The mortgage market’s shift from a focus on refinances to purchase mortgages won’t be enough to prompt an increase in purchase-mortgage originations in 2014, according to industry economists. The Mortgage Bankers Association revised its origination projections last week, predicting that purchase-mortgage originations will decline by 4.0 percent in 2014 compared with the previous year. An estimated $680 billion in purchase mortgages ... [Includes one data chart]

Only about 27.7 percent of Ginnie Mae first-quarter volume were refinance loans, and the refi share of the overall market fell to an estimated 44.3 percent, Inside Mortgage Finance found.

All the major mortgage product categories saw declines in new originations during the first quarter, but the jumbo and home-equity sectors held up slightly better, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Mortgage Finance. The conventional-conforming sector took the biggest hit, as new production dropped 25.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2013 to an estimated $123 billion in the first three months of this year. The vast majority of these loans still end up being financed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the two government-sponsored enterprises continue to draw a lot of their business from the ebbing refinance market. Fannie and Freddie securitized...[Includes two data charts]

Ocwen Financial, once again, ranked first among all subprime servicers with a portfolio balance of $105.78 billion at March 31, a decline of 31.7 percent over the past 12 months.

The advance policies of nonbank servicers have led to disruptions in payments to investors in non-agency MBS following servicing transfers from banks, according to Fitch Ratings. The differences are particularly pronounced on jumbo and Alt A deals, with advance disruptions recently concentrated on MBS previously serviced by Bank of America. “Bank and nonbank servicers for residential MBS transactions typically follow the same general advancing guidelines,” Fitch noted. “However, nonbank servicers generally make the determination to stop advancing earlier than bank servicers.” On average, for jumbo MBS and Alt A MBS, nonbanks advance missed...

Even though the jumbo securitization market continues to struggle, there are signs of life in other non-agency niches, including non-owner-occupied mortgages and non-prime home loans. Five Oaks Investment Corp. recently launched a new product menu, saying it will purchase on a correspondent basis non-owner-occupied mortgages with loan amounts of up to $1.5 million. Company managing director Dave Akre told Inside MBS & ABS that the goal is to securitize. “We are...

Marc Savitt, who runs The Mortgage Center in West Virginia, said he recently worked on a mortgage that had 4.5 points of LLPAs. “It was a cash-out refi,” he noted.

Melvin Watt, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, revealed a new strategic plan for the government-sponsored enterprises last week that shifts away from the contraction goal set by previous FHFA Acting Director Ed DeMarco. “I don’t think it’s FHFA’s role to contract the footprint of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,” Watt said in remarks at the Brookings Institution. “Our role is to maintain an efficient credit market, and as private capital demonstrates that it will come into this market ...

Rating services and due-diligence firms have plenty of time to analyze originators of jumbo mortgages headed to the securitization market, according to industry experts speaking this week at the Mortgage Bankers Association’s annual Secondary Market Conference in New York. All the rating services are putting greater emphasis on understanding originator business practices as part of evaluating jumbo mortgage-backed securities deals, said Sharif Mahdavian, an analyst at Standard & Poor’s ...

Originations that don’t meet standards for qualified mortgages have largely been held in bank portfolios in the months since the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability-to-repay rule took effect. However, nonbanks are also eyeing the products, and industry participants suggest that non-QMs will eventually be included in non-agency mortgage-backed securities. Laurence Platt, a partner at the law firm of K&L Gates, said a number of hedge funds and investment banks are ...