Alessandro Pagani, a portfolio manager and head of securitized assets at Loomis Sayles. “It makes for a pretty good balance between supply and demand.” John Vibert, a managing director at Prudential Fixed Income, said... Read More

GNMA to Evict Dormant MBS Issuers; MBA Chief Objects to Agency’s Comments on Strained Resources

Nearly 100 approved issuers will be dismissed from the Ginnie Mae MBS program for failing to be active participants, according to a top agency official. Michael Drayne, senior vice president and head of the Office of Issuer and Portfolio Management at Ginnie Mae, said the agency is currently working through all of the Ginnie I (multifamily) and Ginnie II (single family) issuers that have not issued a single security since their approval. Drayne estimated... Read More

TRACE Reporting of Pricing for ABS Trades Seen As Hurting the Market; FINRA Suggests Jury is Still Out

The pricing disclosures mandated by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority for ABS have had a mixed impact on the market, according to industry participants, with many claiming that the transparency has reduced liquidity. In June, FINRA started reporting post-trade price information for ABS via the Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine, better known as TRACE. The disclosures include the CUSIP, price and volume, all disclosed within 45 minutes after a trade is made. Actual volume is disclosed for trades below $10 million while trades above that amount are noted as “$10+ million.” The disclosures apply to publically-registered ABS along with deals in the private-placement 144A market. At the ABS East conference held by Information Management Network last week in Miami, Rishi Kapur, a managing director at Babson Capital, said... Read More

MBS Prices Remain in a Holding Pattern, Thanks To the Fed: Modest Improvement in Liquidity?

The average daily trading volume for agency MBS fell slightly to $187.6 billion in August from the prior month, the second lowest reading of the year, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. Lower trading volume indicates that liquidity has been reduced somewhat, but there could be brighter days ahead: the eight-month daily trading average is a bit higher at $200.9 billion and if that figure holds for the rest of the year, it will surpass last’s year’s daily average of $177.9 billion. Then again, $200.9 billion wouldn’t be... Read More

Marketplace Lending Securitizations Look Promising, But There are Risks Lurking, Ratings Services Say

Marketplace lending – otherwise known as peer-to-peer lending – is becoming more of a “thing” for institutional investors, hedge funds, venture capital firms, and even banks these days, but there are plenty of risks lurking in the bushes as well as other operational challenges, according to ratings service analysts. “While marketplace lending has enjoyed increasing growth and acceptance, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services believes a measured and cautious approach is warranted to properly evaluate this segment, which exhibits unique and heightened risks,” S&P credit analysts Ildiko Szilank and Timothy Bartl wrote in a new report. Among the risks they identified is... Read More

CMBS Delinquencies Generally Stable With High Delinquency Areas in Recovery Mode

The delinquency rate for loans backing commercial MBS was fairly stable in August, according to reports from Fitch Ratings and Trepp. Although Fitch reports that loan delinquencies fell one notch to 4.52 percent from the previous month, Trepp data show that the overall CMBS delinquency rate inched upward to 5.45 percent in August, from 5.42 in July. Late payment balances fell... Read More

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