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Inside Mortgage Trends

January 10, 2014

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Top Sellers Posted Out-Sized Declines In GSE Activity as 2013 Wound Down

New business activity at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fell sharply in the fourth quarter of 2014, but the top tier of mortgage sellers took more than their share of the decline, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of mortgage-backed securities data. Total single-family MBS production by the two government-sponsored enterprises declined by 36.1 percent from the third quarter to the fourth quarter of 2013. But the top five GSE sellers posted a combined 45.9 percent ... [Includes two data charts] Read More

NPL Sellers Should Do Well in 2014

Over the past year, home values – including distressed sales – have risen by almost 12 percent, which can only mean good things for sellers of nonperforming mortgages. Investors and auction companies that play in the non-performing loan space are expecting a banner year for sales, but also are quick to caution that every real estate (and loan) market is different. “We auctioned off roughly $11 billion in NPLs in 2013,” said J. Kingsley Greenland, president and CEO of The Debt Exchange, which operates ... Read More

Interest Rates, Evolution Key in 2014

Analysts are predicting a slowdown in the housing market in 2014 with mortgage interest rates trending higher, putting a damper on new applications, and regulatory and political changes pushing down on economic recovery. Noting the strong 12 percent rise in home prices in 2013, analysts at Standard & Poor’s are expecting a 6 percent increase in the S&P Case-Schiller 20-City Home Price Index in 2014. A housing market analysis by Capital Economics, a macroeconomic research firm, says the rapid rise of ... Read More

Homebuyers Prefer PC Tech to Shop for Mortgages

Mobile technology may seem to be all the rage, with many lenders tapping vendors to help borrowers to shop for rates, mortgages and lenders from the palms of their hands. But a new Fannie Mae survey suggests that borrowers prefer to go “old school” and use their personal computers to find the best mortgage. The use of technology in mortgage shopping is likely to continue – especially among younger borrowers with higher income and educational levels. “Consumers say they use traditional ... Read More

Repealing Deductions May Boost Homeownership

A white paper circulated last week at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association asserted, somewhat counter-intuitively, that repealing the home-mortgage interest deduction and property-tax reductions would result in lower home prices but higher rates of homeownership. The paper, prepared by Kamila Sommer, an economist with the Federal Reserve Board, and Paul Sullivan, an economist at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, studied the impact of reducing housing tax expenditures on equilibrium ... Read More

Economics Drive Low-Rated Borrowers to ARMs

The tendency of borrowers with low credit scores to choose adjustable-rate mortgages over fixed-rate loans is more about economic considerations rather than a lack of financial sophistication, according to a study by Federal Reserve researchers. In the study, Fred Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova looked at factors that influenced lower-credit borrowers to select ARMs over fixed-rate mortgages during the housing boom in early 2000. In general, the research team observed ... Read More

Regulators Warn Lenders on Interest Rate Risk

After years of operating in an environment with exceptionally low interest rates, federal regulators are warning lenders of risks as interest rates are expected to rise in 2014. Regulators are particularly concerned about lenders’ exposure to longer-term assets such as mortgages and agency mortgage-backed securities. “The recent increase in long-term interest rates underscores the need to understand and quantify bank vulnerability to rising interest rates,” the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ... Read More

Bank Repurchases Hit 5-Year Low in 3Q13

Commercial banks and savings institutions coughed up $1.998 billion in mortgage repurchases and indemnifications during the third quarter of 2013, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of call-report data. It was the lowest quarterly repurchase total for the industry since the third quarter of 2008, when the buyback storm was just beginning to gather force. The third quarter 2013 total also reflected a 25.2 percent drop from the second quarter. For the first nine months of 2013 ... [Includes one data chart] Read More

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