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Inside MBS & ABS

February 22, 2013

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Bank MBS Holdings Fell in Late 2012, With Most of the Decline in the Top Tier

Commercial banks and savings institutions reported a modest decline in their aggregate investment in residential MBS during the fourth quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of call report data. Banks and thrifts held $1.579 trillion of residential MBS at the end of last year, down 2.4 percent from the close of the third quarter. It was the industry’s lowest aggregate position since the end of 2011, but banks still held an historically high 25.0 percent of total MBS outstanding. Compared to the end of 2011, bank MBS holdings were...[Includes two data charts] Read More

Mortgage Lawsuits Expected for Wall Street Banks Seen By Some in Congress as ‘Too Big to Jail’

The Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission are likely to pursue more mortgage-related lawsuits due to pressure from Congress, according to former federal attorneys. “The fact that the attorney general now speaks of financial fraud enforcement as one of the top three priorities of the Department of Justice, just after terrorism and keeping people safe in their communities, trickles down to the lowest levels of the department and elsewhere in terms of the dedication of resources, the coordination, the training, the case referrals,” said Andrew Schilling, a partner at the law firm of BuckleySandler and a former chief of the civil division of the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York. The latest pressure came... Read More

Fitch Warns About Loosening Reps and Warranties on New Non-Agency MBS

Potential issuers of new non-agency MBS are looking to establish representations and warranties that provide less protection for MBS investors, according to Fitch Ratings. The rating service said it will take a negative view on deals with reps and warrants that vary from the rating service’s standards, which largely mirror guidelines established by the American Securitization Forum. In a report released this week, Fitch said firms looking to issue non-agency MBS have been shopping deals with reps and warrants weaker than the new framework established by the Federal Housing Finance Authority for repurchase requests from the government-sponsored enterprises. The FHFA’s framework, which went into effect in January, includes a sunset for underwriting reps and most fraud reps if a borrower makes 36 consecutive timely payments, which Fitch said would not necessarily unduly expose MBS investors to greater losses. Rui Pereira, a managing director and head of U.S. residential MBS ratings at Fitch, said... Read More

REITs Slow Down Pace of MBS Acquisitions, But End the Year With Significant Gains Over 2011

Despite softening involvement during the last quarter of 2012, most of the top real estate investment trust MBS investors had healthy increases in their portfolios over the last year, including six that showed triple-digit increases, mostly on the strength of an active first half of the year. According to a new analysis by Inside MBS & ABS, REIT MBS investors as a group increased their MBS holdings by 47.4 percent in 2012, to a total $357.45 billion, despite a collective shrinkage of 4.1 percent during the fourth quarter of the year. All but $7.49 billion were in agency MBS. The biggest year-over-year portfolio gains were seen...[Includes one data chart] Read More

S&P’s Parent Company Downgraded by Moody’s and Fitch Due to DOJ Lawsuit

Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings have downgraded the senior unsecured and issuer default ratings of The McGraw-Hill Companies, parent of Standard & Poor’s, to below A-level ratings with a negative outlook. The downgrades are largely due to the Department of Justice’s recent lawsuit regarding ratings of collateralized-debt obligations and rating models for non-agency MBS. “The Baa2 rating balances the company’s history of prevailing in its legal defenses against the potentially substantial negative credit effects that could result from adverse litigation or settlement outcomes,” Moody’s said after downgrading McGraw-Hill’s senior unsecured rating from A3 late last week. “In addition, the management focus and direct costs involved in defending litigation may be a persistent drag on the company’s operations over the intermediate term.” Moody’s said... Read More

Prices for Jumbo Whole Loans Are Starting to Look Pricey, But It Likely Won’t Affect MBS Plans Much

Sellers of jumbo whole loans into the secondary market are getting prices of up to 103 – and in some cases more – which on paper might throw a monkey wrench into the economics of trying to create a new MBS, but it’s not turning out that way. According to loan traders and industry consultants, MBS spreads to Treasuries have tightened over the past several weeks, making the economics of issuing a security better, even though the price for the underlying product might look a bit rich for potential issuers. “The cost of funds are going down,” said one trader. According to Craig Cole, a principal in Emerald Consulting LLC, the price paid... Read More

Appetite for MBS Doesn’t Appear to Be Waning, Cerberus Targets Agency and Non-Agency MBS

Two months back Macquaire Equities Research issued a report declaring that investing in agency MBS “is like playing a game of chicken.” The analytics firm was speaking mainly about REITs, advising its clients to “take the dividends and run.” Its chief concern was that MBS investing REITs aren’t diversified. “We spoke with agency REIT management teams and found that while the current environment is challenging, for the most part they remain committed to the agency MBS asset class,” wrote Macquarie analyst Jasper Burch. Earlier this month, hedge fund giant Cerberus Capital filed... Read More

Fitch Predicts Increase in Bulk Loan Sales as Banks Look to Relieve Pressure on Portfolios

Banks are likely to pursue more bulk sales this year and the next to rid their books of nonperforming real estate assets, which could attract investors looking for better yield, according to Fitch Investors Service. Successful bulk sales will allow more banks to concentrate on their core banking services, while reducing their costs of holding nonperforming real estate loans on their balance sheets, said Fitch analysts. Sales at banks with high volumes of nonperforming commercial-related loans also are expected to pick up over the next 12 to 18 months, particularly as many commercial real estate (CRE) loans originated before the financial crisis near maturity, they added. Investors such as hedge funds, high-yield asset managers and other lightly regulated entities seeking higher returns in a low interest-rate environment have caused... Read More

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