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Subprime Volume Indicators and ABX Prices

June 3, 2011

A half page of subprime data.


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CA Appeals Court Green Lights Class Action Against Countrywide, et al. Over Subprime MBS

May 27, 2011
The legacy of toxic subprime and Alt A MBS from Countrywide Financial continued to spread last week, with a California appeals court deciding to allow a class action involving a number of pension funds and other institutional investors against the lender to proceed. The plaintiffs allege that Countrywide and a number of its subsidiaries, officers and U.S. investment banks violated the Securities Act of 1933 by making materially false and misleading statements in over 450 prospectus supplements relating to the issuance of more than $300 billion in subprime and Alt A securities. Specifically, plaintiffs allege the defendants misrepresented the quality of...
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Jumbo Market Holds Up a Bit Stronger as 2011 Downturn Hits All Mortgage Products

May 26, 2011
Conventional conforming mortgage production took the heaviest hit in new lending during the first quarter as all four corners of the single-family originations market recorded sharp declines, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. Originations of conventional mortgages that meet conforming loan limits sank 40.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010, hitting an estimated $213.0 billion. The conventional conforming market still had the biggest role in the market, accounting for 65.5 percent of new originations, but a sharp drop in refinance activity hit the sector hard. Government-insured lending was also... [Includes two data charts]
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Redwood Plans $1.0 Billion in Jumbo MBS for 2011

May 20, 2011
Redwood Trust plans to issue two more jumbo mortgage-backed securities this year, the real-estate investment trust announced this month. Martin Hughes, president and CEO of the firm, said officials hope to issue a total of $800 million to $1.0 billion in jumbo MBS in 2011, including the $290.0 million security issued earlier this year. Officials at the REIT said they hope to issue their next jumbo security in the third quarter. At the end of April, Redwood had $87.0 million in loans purchased and held on balance sheet for future securitization along with a $200.0 million pipeline. Redwood is seeing strong demand from correspondent lenders looking to...
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Two Harbors Investment Plans To Issue Jumbo MBS in 2011

May 20, 2011
Two Harbors Investment Corp. announced this week that it plans to issue a $250.0 million jumbo non-agency mortgage-backed security this year. "We believe we can create mortgage credit investments at attractive yields resulting from high-quality loan origination and securitization while further extending the runway for the non-agency allocation in our portfolio," said Thomas Siering, president and CEO of Two Harbors, a real estate investment trust. He said Two Harbors took its first step toward setting up a securitization issuance program by partnering with Barclays Bank this week to close on a $100 million mortgage loan warehouse facility, subject to... [Includes one graph]
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GSE Underwriting Remains Tight; Alt A Improves

May 20, 2011
Non-prime mortgages owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac continued to gradually melt away in early 2011, although performance improved somewhat on Alt A mortgages. Combined, Fannie and Freddie had $447.33 billion in non-prime holdings at the end of the first quarter, down 17.3 percent from the same period in 2010, according to a new analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Alt A mortgages accounted for 69.9 percent of the government-sponsored enterprises' exposure to non-prime loans. New business at the GSEs continued to meet high standards. The weighted-average loan-to-value ratio on mortgages guaranteed by... [Includes one data chart]
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News Briefs

May 20, 2011
High-touch servicer Nationstar Mortgage announced this week that it plans to raise up to $400.0 million via an initial public offering. The servicer - owned by Fortress Investment Group - primarily focuses on defaulted agency mortgages. Nationstar serviced a $64.2 billion portfolio as of the end of 2010, with subprime mortgages accounting for a 14.6 percent share. Reps. Gary Miller, R-CA and Brad Sherman, D-CA, recently introduced legislation to permanently increase the conforming loan limits. Few analysts believe that H.R. 1754, "the Preserving Equal Access to Mortgage Finance Programs Act," will gain much traction considering...
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Subprime Volume Indicators and ABX Prices

May 20, 2011

A half page of subprime data.


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Analyst Revises His Diagnosis of Financial Crisis

May 13, 2011
Government housing policy and agencies played a much larger role in the housing crisis than initially believed, but a fresh look at the conclusions of two GSE critics has prompted a top JPMorgan Chase analyst to take the unusual step of issuing a public retraction.
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Jumbo Conduits Gaining Some Momentum as Industry Begins to Reinvent Non-Agency MBS

May 12, 2011
The so-called RMBS 2.0 features squeaky-clean collateral and high-definition transparency, but industry experts say, more importantly, that after years of mostly talk there is now some momentum in the market. Adam Yarnold, a managing director at Barclays Capital, said there are half a dozen residential mortgage conduits – including his firm – that are buying loans. During a panel session at the secondary market conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association, he noted that more broker/dealers are in the wings. Barclays is buying high-quality loans with loan-to-value ratios below 70 percent and debt-to-income ratios that come close to the standards proposed by federal regulators for qualified residential mortgages, Yarnold said. The company hosts a web-based portal through which it locks loans and...
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