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More IOs Set to Recast, Fewer Defaults Expected

June 3, 2016
The upcoming batch of non-agency interest-only mortgages that will hit a 10-year recast is larger than the IO recast volume seen last year, according to Moody’s Investors Service. However, the rating service predicts that a spike in default rates prompted by the recasts will be less severe than that of 2015. “Default rates will likely stay below those of Alt A IO loans in non-agency mortgage-backed securities which re-cast to full payment in 2015 because of a slightly smaller expected ...
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News Briefs

June 3, 2016
Comparing 2005 with 2015, the share of loan applications from borrowers with low credit scores has declined at a greater pace than originations of mortgages to borrowers with lower credit scores, according to CoreLogic. “The decline in originations could be a result of potential applicants being either too cautious or discouraged from applying, more so than tight underwriting as the culprit in lower mortgage activity,” said Archana Pradhan, an economist at ... [Includes seven briefs]
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FHA Securitization Spikes in 1Q16, VA Activity Drops Year-over-Year

June 3, 2016
FHA originations rose significantly in the first quarter of 2016 from the same period last year even as VA loan production decreased slightly, according to an analysis of Ginnie Mae data. Lenders delivered $54.4 billion of FHA-insured loans to Ginnie Mae for securitization during the first three months, up 36.2 percent from the previous year. In contrast, the volume of VA loans securitized over the same period, $35.0 billion, fell 1.5 percent compared to the same period a year ago. A strong purchase-mortgage market drove FHA activity from January to March. The reduction in FHA’s annual insurance premium in January 2015 continued to have an impact on FHA’s purchase-loan market share. In 2015, FHA purchase originations accounted for $151.0 billion of the estimated $881.0 billion in total purchase originations (conventional and government single-family forward originations), according to ... [ 2 charts ]
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New Jumbo MBS from Redwood Will Include TRID Loans with Compliance Exceptions; Minimal Impact on Rating

June 2, 2016
Brandon Ivey
While uncertainty persists regarding TRID, KBRA said it only slightly increased its loss expectations on Redwood’s planned jumbo MBS.
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FDIC Settles With Eight Street Firms Over Non-Agency MBS Tied to Countrywide; But Looks at Suing ‘Individuals’ Too

June 2, 2016
Paul Muolo
The FDIC said that acting as a receiver of the failed banks it “may professionals and entities whose conduct resulted in losses to those institutions…”
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Short Takes: Quicken Top Contributor to New Redwood MBS / Cleveland Rocks for Quicken / Fannie Says Consumers Wrong on DTI / More MSR Deals / CAR Concerned About ‘Super Lien’ Status in California

June 2, 2016
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
Fannie Mae said the result is that potential buyers may be wrongly disqualifying themselves before they even apply for a mortgage…
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Chimera, New Residential Issue Non-Agency MBS Backed by Vintage Mortgages

June 1, 2016
Brandon Ivey
Chimera retained about 15.0 percent of all three of the non-agency MBS...
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An ‘Over-Saturated’ Market for Correspondent Buyers?

May 31, 2016
John Bancroft
There are about 75 correspondent buyers in the market today, but that figure will winnow down to about 60 as margins stay tight...
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Surprise: Trading in TRID Defects (Jumbos Mostly) Still Going Strong

May 31, 2016
Paul Muolo
Although statistics are hard to come by, Mid America believes it is one of the most active buyers of such mortgages, most of which are nonconforming jumbos.
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Securitization Rates Remain Relatively Low in Early 2016, Even the Government Market Is Lagging

May 27, 2016
The share of new home mortgage originations packaged into MBS drifted slightly lower in the first quarter of 2016, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. Some $255.7 billion of newly originated mortgages were pooled in MBS in the first three months of the year, representing a paltry 67.3 percent of the estimated $380 billion of first-lien originations in the primary market. For the purposes of calculating securitization rates, loans aged more than three months and modified loans are excluded from agency MBS issuance figures. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securitized...[Includes one data table]
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