With time ticking toward a Dec. 24 compliance date, issuers of commercial MBS continue to try to develop structures that will meet risk-retention requirements. Richard Jones, a partner at the Dechert law firm, warned that the industry is “in trouble.” In an analysis published this month, he wrote, “We as an industry don’t have a scalable solution to the problem. We … do not know what this will cost, who will pay for it, and to what extent this is an existential risk to commercial real estate capital formation as it has been conducted for the past 25 years.” He noted...
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS climbed to $215.9 billion in May, the highest reading of the year, according to the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. But don’t get too excited. May’s activity is still below the two-year high established in January 2015 and nowhere near the peaks established back in 2008 when crumbling financial markets caused investors to go gaga for agency MBS. The relatively low daily trading volumes continue...
The weighted average loan loss severity for U.S. commercial MBS was 49.3 percent for the 139 loans liquidated in the first three months of 2016, versus 58.2 percent for 240 loans liquidated in the last three months of 2015, which was the highest quarterly loss severity since 2010, Moody’s Investors Service said in a new quarterly report. However, “In both quarters, severities topped the weighted average of 42.8 percent for loans liquidated between Jan. 1, 2000, and March 31, 2016,” the ratings service added. The Moody’s report tracks...
Over at Freddie Mac, the GSE did $10.8 billion in issuance for the first quarter, mostly in its K-deal program, along with its small balance program, otherwise known as “SB deals.”
New MBS issuance backed by income-property mortgages fell in the first quarter of 2016 as all sectors of the market got off to a weak start in the new year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. A total of $44.78 billion of commercial mortgages were securitized in the first three months of the year, down 11.8 percent from the fourth quarter. It marked the lowest three-month output since the second quarter of 2014, when $37.61 billion of commercial mortgages were securitized. Both sides of the industry saw...[Includes one data table]
The government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are issuing multifamily MBS in 2016 at a rate that should approach and perhaps exceed $100 billion by the end of the year, according to the latest data and projections from the pair. That compares with a Federal Housing Finance Agency GSE scorecard cap of $31 billion in volume for each, up $1 billion over last year. However, there’s a good bit of wiggle room there because Fannie and Freddie essentially have “capped” and “uncapped” buckets. The more active of the two, Fannie, churned out $12.6 billion of new multifamily MBS in the first...
Fannie, Freddie and Ginnie continue to dominate in multifamily mortgage securitization, capturing a combined 93.6 percent of the market in the first quarter.