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Moody’s, Fitch: New Trends Affecting Credit Quality of Residential MBS, ABS Securitizations

July 3, 2014
The credit quality of the collateral backing the most active types of structured finance securities is slipping, but remains above pre-credit crisis levels, according to Moody’s Investors Service. In a report issued last week, Moody’s cited several trends that signal the potential for higher credit risk, but the rating service said that many sponsors are building in subordination levels and other structural features that result in higher credit quality. “The degree of weaker underwriting and collateral quality in structured transactions varies...
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Research Finds Securitized HELs have Higher Default Probability, Loss Severity Compared to Portfolio Loans

July 3, 2014
Securitization, particularly non-agency securitization of subprime and Alt A mortgages, has been widely blamed for the recent financial crisis, although less-studied home-equity loans also may have contributed, according to a government working paper. Results suggested that securitized home-equity loans have higher default risk and produce greater loss severity than similar loans held in portfolio by lenders, according to authors Michael LaCour-Little, a professor of finance at California State University at Fullerton, and Yanan Zhang, a financial economist at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The authors sampled...
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What We’re Hearing: Those Darn Confidentiality Agreements with FHFA / Nationstar Does Not Borrow Short! Got That? / A 15-Year ARM (No, That’s Not a Misprint) / Ginnie Hits $1.5 Trillion Mark

July 2, 2014
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
One MI CEO, who we called, said this: “Thanks for reaching out. We, along with the other MIs are currently in confidential discussions with FHFA and the GSEs regarding the new standards. Unfortunately, we cannot comment until they are public.”
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Servicing Advisor Phoenix Capital Buys Whole Loan Trader

July 2, 2014
Paul Muolo
Phoenix Capital said it has worked with Steel Mountain executives on different projects for 20 years.
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Will Reperforming Mortgages Wind Up in MBS?

July 2, 2014
Paul Muolo
Then again, there are different definitions of what constitutes a “re-performing” mortgage. Most of the loans trading in this market are modified loans that have six to 12 months of seasoning and a clean cash-flow history.
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Short Takes: Wells Fargo in Repo Deal with Ocwen Spin-off / New Capital Rules for Mortgage Insurers? / In Non-QM Loans We Trust / Don’t Fear the HELOC Reaper / Radian Completes Clayton Deal / USB Settles FHA Charges

July 1, 2014
Paul Muolo
Will a coming boom in the production of non-qualified mortgages help residential lenders survive the origination slump?
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Obama Administration Asks What Can Be Done to Help the Non-Agency Market

June 27, 2014
Brandon Ivey
The Treasury Department will hold meetings with issuers of non-agency MBS in the coming months to pick their brains on how the government can assist in uncovering "new paths" to increase private investment.
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A Mini-Revival for the Jumbo MBS Market?

June 27, 2014
Brandon Ivey
While jumbo mortgage securitization is currently attractive to issuers, industry analysts suggest that volume will remain limited this year due to a number of factors.
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Activity Heats Up in the Jumbo MBS Market, But Key Factors Likely to Suppress Issuance

June 27, 2014
The jumbo MBS market sprung to life this month, just before the close of the second quarter. Three firms are scheduled to issue jumbo MBS at the end of this week, and the market’s biggest player, Redwood Trust, is close to its first new issuance since pricing a deal at the end of March. While jumbo mortgage securitization is currently attractive to issuers, industry analysts suggest that volume will remain limited this year due to a number of factors, including a lack of strong demand from a wide range of investors, incentives for banks to hold jumbos in portfolio and continued dominance by the government-sponsored enterprises. “I think issuance will remain...
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Signs of Life in the Market for Re-performing Loans, But How Many Will Wind up in Securitizations?

June 27, 2014
Over the past few months, at least $407 million of re-performing residential mortgages have been auctioned off in the secondary market, according to a recent tally from Mountain View Capital Group, Denver. As for how many of these loans will wind up in an MBS, that’s a different matter. DBRS has rated what it calls 15 “seasoned” loan programs since 2009, only four of which it considers to be re-performing. But according to DBRS Managing Director of Structured Finance Quincy Tang, “There’s certainly no shortage of re-performing collateral in the market.” In other words, despite the improvement in the housing market, there are...
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