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Inside MBS & ABS

March 21, 2014

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Fed Cuts in MBS Purchases Track Declining New Issuance As Central Bank Continues to Crowd Out Other Investors

The Federal Open Market Committee this week voted to scale back the central bank’s purchases of agency MBS again, dropping the monthly growth target to $25 billion, but the deceleration is barely keeping even with the rapid slowdown in new MBS issuance. At its December meeting, the FOMC decided to drop its MBS purchases to a pace that would add $35 billion per month, and lowered that by another $5 billion at its January meeting. The program began in late 2012 at $40 billion a month. The central bank will continue to reinvest principal and interest payments on its holdings in the agency MBS market. The most recent available data show...[Includes two data charts] Read More

Fed Purchases Likely Will End This Fall, Interest Rates Could Rise Six Months After

New Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said this week that the U.S. central bank’s bond purchase program will likely end this fall as the Fed Open Market Committee announced, as expected, a further pullback in its agency MBS purchases. Beginning in April, the FOMC said it will add to its agency MBS holdings at a pace of $25 billion per month rather than $30 billion per month. If the slowdown continues at its current pace, the Fed will stop growing its MBS holdings late this summer. The FOMC also updated... Read More

Johnson-Crapo GSE Reform Bill Has Options for Non-Agency Market, Incentives for FMIC Activity

Bipartisan mortgage-finance reform legislation from leaders in the Senate focuses on replacing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securitization programs with a new government MBS guaranty, but it also includes options for MBS issued outside the proposed agency-like structure. Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, this week revealed the text of their Housing Finance Reform and Taxpayer Protection Act, which may have little chance of passage this year but may be the starting point for reform in the next Congress. Johnson-Crapo would create... Read More

Bipartisan Senate Housing-Finance Reform Bill Mandates Preservation, Maintenance of TBA Market

The mortgage securitization sector is pleased that the bipartisan agreement between Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee Chairman Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Ranking Member Mike Crapo, R-ID, on housing-finance reform includes a small but critical provision to support the to-be-announced market. The 442-page draft sets a five-year timeline to shut down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and in their place create a new Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp., a utility that securitizes and guarantees mortgages. The government’s MBS guaranty would be supported by a 10 percent first-loss piece funded by private investors. The FMIC would approve... Read More

Common Securitization Platform Gets Featured Role In Agency MBS Redesign, But Cannot Find a CEO

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continue to develop their new common securitization platform in relative secrecy, although the concept has become a key component of mortgage-finance reform recently unveiled by the leadership of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee. Under the bill drafted by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, the CSP would operate as a privately-owned utility through which single-family MBS would be issued, with or without the new explicit government guaranty. Regulated by the new overseer of the MBS market, the Federal Mortgage Insurance Corp., the platform would shepherd... Read More

Rating Services Requiring Higher Credit Enhancement for Non-QMs, Pushing Non-Agency MBS Issuers Toward QMs

The securitized mortgage market appears to be destined to be dominated by mortgages that meet the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s qualified-mortgage standards. Criteria from the rating services gives favorable treatment to QMs, while Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are avoiding non-QMs altogether. Fitch Ratings released criteria this week for how it will rate non-agency mortgages in light of the CFPB’s ability-to-repay rule and QM standards, rounding out a number of updates from the rating services about how they will handle the issue. The ATR rule took effect for loans with an application date of Jan. 10 or later. So far, no loans subject to the ATR rule have appeared in a jumbo MBS. Issuers have... Read More

GSE Reform in Congress, Investor Lawsuits, Impact On Industry Will Influence Housing Debate in 2014

The agreement among Republicans, Democrats and the White House for the need to act and the heightened urgency to pass legislation before a potential shift in power after the mid-term elections could determine the outlook for housing reform legislation in 2014, according to analysts. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reform efforts in Congress and investor lawsuits are helping shape the housing debate this year, and the recently issued Johnson-Crapo draft legislation is the bill to watch going forward, said Bloomberg Industries analysts this week. The profitability of the two government-sponsored enterprises in 2013 not only fueled... Read More

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