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Forecasters Predict an Origination Swoon in 2013

May 13, 2013
John Bancroft
Although 2013 will turn out to be a decent year in terms of residential production, next year could be quite ugly.
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Earnings Boost From Originations Offset Servicing Downturn in 1Q13

May 13, 2013
John Bancroft
Income tied to residential servicing was down 27.7 percent for the 10 lenders as a group.
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Democrats Continue ‘Dump DeMarco’ Demands

May 10, 2013
Democrats are happy, but not quite content, with President Obama’s long-awaited action last week to send the name of Rep. Mel Watt, D-NC, to the Senate as the White House’s nominee for director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Prominent progressives are doubling down by demanding that Edward DeMarco, the FHFA’s long-standing but embattled acting director, be dispatched out of office by the president forthwith. Freshman Senator and one-time Consumer Financial Protection Bureau architect Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, and New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman, D, lauded Watt’s nomination, then immediately demanded that Obama appoint a new FHFA acting director in the interim.
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CBO: GSE Writedowns Could Save Taxpayers Money

May 10, 2013
GSE principal reduction could end up saving the government money but its reach to additional distressed borrowers would be limited, according to a report by the Congressional Budget Office. Expanding Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s loan modification policy to include principal forgiveness under the current Home Affordable Modification Program would probably generate fewer than 60,000 additional modifications, concluded the CBO report published last week.
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Forecasters See Originations Swoon in 2013

May 10, 2013
Mortgage industry economists widely agree that loan origination volume is going to drop sharply in 2013 – and again next year – although there is some variation in when they expect the downturn to take hold. The consensus view of economists at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association is that new originations in 2013 will drop 13.6 percent from last year’s level, falling to $1.635 trillion. The consensus – a simple average calculated by Inside Mortgage Trends – predicts ... [Includes one data chart]
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FHFA Seeks Public Input for Database Survey

May 10, 2013
The Federal Housing Finance Agency is calling for public comments to weigh in on its planned survey of borrowers as part of a joint effort with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to build and maintain a database of government mortgage information. The planned National Survey of Mortgage Borrowers will be a quarterly survey of recent first-time borrowers of single-family mortgages. “The survey questionnaire will be sent to approximately 7,000 new mortgage borrowers each calendar quarter and will consist of approximately 80-85 multiple choice and short-answer questions designed to obtain information about individual residential mortgage borrowers that is not available elsewhere,” explained the FHFA in its recent Federal Register notice.
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FHFA: GSE Common Securitzation Platform ‘On Track’

May 10, 2013
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are “on track” in their conservator-mandated effort to create a common mortgage-backed security securitization platform even as the GSEs also draft standard contracts and disclosures for the MBS market of the future, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The “progress report” that the FHFA issued last week was more of an outline of public comments it has received so far on what the agency and the GSEs have already proposed on the scope, design and construction of a common securitization platform and the progress of a CSP prototype. “The design is deliberately flexible so that the long-term ownership structure may be adjusted to meet the goals and direction that policymakers set forth for housing finance reform,” the report said. “Importantly, FHFA plans on instituting a formal structure to allow for ongoing input from industry participants.”
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FHLBank Earnings Decline in First Quarter 2013

May 10, 2013
Preliminary combined net income for the 12 Federal Home Loan Banks fell 12.3 percent to $580 million in the first quarter of 2013, down from $661 million at the end of the fourth quarter and a 20.9 percent decrease from the same period last year, according to the Federal Home Loan Bank Office of Finance. The FHLBank systems’ $153 million year-over-year decrease was driven primarily by lower net interest income, partially offset by lower assessments and non-interest expense. Total FHLBank assets were $738.7 billion on March 31, 2013, down 3.1 percent from $762.5 billion on Dec. 31, 2012, due to declines in investments, advances, mortgage loans and other assets.
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Fannie Settles Decade-Long Shareholder Fraud Suit

May 10, 2013
Fannie Mae and its former auditor KPMG LLP have agreed to pay $153 million to resolve a long-simmering class action lawsuit brought by investors seeking to recover damages, according to an announcement Tuesday by Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine. Two Ohio pension funds – the Ohio Public Employees Retirement System and the State Teachers Retirement System of Ohio – filed suit in 2004 related to a $6.3 billion overstatement of earnings against Fannie and three former GSE executives, including then-CEO Franklin Raines.
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GSE Earnings Soar in 1Q, Fannie Claims DTA

May 10, 2013
Fannie Mae hit an earnings home run in the first quarter while revealing that it has released $50.6 billion in “deferred tax assets,” an allowance that sets up a massive cash payment to the U.S. Treasury by the end of June. Fannie estimates that based on a net worth of $62.4 billion at March 31, it will have a dividend obligation to Treasury of $59.4 billion, a cash payment that appears all but certain. Following an edict from Treasury last summer, the GSEs cannot build retained earnings and can only maintain a small “buffer” of net worth. The rest of their earnings must be given to Treasury, which controls their preferred stock.
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