Observers of the subprime auto ABS market are raising concerns as delinquencies rise above peaks seen during the financial crisis as lenders have loosened underwriting standards in search of market share. According to Fitch Ratings’ index of subprime auto ABS, 60+ day delinquencies on loans backing the securities hit 5.45 percent at the end of 2016. Delinquencies were up from 4.70 percent at the end of 2015 and 41 basis points higher than the peak for the sector in 2009. The index tracks an outstanding balance of $38.6 billion from 149 transactions. There were 21 active shelves in the index, up from 12 active issuers in 2010. “Smaller lenders along with recent new entrants are...
Last year was a decent enough year for the student loan sector, and so far this year, the space is looking dramatically more robust, according to analysts at the DBRS ratings service. New issuance so far in 2017 is more than twice that from the same period last year, with volume exceeding $4.5 billion, according to Jon Riber, a senior U.S. ABS ratings analyst at DBRS. “There are...
The U.S. banking industry is a steady, but not a huge, supporter of the non-mortgage-ABS market, accounting for 17.4 percent of the supply of ABS outstanding at the end of 2016, according to a new call-report analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. By comparison, banks and thrifts held about 26.5 percent of MBS outstanding at yearend. Although ABS issuance since the financial crisis has dwarfed production of non-agency MBS, the market still hasn’t fully recovered. The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association reports that total ABS outstanding – not including collateralized debt obligations – declined by 0.3 percent during the fourth quarter to $712.1 billion. That’s still well below the total outstanding at the end of 2007, $899.8 billion. Commercial banks and thrifts reported...[Includes two data tables]
Contrarians may suspect a bubble, but analysts at DBRS said in a new report this week that credit card loan balances in the U.S. reached a new post-financial-crisis high in December 2016, which they characterized as a reflection of consumers’ “gradual inclination to judiciously undertake incremental credit card debt.” According to their analysis, credit card debt accelerated last year. “After steadily increasing over the past five years, growth in credit card debt accelerated in 2016 at an average monthly, year-over-year growth rate of 6.1 percent, compared to 4.2 percent in 2015, and 2.9 percent in 2014,” DBRS said. Citing the Federal Reserve data for December 2016, the analysts found...
The CFPB recently issued a request for information into ways to expand access to credit for consumers who are “credit invisible,” that is, those who don’t have enough credit history to generate a credit score. The bureau issued the RFI to drum up public feedback on “the benefits and risks of tapping alternative data sources such as bills for mobile phones and rent payments to make lending decisions about consumers whose lack of credit history might otherwise block opportunities.” According to the CFPB, there are 26 million Americans who are credit invisibles. “Another 19 million consumers have a credit history that has gone stale, or is insufficient to produce a credit score under most scoring models,” said the agency. The ...
The aggregate dollar volume of homeowner equity in real estate has almost returned to pre-crisis levels, but borrowers are no longer using their homes as ATMs, according to industry analysts. Between 2003 and 2007, homeowners were extracting more than $350.0 billion in home equity per year via home-equity loans and cash-out refinances, according to researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. While home prices and equity have largely recovered, equity extraction remains below $50.0 billion per year. William Dudley, president and CEO of the NY Fed, said...
Hensarling Threatens to Use Budget Reconciliation Process to Push Through CHOICE Act 2.0. Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-TX, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, raised some industry eyebrows last week when details of his new, more aggressive Financial CHOICE Act got leaked to the press, and he indicated he might use the budget reconciliation process to push the bill through Congress.... CFPB Brings Legal Action Against Debt Relief Law Firms, Attorneys. The CFPB recently sued Howard Law PC, Williamson Law Firm LLC, and Williamson & Howard LLP, as well as attorneys Vincent Howard and Lawrence Williamson, in federal court, accusing them of collaborating to charge illegal fees to consumers looking for debt relief....
Risk-retention requirements for the majority of MBS and ABS sectors were in effect by the end of December, and industry participants have largely adjusted to them, according to analysts. The Dodd-Frank Act generally requires sponsors of ABS, non-agency MBS and commercial MBS to retain at least 5.0 percent of each deal. The retention requirements for residential mortgages took effect at the end of 2015, though most deals have been backed completely by qualified mortgages, which makes them exempt from risk retention. Other asset types have...
Republicans Again Introduce Legislation to Change CFPB Leadership Structure to a Board. Republican Sens. Deb Fischer (NE), Ron Johnson (WI) and John Barrasso (WY), recently introduced S. 105, legislation that would replace the CFPB’s single-director leadership structure with a bipartisan, five-member board. ... Cordray Assures CFPB Staff Re: PHH Dispute in October Email. In an Oct. 17, 2016, email to “all hands” at the CFPB, a copy of which was obtained by Inside the CFPB, the agency’s director, Richard Cordray, offered some words of reassurance in light of the decision by the three-judge panel of the District of Columbia Circuit Court of Appeals that found the bureau’s leadership structure was unconstitutional. ...
The subprime auto lending market is stable and the underwriting is strong, but delinquencies are up, according to credit bureau experts speaking at the American Financial Services Association’s vehicle financing conference. The auto financing industry is coming off another record year of sales, according to Chris Stinebert, president and CEO of AFSA. He added that it’s important for credit reporting agencies to set the record straight on the health of the subprime auto finance market. “The fact is...