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GSE MBS Business Activity Increases in 4Q 2012

January 4, 2013
Heavy refinance volume pushed both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac single-family mortgage securitization up appreciably during the fourth quarter of 2012, helping to close out a post-crisis record year for GSE mortgage-backed security business, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis.Fannie and Freddie issued $352.51 billion in single-family MBS during the fourth quarter, a 5.2 percent increase from the previous period and the biggest quarter in over three years.
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MBA’s GSE Task Force to Study Fannie, Freddie Reform

January 4, 2013
Fannie, Freddie ReformThe Mortgage Bankers Association has formed a special working group tasked with divining an approach to implement comprehensive reform of the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Rolled out in late December, MBA’s 17-member GSE Single Family Task Force will re-examine and add to the association’s 2009 proposal on the future of the secondary mortgage market, according to Task Force Chairman Tim Dale, executive vice president of mortgage lending at BB&T.Dale said the key focus of the task force will be on “transition.”
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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Expected to Increase Somewhat in 2013; Years Before Full Recovery

December 21, 2012
Analysts expect issuance of new production non-agency MBS to increase in 2013 from this year’s level but remain well below historical non-boom standards. Investor demand for new non-agency MBS has increased recently and a number of issuers are looking to enter the market, but the non-agency sector also faces significant hurdles. Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises and pending risk-retention rules need to be resolved before non-agency MBS production will increase significantly, according to industry analysts. Through the beginning of December, $13.01 billion in non-agency MBS had been issued...
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MBS Analysts Wary of New Principal Forgiveness, HARP Deadline Revision Under New FHFA Chief

December 21, 2012
MBS analysts hold differing expectations as to what the potential replacement of the “temporary” head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency could mean to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the mortgage securities sector. Recently reported Obama administration backchannel chatter suggests that the White House is actively seeking potential candidates to replace FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, who has been the de facto agency chief since the departure of James Lockhart in September 2009. A report last week by Credit Suisse speculated...
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Moody’s: Washington’s Tumble Over ‘Fiscal Cliff’ Would Take Fannie, Freddie Profitability With It

December 21, 2012
A recession resulting from the federal government taking the U.S. economy over the fiscal cliff would leave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac vulnerable to higher credit losses and make the two government-sponsored enterprises unprofitable again, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s this week warned that Washington’s failure to reach a tax and spending agreement would also force the GSEs to ride out the shockwaves of potential financial market disruptions on their derivatives trades. “In our current central economic scenario, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are...
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GSE Fees Near Non-Agency Tipping Point

December 21, 2012
The guaranty fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are close to hitting a tipping point where non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance will be the more economic execution for new originations, according to some non-agency participants. “If the non-agency pricing is improving and the GSE pricing is worsening, at some point you’re going to hit a tipping point,” Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse, said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum ...
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GSE/Non-Agency Risk Sharing Expected Soon

December 21, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, under directions from the Federal Housing Finance Agency, are close to issuing risk-sharing transactions, according to market participants. The securities will be structured to allow non-agency investors to take subordinate risk on government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities and will likely help set GSE guaranty fees going forward. Martin Hughes, CEO of Redwood Trust, said his company is currently under a non-disclosure agreement regarding risk-sharing ...
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QM Rule Impact on FHA Ratios Raises Concern

December 21, 2012
As the wait for the highly anticipated “qualified mortgage” final rule continues, its impact on FHA lending programs remains uncertain. Concerns have been raised over the possibility that the final QM rule the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is finalizing may establish a “safe harbor” for prime loans with a maximum debt-to-income ratio of up to 43 percent. This could have implications for FHA loans, which allow higher back-end ratios under certain circumstances, according to some lenders and industry participants. At what point the DTI ratios will ...
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2013 FHA, VA Loan Limits Vary in Many Markets

December 21, 2012
The FHA and VA have announced loan limit adjustments in many counties even as disparities with conventional loan limits persist in 2013, according to a new analysis by Inside FHA Lending. FHA loan limits for forward mortgages will increase in 2013 for 19 counties, 10 of which are part of the Houston metropolitan area. In those counties, the one-unit limit is going up just $1,500 to $272,550. The remaining counties are in Alaska. Congress authorized the “emergency” loan limits for high-costs markets – still $729,750 for FHA and $625,500 for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac –to run through Dec. 31, 2013. The base loan limit nationwide and in ...
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HUD Will Have Its Regulatory Plate Full in 2013

December 21, 2012
Despite the renewed focus on the FHA in the wake of the recent actuarial report, analysts do not expect any meaningful action in 2013 given the important role that FHA plays in supporting the housing market. But that does not mean that the Department of Housing and Urban Development will be sitting idly by next year. It has a lot of additional measures to implement to protect and preserve the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan told Senate lawmakers recently during a hearing on the condition of the fund. The changes are both ...
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